2019 Blue Chip Ratio

[AlaskaGuy]

Blue chip ratio 2019

 

[AlaskaGuy]

 

[AlaskaGuy]

 

[Chewbaccer]

FSU and USC should be ashamed

 

[Deep Creek]

"There has never been a team who has won a national title in the modern era without a blue chip ratio >50%."

I've always said the pool of possible CFP teams is set on NSD as much as it is in the season. Until someone proves it wrong, I'll still say it.

More than likely I'll die before one does it.

 

[Deep Creek]

Am I reading this correctly? The $75 million man has actually lowered A&M's ratio?

 

[AlaskaGuy]

Am I reading this correctly? The $75 million man has actually lowered A&M's ratio?

I think his recruiting numbers will pick up after this season.

 

[UCFhonors]

FSU and USC should be ashamed

Yep. And uf squanders more talent than the rest of FBS, combined.

#UCFacts

 

[MAIZEandBLUE09]

Man, there's a pretty dramatic dip between the top 3 and the teams ranked 4, 5 and tied for 6th.

 

[Myles]

"There has never been a team who has won a national title in the modern era without a blue chip ratio >50%."

Utah and UCF disagree.
I'm mostly just kidding. They were just losers to the poor system college football has and has had.

But for fun, here is a list of other teams that got screwed by the system in place at the time.


1915 Colorado State
The Rams finished a perfect 7-0, giving up a paltry 4.4 points a game while shutting out three opponents en route to a Rocky Mountain Conference title. Sure, a schedule that included Colorado Mines, Colorado College, and Denver wasn’t judged to be as difficult as that of Minnesota, which won the Western (Big Ten) that season, but CSU’s SRS score (a points-based team-comparison tool explained here) was No. 6 in the country. That’s better than Cornell and Oklahoma, who claim titles that season.

1917 Denver
John Heisman’s Georgia Tech is recognized as the true champ, but the Denver Pioneers went 9-0 with a defense that gave up just five points per game. Sure, one of those wins was against something called a Camp Logan, and they barely defeated a winless Tulsa team, but the only number that matters here is that big fat zero in the loss column.

1918 Washington (MO)
Today, the Bears compete with programs like Case Western Reserve and Carniege Mellon. But in 1918, they went 6-0 as a member of the Missouri Valley Intercollegiate Athletic Association, a league that included Kansas and Kansas State. The Bears beat Nebraska, a team with a win over the mighty Omaha Balloon School. Did Michigan or Pitt, the champs that season, have transitive wins over Omaha Balloon? No.

1920 VMI
Five dang schools claim titles (Cal, Harvard, Notre Dame, Princeton, and Georgia). VMI also finished undefeated with a harder schedule than Notre Dame, and a higher SRS rating than Pitt or Cal. A 136-0 victory over Hampden-Sydney probably greased the stats, but VMI also beat Penn, UNC, Virginia, and Virginia Tech.

1922 Drake
Drake started from the bottom. Then in 1922, they went 7-0. Then they went back to the bottom.

1923 SMU
Six decades before the most famous seasons in Mustangs history, SMU gave up nine points all year long and dominated the Southwest Conference.

1929 Tulane
Three teams claim titles, including USC, which lost twice. But you know who didn’t lose any games? Tulane, which went 9-0 and beat Georgia, Georgia Tech, LSU, Auburn, Texas A&M, and Sewanee.

1930 Utah
Many people forget this, but today, Utah is in a power conference, the Pac-12, unlike other college football programs in Utah. But Utah wasn’t always in a power conference. In 1930, it played in the Rocky Mountain Conference. It won all of eight of its games, scored more points a game (42.5) than anybody else in the country, and shut out five opponents.

1937 Santa Clara
Santa Clara doesn’t play FBS football anymore. But in 1937, it went undefeated, knocked off the No. 10 LSU Tigers in the Sugar Bowl, and gave up nine points all season. They finished No. 9 thanks to that horrible East Coast Bias, disrespecting Gonzaga football.

1938 Georgetown
Georgetown football plays in the Patriot League at the FCS level now, and not particularly well. But in 1938, it finished 8-0, beat Maryland and West Virginia, and finished in the top 10 in scoring offense and scoring defense. Sure, it played a horrendous schedule, but HANG THE BANNER.

1941 Duquesne
Alabama and Texas claim titles, but Alabama lost twice, and Texas lost once and tied another team. Duquesne won every game and finished No. 8 in the final AP Poll after beating Mississippi State 16-0 to end the season. Sounds like the big boys were ducking the Dukes.

1943 Purdue
Did you know Purdue could claim a title in 1931? I don’t see a reason why it shouldn’t add this one too. Purdue went 9-0, clobbered Ohio State, shared a Western title with Michigan, and finished fifth in the AP Poll. Notre Dame, the “actual” national champ that year, lost a game.

