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Top 16 Reveal

ericd7633

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The committee is going to reveal the top 16 tomorrow. This is my best guess as to what it'll look like:

South:
1. Baylor
2. Maryland
3. Seton Hall
4. Penn State

West:
1. San Diego State
2. Duke
3. West Virginia
4. Oregon

Midwest:
1. Gonzaga
2. Dayton
3. Florida State
4. Villanova

East:
1. Kansas
2. Louisville
3. Butler
4. Auburn

I feel pretty good about 14 of the 16. Not sure about Oregon and Penn State. Very interested to see what the committee does.
 

jontaejones

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Is that today?

1 line looks certain.

In the few years that they've done this, the top 4 seeds have tended to stay pretty close to their lines come the tourney, so it's somewhat significant.
 

ericd7633

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Is that today?

1 line looks certain.

In the few years that they've done this, the top 4 seeds have tended to stay pretty close to their lines come the tourney, so it's somewhat significant.

Yeah. Today at 12:30 on CBS.
 

ericd7633

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ericd7633

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jontaejones

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I'm not 'crazy' about Dayton and WVU being on the 2 line. I mean, I knew they would be, but neither really has that good of a win.

I think Seton Hall and Butler were slightly below where I thought they should be, but Nova was higher. So, that's fine.

Big 10 with only 2 teams in top 16, even though might get 10-11 in. They arte going to clutter the next 3 lines.
 

ericd7633

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mr.hockey4242

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Nova got more love than I tonight.

Hopefully they beat Hall today
 

ralphiewvu

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There’s no chance we see WVU as a 2 seed. They more than likely won’t have a .500 record in conference because they struggle mightily on the road. I also can’t see them beating Baylor at home. I think it’s more likely we see them on the 6/7 line. Maybe even 8.
 

mr.hockey4242

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There’s no chance we see WVU as a 2 seed. They more than likely won’t have a .500 record in conference because they struggle mightily on the road. I also can’t see them beating Baylor at home. I think it’s more likely we see them on the 6/7 line. Maybe even 8.

Absolutely zero chance they fall that far
 

jontaejones

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I'll also say thank god Arizona wasn't a Top 3 seed.
 

ericd7633

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I'm not 'crazy' about Dayton and WVU being on the 2 line. I mean, I knew they would be, but neither really has that good of a win.

I think Seton Hall and Butler were slightly below where I thought they should be, but Nova was higher. So, that's fine.

Big 10 with only 2 teams in top 16, even though might get 10-11 in. They arte going to clutter the next 3 lines.

I think the committee put some value on Non Conf SOS. WVU has the #5 Non Conf SOS. Don't have any signature wins, but they are 10-4 against the first two quads. Same thing with Dayton. Non Conf SOS of 20. I think that's why MSU was the last team in the reveal instead of PSU, and it's probably why the committee was discussing Iowa, UK and LSU as the final team instead of PSU because psu's Non Conf SOS is in the 330's.
 

mr.hockey4242

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It’s tough to see them putting a team that finishes .500 or worse in conference on the 4/5 line. Just my opinion.

in order to even finish .500 in conference they have to finish 3-6. Almost no way that happens with their schedule remaining.

And even if they finish 3-7(Big12 tourney loss) there is no way they fall 5 or 6 seed lines, so absolutely worst case would be a 6 at this point. And thats extreme.
 

ralphiewvu

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in order to even finish .500 in conference they have to finish 3-6. Almost no way that happens with their schedule remaining.

And even if they finish 3-7(Big12 tourney loss) there is no way they fall 5 or 6 seed lines, so absolutely worst case would be a 6 at this point. And thats extreme.

Dude, they have 3 likely losses against Baylor/Kansas still. Don’t see how they win today or at TCU. That’s leaves Ok St(haven’t beaten them at home in 5 years), @Texas and @Iowa st, Oklahoma. I’m serious when I say they might not get to .500 when the reg season is finished. I could see 7 seed if tat does indeed happen and losing in the first round of the B12 tourney.
 

ericd7633

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Dude, they have 3 likely losses against Baylor/Kansas still. Don’t see how they win today or at TCU. That’s leaves Ok St(haven’t beaten them at home in 5 years), @Texas and @Iowa st, Oklahoma. I’m serious when I say they might not get to .500 when the reg season is finished. I could see 7 seed if tat does indeed happen and losing in the first round of the B12 tourney.

Fwiw WVU is projected to finish 26-5. Not saying that'll happen, but that's what is projected.
 

ralphiewvu

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Fwiw WVU is projected to finish 26-5. Not saying that'll happen, but that's what is projected.

Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha

They have 4 losses and the still play Baylor twice and Kansas at home. That projection is awful generous considering what we have left.
 

ericd7633

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Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha

They have 4 losses and the still play Baylor twice and Kansas at home. That projection is awful generous considering what we have left.

It's projecting you to win both at home. Loss is at Baylor.
 

rmilia1

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Kind of thought Iowa would be a 4 but theres really not much difference between that and a 5 draw wise

Overall no quarrels. If we take care of business the next 8 we will be fine.

Pretty crazy to think that all our games left after tonight are Q1 games. Iowa will likely end up with between 19 and 21 Q1 games out of their 31 regular sesson tilts. The depth of the B10 is insane
 

mr.hockey4242

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Dude, they have 3 likely losses against Baylor/Kansas still. Don’t see how they win today or at TCU. That’s leaves Ok St(haven’t beaten them at home in 5 years), @Texas and @Iowa st, Oklahoma. I’m serious when I say they might not get to .500 when the reg season is finished. I could see 7 seed if tat does indeed happen and losing in the first round of the B12 tourney.

Dude.......

You don't drop massive seed lines for losing to Baylor and Kansas lmao.

Ok state is garbage. ISU is one of the worst teams in a power 5. Texas and TCU are not tourney teams. Oklahoma at home they will be 6 point faves.

They are not only winning 2 games from here on out lmao.
 
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