My updated Bracketology

[ericd7633]

West Regional(Anaheim, CA)

1. ARIZONA(PAC 12)
16. SOUTHERN(SWAC)
- Viejas Arena(San Diego, Ca)
8. George Washington
9. Connecticut

4. Ohio State
13. MERCER(A-SUN)
- Spokane VMA(Spokane, WA)
5. Duke
12. UW-GREEN BAY(HORIZON)

3. SAN DIEGO STATE(MWC)
14. GEORGIA STATE(SUN BELT)
- AT&T Center(San Antonio, TX)
6. Oregon
11. North Carolina

7. GONZAGA(WCC)
10. Missouri
- Scottrade Center(St. Louis, MO)
2. KANSAS(BIG 12)
15. UTAH VALLEY(WAC)

East Regional(New York, NY)

1. SRYACUSE(ACC)
16. SAVANNAH ST(MEAC)/SOUTH DAKOTA(SUMMIT)
- First Niagara Center(Buffalo, NY)
8. Kansas State
9. Minnesota

4. Kentucky
13. CANISIUS(MAAC)
- PNC Arena(Raleigh, NC)
5. CINCINNATI(AAC)
12. Stanford/Dayton

3. Iowa
14. UC-IRVINE(BIG WEST)
- AT&T Center(San Antonio, TX)
6. Creighton
11. New Mexico

7. St. Louis
10. Xavier
- AmWay Center(Orlando, FL)
2. FLORIDA(SEC)
15. STONY BROOK(AM EAST)

Midwest Regional(Indianapolis, IN)

1. MICHIGAN STATE(B1G)
16. AMERICAN(PATRIOT)
- Bradley Center(Milwaukee, WI)
8. UCLA
9. Florida State

4. Oklahoma
13. BELMONT(OVC)
- Viejas Arena(San Diego, Ca)
5. Pittsburgh
12. TOLEDO(MAC)

3. Oklahoma State
14. LOUISIANA TECH(C-USA)
- Amway Center(Orlando, FL)
6. Louisville
11. HARVARD(IVY)

7. California
10. VCU
- Scottrade Center(St. Louis, MO)
2. WICHITA STATE(MVC)
15. NORTHERN COLORADO(BIG SKY)

South Regional(Memphis, TN)

1. VILLANOVA(BIG EAST)
16. CHATTANOOGA(SOUTHERN)UNC-ASHVILLE(BIG SO.)
- First Niagara Center(Buffalo, NY)
8. Virginia
9. Baylor

4. UMASS(A-10)
13. DELAWARE(CAA)
- PNC Arena(Raleigh, NC)
5. Michigan
12. Tennessee/BYU

3. Iowa State
14. STEPHEN F AUSTIN(SOUTHLAND)
- Spokane VMA(Spokane, WA)
6. Colorado
11. SMU

7. Memphis
10. Texas
- Bradley Center(Milwaukee, WI)
2. Wisconsin
15. ROBERT MORRIS(NEC)

Top 10 on the "S" Curve: Arizona, Syracuse, Michigan State, Villanova, Wisconsin, Wichita State, Florida, Kansas, San Diego State, Iowa.

Last 4 Byes: VCU, New Mexico, North Carolina, SMU

Last 4 IN: Tennessee, BYU, Stanford, Dayton

First 4 OUT: Clemson, Providence, Arkansas, St. Mary's

Next 4 OUT: Boise State, Georgetown, Richmond, LSU

Bids By Conference: AAC(5), A-10(5), ACC(6), Big 12(7), Big East(3), B1G(6), Mtn. West(2), Pac 12(6), SEC(3), WCC(2).

 

[douggie]

North Carolina in and Clemson out. Interesting.

 

[ericd7633]

North Carolina in and Clemson out. Interesting.

