Top 5 NBA MVP odds

[flyerhawk]

Just curious what odds everyone would give for their top 5 MVP choices. Here are the current odds for the top 30 players.


LeBron James +300
Anthony Davis +400
Giannis Antetokoumpo +400
James Harden +400
Kevin Durant +1000
Kawhi Leonard +1500
Stephen Curry +1500
Joel Embiid +2000
Kyrie Irving +2000
Russell Westbrook +2000
Ben Simmons +2000
Karl-Anthony Towns +5000
Damian Lillard +6000
Chris Paul +10000
DeMar DeRozan +10000
DeMarcus Cousins +10000
Donovan Mitchell +10000
Jimmy Butler +10000
John Wall +10000
LaMarcus Aldrdige +10000
Lonzo Ball +10000
Nikola Jokic +10000
Paul George +10000
Victor Oladipo +10000
Blake Griffin +25000
Devin Booker +25000
Jayson Tatum +25000
Kyle Kuzma +25000
Kyle Lowry +25000

 

[Eco]

No Trae Young?

 

[flyerhawk]

No Trae Young?

A rookie on a 20 something win team would definitely be a surprise. Bet you could get some pretty awesome odds on that one.

 

[MHSL82]

I have a question and this is not to argue about the rookie of the year. However, had Mitchell won the rookie of the year and for the sake of argument let's say Ben Simmons played two years ago, do you think Mitchell's MVP odds would have increased or still be at the 10,000? In other words, is the perception based upon skill and team as it currently is or do you think accolades would have inputted into that perception?

 

[CitySushi]

Based on these odds, best value bets are Kawhi and Steph. Steph likely won't get it due to voter fatigue and also the Warriors likely record, but I think he's going to have a really, really strong year. Especially with all the noise about KD leaving, I think he takes a larger role than in the past two years.

Kawhi is going to be the man on his team. If the Raptors are somehow able to get the 1 seed, and Kawhi dominates, he'll be a front runner for MVP easily. Voters like a comeback story.

Harden and CP3 will steal votes from each other, as will Embiid and Simmons.

 

[CitySushi]

I have a question and this is not to argue about the rookie of the year. However, had Mitchell won the rookie of the year and for the sake of argument let's say Ben Simmons played two years ago, do you think Mitchell's MVP odds would have increased or still be at the 10,000? In other words, is the perception based upon skill and team as it currently is or do you think accolades would have inputted into that perception?

I don't think it has much to do with the ROY, as it will be team success and output volume. Both will have the volume, but Simmons has the edge with team record and success. There's a very real chance that the 76ers are able to make the ECF and make it very interesting, whereas the Jazz seem topped out as a 2nd round team. Also because of the nature of Simmons game, there's a very real chance that he improves areas of his game that were notice-ably flawed whereas Mitchell seemed to be pretty well rounded overall. It's harder to project improvement for him, but much easier to anticipate Simmons getting better. Not saying it will be the truth, but just my opinion on how they are viewed.

 

[MHSL82]

I don't think it has much to do with the ROY, as it will be team success and output volume. Both will have the volume, but Simmons has the edge with team record and success. There's a very real chance that the 76ers are able to make the ECF and make it very interesting, whereas the Jazz seem topped out as a 2nd round team. Also because of the nature of Simmons game, there's a very real chance that he improves areas of his game that were notice-ably flawed whereas Mitchell seemed to be pretty well rounded overall. It's harder to project improvement for him, but much easier to anticipate Simmons getting better. Not saying it will be the truth, but just my opinion on how they are viewed.

Thanks. My team is the Jazz so I am a fan of the dirty Stockton. So I love assists. So that makes me value Ben Simmons' assists. He also has a higher rebounding rate. I don't know if that is like Westbrook or if he fights for rebounds. I haven't looked at steals, but I imagine they are similar on defense since Snyder is focused on defense a lot.

 

[Mecca]

LeBron, Kawhi, Kyrie.......

In that order.

 

[flyerhawk]

LeBron, Kawhi, Kyrie.......

In that order.

Kyrie? That's surprising. Over Greek Free and AD?

 

[flyerhawk]

Based on these odds, best value bets are Kawhi and Steph. Steph likely won't get it due to voter fatigue and also the Warriors likely record, but I think he's going to have a really, really strong year. Especially with all the noise about KD leaving, I think he takes a larger role than in the past two years.

Kawhi is going to be the man on his team. If the Raptors are somehow able to get the 1 seed, and Kawhi dominates, he'll be a front runner for MVP easily. Voters like a comeback story.

Harden and CP3 will steal votes from each other, as will Embiid and Simmons.

I think Kawhi is a great value bet. I don't think Steph is a great bet as I think the only possible way for him to get MVP is if the he and the Warriors do something truly historic during the regular season. Like another 70+ win season and even then it would probably require KD to miss a lot of games.