1950 and 1956 Wyoming
Wyoming was a powerhouse in the 1960s, but it had a few amazing years prior to Bob Devaney and Lloyd Eaton. The Pokes went undefeated in 1950 (and smacked Washington & Lee around in the Gator Bowl) and 1956, but didn’t crack the AP Top 10 in either season. The solution is to print t-shirts declaring retroactive championships.

1960 New Mexico State
The Aggies finally won a bowl game in 2017, their first since their undefeated run in 1960. NMSU finished 17th in the final AP Poll, but I don’t see why they shouldn’t have been dramatically higher.

1961 and 1976 Rutgers (yes, seriously)
Rutgers claims to have invented college football, and it has spent most of the last 100 years sucking at it. But it has gone undefeated (!) twice (!!) in the post-WWII era, even though it didn’t get invited to a bowl either time. This is probably because everybody was scared.

1969-1971 Toledo
Did you know Toledo didn’t lose a regular season game for three dang seasons? It won the Tangerine Bowl all three times but never cracked the AP Top 10. Nobody goes that long without losing a game. Toledo should hang, like, 12 banners.

1969 San Diego State
Ohio State and Texas claim titles. But those teams didn’t lead the country in scoring offense while going undefeated or beat Boston University in something called the Pasadena Bowl.

1969 Penn State
The unbeaten Nittany Lions won the Orange Bowl and had the country’s best defense, but the country had already decided the winner of Arkansas-Texas would be the national champ.

1973 Miami (Ohio)
Five teams all claim shares (Alabama, Michigan, Notre Dame, Ohio State, and Oklahoma). So what’s the hurt in letting undefeated Miami grab a slice? Its defense was very nice, allowing only 6.9 points a game, and it beat Florida in the Tangerine Bowl to finish 15th.

1975 Arkansas State
Did the Red Wolves play an impressive schedule? No. But they finished third in scoring offense, second in scoring defense, and demolished everybody in the Southland en route to a 11-0 record. If they want to take their trolling of Arkansas to the next level, start making 1975 bumper stickers.

1970 and 1975 Arizona State
Wait, how’d a power-conference team go undefeated and not top any major polls? Because ASU was in the WAC at the time.

1993 Auburn
The Tigers went 11-0, but were bowl-banned based on previous NCAA violations.

1998 Tulane
The Green Wave averaged an outrageous 45 points a game en route to a 12-0 record and No. 7 ranking. They clobbered BYU in the Liberty Bowl. Now they have two national titles.

1999 Marshall
The Thundering Herd led the country in scoring defense, only giving up 10.5 points a game. They beat Clemson to open the season, knocked off BYU in the Motor City Bowl, and finished No. 10. Give ‘em a ring.

2004 Utah
The Utes finished No. 4 after clobbering Pitt in the Fiesta Bowl but probably deserved a better opponent. Under Urban Meyer, Utah averaged a crazy 45.3 points a game and beat Texas A&M, Arizona, and North Carolina.

2004 Auburn
The Tigers went 13-0 and had arguably the country’s best defense, but missed the BCS Championship.

2006 and 2009 Boise State
We all remember its 43-42 Fiesta Bowl win over Oklahoma, but you might forget the No. 5 AP finish, second-ranked scoring offense, and obliteration of 10-win Oregon State. The Broncos had a similar season three years later with another Fiesta win.

2008 Utah
Congrats Utah, you now have three national titles. 2008 Utah smacked Alabama around in the Sugar Bowl, finished No. 2 in the final AP Poll, and had a legitimate claim for a higher finish. If Utah printed some shirts, nobody would complain.

2010 TCU
The Horned Frogs did everything you could have asked. They went 13-0, led the nation in scoring defense, beat top-10 Utah by 40 points, won the Rose Bowl, and thoroughly dominated their conference.

 

[Matte Black]

But Dabo's just a cheerleader.

 

[MAIZEandBLUE09]

Utah and UCF disagree.
I'm mostly just kidding. They were just losers to the poor system college football has and has had.

But for fun, here is a list of other teams that got screwed by the system in place at the time.


1915 Colorado State
The Rams finished a perfect 7-0, giving up a paltry 4.4 points a game while shutting out three opponents en route to a Rocky Mountain Conference title. Sure, a schedule that included Colorado Mines, Colorado College, and Denver wasn’t judged to be as difficult as that of Minnesota, which won the Western (Big Ten) that season, but CSU’s SRS score (a points-based team-comparison tool explained here) was No. 6 in the country. That’s better than Cornell and Oklahoma, who claim titles that season.