Needless to say UNC is going to be a very interesting team come Selection Sunday. They've basically offset all their good wins(MSU, UK, and Louisville) with bad losses(Belmont, UAB, and Miami(FL))

Also one other crucial stat on both resumes:

Non Conf. SOS:
UNC - 27th
Clemson - 294th

The committee tends to leave out teams that have played a very poor Non Conf. SOS. Clemson is very much trending towards Iowa of last season.

 

[HizzleRocker]

Good work, and looks pretty good to me. Granted, I don't know the nuance arguments for/against all of these teams as well as you have researched them. But from the outside looking in, looks good.

Crazy to think the Big12 may get 7/10 teams in, but I think you may be right.

 

[ericd7633]

Good work, and looks pretty good to me. Granted, I don't know the nuance arguments for/against all of these teams as well as you have researched them. But from the outside looking in, looks good.

Crazy to think the Big12 may get 7/10 teams in, but I think you may be right.

It's looking like a really good possibility of that happening for the Big 12, which would be impressive. The team that probably has cause for the most concern of missing at this point would be Baylor. Losing to either TCU or Texas Tech is going to be a killer on the resume, and to a certain extent WVU. Almost have to be 6-0 against them. Baylor does have wins against UK and Colorado that will carry some shelf life though. Next 3 roadies for Baylor @KU, @OSU, @OU, throw in a home game against KU, they could be sitting at 7 losses in the Big 12 after the first week of February. I think Baylor needs to get to at least 8-10 in league play to have a shot. That's playing .500 from here on out, which will be difficult.

 

[Midwest2k]

West Regional(Anaheim, CA)

1. ARIZONA(PAC 12)
16. SOUTHERN(SWAC)
- Viejas Arena(San Diego, Ca)
8. George Washington
9. Connecticut

4. Ohio State
13. MERCER(A-SUN)
- Spokane VMA(Spokane, WA)
5. Duke
12. UW-GREEN BAY(HORIZON)

3. SAN DIEGO STATE(MWC)
14. GEORGIA STATE(SUN BELT)
- AT&T Center(San Antonio, TX)
6. Oregon
11. North Carolina

7. GONZAGA(WCC)
10. Missouri
- Scottrade Center(St. Louis, MO)
2. KANSAS(BIG 12)
15. UTAH VALLEY(WAC)

East Regional(New York, NY)

1. SRYACUSE(ACC)
16. SAVANNAH ST(MEAC)/SOUTH DAKOTA(SUMMIT)
- First Niagara Center(Buffalo, NY)
8. Kansas State
9. Minnesota

4. Kentucky
13. CANISIUS(MAAC)
- PNC Arena(Raleigh, NC)
5. CINCINNATI(AAC)
12. Stanford/Dayton

3. Iowa
14. UC-IRVINE(BIG WEST)
- AT&T Center(San Antonio, TX)
6. Creighton
11. New Mexico

7. St. Louis
10. Xavier
- AmWay Center(Orlando, FL)
2. FLORIDA(SEC)
15. STONY BROOK(AM EAST)

Midwest Regional(Indianapolis, IN)

1. MICHIGAN STATE(B1G)
16. AMERICAN(PATRIOT)
- Bradley Center(Milwaukee, WI)
8. UCLA
9. Florida State

4. Oklahoma
13. BELMONT(OVC)
- Viejas Arena(San Diego, Ca)
5. Pittsburgh
12. TOLEDO(MAC)

3. Oklahoma State
14. LOUISIANA TECH(C-USA)
- Amway Center(Orlando, FL)
6. Louisville
11. HARVARD(IVY)

7. California
10. VCU
- Scottrade Center(St. Louis, MO)
2. WICHITA STATE(MVC)
15. NORTHERN COLORADO(BIG SKY)

South Regional(Memphis, TN)

1. VILLANOVA(BIG EAST)
16. CHATTANOOGA(SOUTHERN)UNC-ASHVILLE(BIG SO.)
- First Niagara Center(Buffalo, NY)
8. Virginia
9. Baylor

