Sharkinva
Well-Known Member
Not really.. You are going back 20 years there. Not just Wentz as a top 5 pick QB, but Peyton, Eli, Luck, Newton, Palmer, Rivers, McNabb...
I think it's closer to 1 Jamarcus, 1 Stafford, 1 Cam. Of course in the 3rd round it's 1 Wilson, a few Schaubs, and 45 Mallett/Whitehursts or worse.. So while your cost is MUCH higher in the first, your ability to get a franchise QB is much higher as well... as you can see, 50 years of taking a pick in the 3rd every single year MIGHT get you a top franchise QB.
And I do believe superstar QB's have a HUGE impact on great teams. Look at the 10 winningest teams of the past 15 years.
NE (Brady)
Indy (Manning/Luck)
Pitt (Big Ben)
GB (Rodgers/Favre)
Den (mostly there from the last 4 years, about .500 before that... Manning)
Phi (mostly McNabb years)
Bal ( defense for sure)
Sea (Hasselbeck/Wilson, other years weren't good when those two weren't good)
NO (Brees)
NYG (Eli)
Kinda interesting how you put up the who's who of elite QB's over the past 15 years and you have the who's who of great QB's that were there. About the only great QB name I see missing there is Rivers... And SD is 11th in win% in that time.
Look at the post-season... Out of the 12 teams, it's usually 10 of the top 12-15 QB's, and a couple really good teams (like Houston last year). And those non-QB led playoff teams tend not to stay there year to year.
It's tough to buy that superstar QB's don't make great teams when there aren't any with bad records consistently. I mean, who's the best QB who loses more than he wins? Schaub? Bulger maybe? Stafford? Cutler? Where's the top QB that couldn't win? Sure, some will have bad years win wise. Brees needs a historically bad defense to finish 1 game under .500. But where's the Tony Gonzalez of QB's (didn't win a playoff game in his first 15 years). Where's the Joe Thomas of QB's with a 9 season losing streak?
I think the QB position just by it's nature is so much more important than any other spot. It's why teams take QB's so high, so often. Why they pay them so much. A QB touches the ball on 50% of a teams plays. No one else is remotely close. Most of the teams touchdowns, 3rd down conversions, turnovers, and yards are directly related to that QB and what he does.
Most of the Qbs you have mentioned have solid all around teams. Good Coaching, Good defenses, and enough on offense to make things work. Put any of those guys on the Browns roster.. are they really Super Stars?? Its easy to say these guys MADE their team elite. But reality is, take any of these elite QBs and put them on a team where the defense gives up 35 points a game, and the coaches make bone headed decisions and see how well they do. Its very rare that you get a top two pick QB going to a team like Indy. Brady was a sixth round pick, on a team that had a solid defense and he was replacing some one who at the time was considered one of the better QBs. Rogers took over for Favre, and Green Bay was already a power house.
But if we keep it just inside the Redskins.. we have wasted 7 first round picks over the last 20 or so years chasing the elite QB fantasy.
1 on Schuler
2 on Campbell
1 on Ramsey
3 on Griffin
Thats just the Redskins... this doesnt even take into account guys like Sanchez, Manziel or the long list of first/Second round QBs that have ultimately failed not because they so much lacked talent.. but because they went to shitty teams and were expected to be the savior.