1917 Denver
John Heisman’s Georgia Tech is recognized as the true champ, but the Denver Pioneers went 9-0 with a defense that gave up just five points per game. Sure, one of those wins was against something called a Camp Logan, and they barely defeated a winless Tulsa team, but the only number that matters here is that big fat zero in the loss column.

1918 Washington (MO)
Today, the Bears compete with programs like Case Western Reserve and Carniege Mellon. But in 1918, they went 6-0 as a member of the Missouri Valley Intercollegiate Athletic Association, a league that included Kansas and Kansas State. The Bears beat Nebraska, a team with a win over the mighty Omaha Balloon School. Did Michigan or Pitt, the champs that season, have transitive wins over Omaha Balloon? No.

1920 VMI
Five dang schools claim titles (Cal, Harvard, Notre Dame, Princeton, and Georgia). VMI also finished undefeated with a harder schedule than Notre Dame, and a higher SRS rating than Pitt or Cal. A 136-0 victory over Hampden-Sydney probably greased the stats, but VMI also beat Penn, UNC, Virginia, and Virginia Tech.

1922 Drake
Drake started from the bottom. Then in 1922, they went 7-0. Then they went back to the bottom.

1923 SMU
Six decades before the most famous seasons in Mustangs history, SMU gave up nine points all year long and dominated the Southwest Conference.

1929 Tulane
Three teams claim titles, including USC, which lost twice. But you know who didn’t lose any games? Tulane, which went 9-0 and beat Georgia, Georgia Tech, LSU, Auburn, Texas A&M, and Sewanee.

1930 Utah
Many people forget this, but today, Utah is in a power conference, the Pac-12, unlike other college football programs in Utah. But Utah wasn’t always in a power conference. In 1930, it played in the Rocky Mountain Conference. It won all of eight of its games, scored more points a game (42.5) than anybody else in the country, and shut out five opponents.

1937 Santa Clara
Santa Clara doesn’t play FBS football anymore. But in 1937, it went undefeated, knocked off the No. 10 LSU Tigers in the Sugar Bowl, and gave up nine points all season. They finished No. 9 thanks to that horrible East Coast Bias, disrespecting Gonzaga football.

1938 Georgetown
Georgetown football plays in the Patriot League at the FCS level now, and not particularly well. But in 1938, it finished 8-0, beat Maryland and West Virginia, and finished in the top 10 in scoring offense and scoring defense. Sure, it played a horrendous schedule, but HANG THE BANNER.

1941 Duquesne
Alabama and Texas claim titles, but Alabama lost twice, and Texas lost once and tied another team. Duquesne won every game and finished No. 8 in the final AP Poll after beating Mississippi State 16-0 to end the season. Sounds like the big boys were ducking the Dukes.

1943 Purdue
Did you know Purdue could claim a title in 1931? I don’t see a reason why it shouldn’t add this one too. Purdue went 9-0, clobbered Ohio State, shared a Western title with Michigan, and finished fifth in the AP Poll. Notre Dame, the “actual” national champ that year, lost a game.

1950 and 1956 Wyoming
Wyoming was a powerhouse in the 1960s, but it had a few amazing years prior to Bob Devaney and Lloyd Eaton. The Pokes went undefeated in 1950 (and smacked Washington & Lee around in the Gator Bowl) and 1956, but didn’t crack the AP Top 10 in either season. The solution is to print t-shirts declaring retroactive championships.

1960 New Mexico State
The Aggies finally won a bowl game in 2017, their first since their undefeated run in 1960. NMSU finished 17th in the final AP Poll, but I don’t see why they shouldn’t have been dramatically higher.

1961 and 1976 Rutgers (yes, seriously)
Rutgers claims to have invented college football, and it has spent most of the last 100 years sucking at it. But it has gone undefeated (!) twice (!!) in the post-WWII era, even though it didn’t get invited to a bowl either time. This is probably because everybody was scared.

1969-1971 Toledo
Did you know Toledo didn’t lose a regular season game for three dang seasons? It won the Tangerine Bowl all three times but never cracked the AP Top 10. Nobody goes that long without losing a game. Toledo should hang, like, 12 banners.

1969 San Diego State
Ohio State and Texas claim titles. But those teams didn’t lead the country in scoring offense while going undefeated or beat Boston University in something called the Pasadena Bowl.

1969 Penn State
The unbeaten Nittany Lions won the Orange Bowl and had the country’s best defense, but the country had already decided the winner of Arkansas-Texas would be the national champ.

1973 Miami (Ohio)
Five teams all claim shares (Alabama, Michigan, Notre Dame, Ohio State, and Oklahoma). So what’s the hurt in letting undefeated Miami grab a slice? Its defense was very nice, allowing only 6.9 points a game, and it beat Florida in the Tangerine Bowl to finish 15th.