4. UMASS(A-10)
13. DELAWARE(CAA)
- PNC Arena(Raleigh, NC)
5. Michigan
12. Tennessee/BYU

3. Iowa State
14. STEPHEN F AUSTIN(SOUTHLAND)
- Spokane VMA(Spokane, WA)
6. Colorado
11. SMU

7. Memphis
10. Texas
- Bradley Center(Milwaukee, WI)
2. Wisconsin
15. ROBERT MORRIS(NEC)

Top 10 on the "S" Curve: Arizona, Syracuse, Michigan State, Villanova, Wisconsin, Wichita State, Florida, Kansas, San Diego State, Iowa.

Last 4 Byes: VCU, New Mexico, North Carolina, SMU

Last 4 IN: Tennessee, BYU, Stanford, Dayton

First 4 OUT: Clemson, Providence, Arkansas, St. Mary's

Next 4 OUT: Boise State, Georgetown, Richmond, LSU

Bids By Conference: AAC(5), A-10(5), ACC(6), Big 12(7), Big East(3), B1G(6), Mtn. West(2), Pac 12(6), SEC(3), WCC(2).

1 loss nova over WSU? Really? Holding back the urge to simply troll this one. but Ill resist just the same and move along.

 

[rmilia1]

1 loss nova over WSU? Really? Holding back the urge to simply troll this one. but Ill resist just the same and move along.

Nova has a far far superior resume to wichita right now. Its not even close really. And I love wichita st

 

[ericd7633]

1 loss nova over WSU? Really? Holding back the urge to simply troll this one. but Ill resist just the same and move along.

Feel free to explain yourself. Honestly it isn't really that close between the two resumes. I thought having Wichita St as a 2 may have been somewhat generous. But I'm just going by what I think the committee would do.

 

[bksballer89]

Solid

 

[dcZONAfan]

1 loss nova over WSU? Really? Holding back the urge to simply troll this one. but Ill resist just the same and move along.

It's pretty obvious. You have not one really good win. SLU is your best win, and they aren't close to the team they were last year.

 

[BigAppleBadger]

Wisconsin as a #2 in the bracket with the weakest #1 seed? Yes please.

 

[ericd7633]

Wisconsin as a #2 in the bracket with the weakest #1 seed? Yes please.

I have them as the best 2 seed, so theoretically they should play the "worst" 1 seed. Also, I think there is a bracketing principle that doesn't allow the 1 and 2 seeds to be from the same conference.

 

[uncfan103]

Chattanooga isn't a tournament team, IMO. I'll be shocked if they finish with a four seed or better for the conference tournament. I know you probably didn't care about the low-majors I just thought I would mention that I don't think Chattanooga will be there.

 

[uncfan103]

I have them as the best 2 seed, so theoretically they should play the "worst" 1 seed. Also, I think there is a bracketing principle that doesn't allow the 1 and 2 seeds to be from the same conference.

I thought they stopped doing that a while back, and that the top seeds are picked by regions. So the top 2 seed would get the 2 seed in the region that would be best for them. I could be wrong, but I thought that was how it worked. I didn't think they used the S-curve thing that some people think they should.

 

[Johnnydollaz89]

Will gladly take a #2 seed for my Jayhawks! Climbing the rankings now!

 

[ericd7633]

Chattanooga isn't a tournament team, IMO. I'll be shocked if they finish with a four seed or better for the conference tournament. I know you probably didn't care about the low-majors I just thought I would mention that I don't think Chattanooga will be there.

Only reason they are in the bracket at this moment is because they are the current leader of their conference. If I had to guess I'd say either Davidson or Elon will win the Southern Tournament. Either way, there is a good chance the winner of this conference will be a 16 seed.

 

[ericd7633]

I thought they stopped doing that a while back, and that the top seeds are picked by regions. So the top 2 seed would get the 2 seed in the region that would be best for them. I could be wrong, but I thought that was how it worked. I didn't think they used the S-curve thing that some people think they should.