I do think Embiid is a great value bet at 20-1. If the Sixers are a 60 win team this year and Embiid stays healthy, both big ifs, I would argue he would be the favorite to win MVP.

 

[Mecca]

Kyrie? That's surprising. Over Greek Free and AD?

Yeah...because he will be the best player on what most of us believe is the 2nd or 3rd best team in the league.

Freak and AD would need to get a top 4 seed to even be in the conversation for me, especially Giannis.

I don't see that happening, honestly.

If the 6ers get to #3, Embiid would be in the conversation too.

 

[trojanfan12]

LeBron, Kawhi, Kyrie.......

In that order.

I think that if the Lakers win 50 or more games, Lebron will win MVP. If less than 50, it'll be someone else.

 

[msgkings322]

Just curious what odds everyone would give for their top 5 MVP choices. Here are the current odds for the top 30 players.


LeBron James +300
Anthony Davis +400
Giannis Antetokoumpo +400
James Harden +400
Kevin Durant +1000
Kawhi Leonard +1500
Stephen Curry +1500
Joel Embiid +2000
Kyrie Irving +2000
Russell Westbrook +2000
Ben Simmons +2000
Karl-Anthony Towns +5000
Damian Lillard +6000
Chris Paul +10000
DeMar DeRozan +10000
DeMarcus Cousins +10000
Donovan Mitchell +10000
Jimmy Butler +10000
John Wall +10000
LaMarcus Aldrdige +10000
Lonzo Ball +10000
Nikola Jokic +10000
Paul George +10000
Victor Oladipo +10000
Blake Griffin +25000
Devin Booker +25000
Jayson Tatum +25000
Kyle Kuzma +25000
Kyle Lowry +25000

Kuzma!

 

[flyerhawk]

Kuzma!

Clearly Vegas knows there are a lot of Lakers fans that are suckers for a dumb bet.

I don't know which is funnier Kuzma 250-1 or Ball at 100-1.

 

[flyerhawk]

Yeah...because he will be the best player on what most of us believe is the 2nd or 3rd best team in the league.

Freak and AD would need to get a top 4 seed to even be in the conversation for me, especially Giannis.

I don't see that happening, honestly.

If the 6ers get to #3, Embiid would be in the conversation too.

The problem for Kyrie is that there are a lot of mouths to feed on that offense. I'm not sure he will be able to put up MVP caliber numbers simply because he won't get enough attempts.

 

[tlance]

Based on these odds, best value bets are Kawhi and Steph. Steph likely won't get it due to voter fatigue and also the Warriors likely record, but I think he's going to have a really, really strong year. Especially with all the noise about KD leaving, I think he takes a larger role than in the past two years.

Kawhi is going to be the man on his team. If the Raptors are somehow able to get the 1 seed, and Kawhi dominates, he'll be a front runner for MVP easily. Voters like a comeback story.

Harden and CP3 will steal votes from each other, as will Embiid and Simmons.

I think by far the best value bet is Oladipo.

If he takes another step and the Pacers overachieve and win more games than they did last year, he has a decent shot. Odds for him should be in the Simmons/Embiid range.

 

[tlance]

LeBron, Kawhi, Kyrie.......

In that order.

No way.

Anthony Davis and LeBron are the best two players. If their teams won enough games, they get the award.

After them, it is Harden, KD and Kawhi with best odds.

Kyrie probably will finish top 5. Maybe even top 3. But he isn't going to win. Boston would have to win 70 to put him legitimately in the conversation.

 

[msgkings322]

No way.

Anthony Davis and LeBron are the best two players. If their teams won enough games, they get the award.

After them, it is Harden, KD and Kawhi with best odds.

Kyrie probably will finish top 5. Maybe even top 3. But he isn't going to win. Boston would have to win 70 to put him legitimately in the conversation.

It depends on the stats too, Westbrook got his because of his crazy stats. If Kyrie averaged a triple double for a 65 win Celtics he would probably win too. Not that he ever could do it, but it's not just being the best player on the best team.

 

[Scapegoat]

The problem for Kyrie is that there are a lot of mouths to feed on that offense. I'm not sure he will be able to put up MVP caliber numbers simply because he won't get enough attempts.

The problem with Kyrie is he might not even be the best player on his team.

 

[Scapegoat]

It depends on the stats too, Westbrook got his because of his crazy stats. If Kyrie averaged a triple double for a 65 win Celtics he would probably win too. Not that he ever could do it, but it's not just being the best player on the best team.

Nope. If Kyrie averages a triple double for a 65 win team it's still something that's been done twice in the last 2 seasons. Not by a 65 win team but if you're going to give it to him then Westbrook should have finished higher last season for doing twice. Westbrook got it because it had only been done by one other player in NBA history and that was half a century ago. Also Kyrie won't come close.