1975 Arkansas State
Did the Red Wolves play an impressive schedule? No. But they finished third in scoring offense, second in scoring defense, and demolished everybody in the Southland en route to a 11-0 record. If they want to take their trolling of Arkansas to the next level, start making 1975 bumper stickers.

1970 and 1975 Arizona State
Wait, how’d a power-conference team go undefeated and not top any major polls? Because ASU was in the WAC at the time.

1993 Auburn
The Tigers went 11-0, but were bowl-banned based on previous NCAA violations.

1998 Tulane
The Green Wave averaged an outrageous 45 points a game en route to a 12-0 record and No. 7 ranking. They clobbered BYU in the Liberty Bowl. Now they have two national titles.

1999 Marshall
The Thundering Herd led the country in scoring defense, only giving up 10.5 points a game. They beat Clemson to open the season, knocked off BYU in the Motor City Bowl, and finished No. 10. Give ‘em a ring.

2004 Utah
The Utes finished No. 4 after clobbering Pitt in the Fiesta Bowl but probably deserved a better opponent. Under Urban Meyer, Utah averaged a crazy 45.3 points a game and beat Texas A&M, Arizona, and North Carolina.

2004 Auburn
The Tigers went 13-0 and had arguably the country’s best defense, but missed the BCS Championship.

2006 and 2009 Boise State
We all remember its 43-42 Fiesta Bowl win over Oklahoma, but you might forget the No. 5 AP finish, second-ranked scoring offense, and obliteration of 10-win Oregon State. The Broncos had a similar season three years later with another Fiesta win.

2008 Utah
Congrats Utah, you now have three national titles. 2008 Utah smacked Alabama around in the Sugar Bowl, finished No. 2 in the final AP Poll, and had a legitimate claim for a higher finish. If Utah printed some shirts, nobody would complain.

2010 TCU
The Horned Frogs did everything you could have asked. They went 13-0, led the nation in scoring defense, beat top-10 Utah by 40 points, won the Rose Bowl, and thoroughly dominated their conference.

In a 4 team playoff system, I don't think any of the teams listed in the last 30 years would have had a chance at a national title, even if they made a playoff.

TCU in 2010: Given the rankings at the end of the year, it's likely they would have had to face an undefeated Auburn team with Cam Newton and then face an undefeated Chip Kelly Oregon team to actually win a national title.

Utah in 2008: Assuming they scrape into the top 4, they bump Alabama and take on 12-1 OU before facing Urban's Florida team with Tebow.

And you could do that for most of these teams. I don't think in any of those years you could argue they were deserving of a top 2 spot. With that said, this is exactly why I want the G5 to compete for their own title. They're always going to be left out of the system.

 

[Deep Creek]

In a 4 team playoff system, I don't think any of the teams listed in the last 30 years would have had a chance at a national title, even if they made a playoff.

TCU in 2010: Given the rankings at the end of the year, it's likely they would have had to face an undefeated Auburn team with Cam Newton and then face an undefeated Chip Kelly Oregon team to actually win a national title.

Utah in 2008: Assuming they scrape into the top 4, they bump Alabama and take on 12-1 OU before facing Urban's Florida team with Tebow.

And you could do that for most of these teams. I don't think in any of those years you could argue they were deserving of a top 2 spot. With that said, this is exactly why I want the G5 to compete for their own title. They're always going to be left out of the system.

I'm not too sure but it would have been nice to see a playoff. I watched that TCU team four times in person that year. (Daughter got free tickets...I wasn't going to pay to fight crowds/traffic, etc. She claims I'm a tightwad and a fuddy duddy.) IMHO TCU matched up much better against Auburn and Oregon than they did Wisconsin. Again, JMO.

But, we'll never know because they didn't get the opportunity to settle it on the field. So it will ever be speculation. Even if some of our semifinals have been routs, at least it ended speculation.

 

[MAIZEandBLUE09]

I'm not too sure but it would have been nice to see a playoff. I watched that TCU team four times in person that year. (Daughter got free tickets...I wasn't going to pay to fight crowds/traffic, etc. She claims I'm a tightwad and a fuddy duddy.) IMHO TCU matched up much better against Auburn and Oregon than they did Wisconsin. Again, JMO.

But, we'll never know because they didn't get the opportunity to settle it on the field. So it will ever be speculation. Even if some of our semifinals have been routs, at least it ended speculation.

That's true of a lot of P5 teams as well. And even within the P5 teams we've seen some pretty good looking teams get crushed by the truly elite P5 teams in the playoffs; see both MSU and OSU getting blanked in the CFB playoff.

 

[BamaDude]

Nice progress; but there's still 12 teams ahead of them, percentage-wise.