You are right they do try and make it more geographically better for those 2 seeds, while trying to keep in the play the true "S" curve ranking. Wisconsin can't be placed in the midwest though b/c I have MSU projected as that #1 seed. Also is Wisconsin closer to Memphis or New York City? I honestly don't know, when it's as close as that is, the committee generally tries to use the "S" curve.

 

[Midwest2k]

West Regional(Anaheim, CA)

1. ARIZONA(PAC 12)
16. SOUTHERN(SWAC)
- Viejas Arena(San Diego, Ca)
8. George Washington
9. Connecticut

4. Ohio State
13. MERCER(A-SUN)
- Spokane VMA(Spokane, WA)
5. Duke
12. UW-GREEN BAY(HORIZON)

3. SAN DIEGO STATE(MWC)
14. GEORGIA STATE(SUN BELT)
- AT&T Center(San Antonio, TX)
6. Oregon
11. North Carolina

7. GONZAGA(WCC)
10. Missouri
- Scottrade Center(St. Louis, MO)
2. KANSAS(BIG 12)
15. UTAH VALLEY(WAC)

East Regional(New York, NY)

1. SRYACUSE(ACC)
16. SAVANNAH ST(MEAC)/SOUTH DAKOTA(SUMMIT)
- First Niagara Center(Buffalo, NY)
8. Kansas State
9. Minnesota

4. Kentucky
13. CANISIUS(MAAC)
- PNC Arena(Raleigh, NC)
5. CINCINNATI(AAC)
12. Stanford/Dayton

3. Iowa
14. UC-IRVINE(BIG WEST)
- AT&T Center(San Antonio, TX)
6. Creighton
11. New Mexico

7. St. Louis
10. Xavier
- AmWay Center(Orlando, FL)
2. FLORIDA(SEC)
15. STONY BROOK(AM EAST)

Midwest Regional(Indianapolis, IN)

1. MICHIGAN STATE(B1G)
16. AMERICAN(PATRIOT)
- Bradley Center(Milwaukee, WI)
8. UCLA
9. Florida State

4. Oklahoma
13. BELMONT(OVC)
- Viejas Arena(San Diego, Ca)
5. Pittsburgh
12. TOLEDO(MAC)

3. Oklahoma State
14. LOUISIANA TECH(C-USA)
- Amway Center(Orlando, FL)
6. Louisville
11. HARVARD(IVY)

7. California
10. VCU
- Scottrade Center(St. Louis, MO)
2. WICHITA STATE(MVC)
15. NORTHERN COLORADO(BIG SKY)

South Regional(Memphis, TN)

1. VILLANOVA(BIG EAST)
16. CHATTANOOGA(SOUTHERN)UNC-ASHVILLE(BIG SO.)
- First Niagara Center(Buffalo, NY)
8. Virginia
9. Baylor

4. UMASS(A-10)
13. DELAWARE(CAA)
- PNC Arena(Raleigh, NC)
5. Michigan
12. Tennessee/BYU

3. Iowa State
14. STEPHEN F AUSTIN(SOUTHLAND)
- Spokane VMA(Spokane, WA)
6. Colorado
11. SMU

7. Memphis
10. Texas
- Bradley Center(Milwaukee, WI)
2. Wisconsin
15. ROBERT MORRIS(NEC)

Top 10 on the "S" Curve: Arizona, Syracuse, Michigan State, Villanova, Wisconsin, Wichita State, Florida, Kansas, San Diego State, Iowa.

Last 4 Byes: VCU, New Mexico, North Carolina, SMU

Last 4 IN: Tennessee, BYU, Stanford, Dayton

First 4 OUT: Clemson, Providence, Arkansas, St. Mary's

Next 4 OUT: Boise State, Georgetown, Richmond, LSU

Bids By Conference: AAC(5), A-10(5), ACC(6), Big 12(7), Big East(3), B1G(6), Mtn. West(2), Pac 12(6), SEC(3), WCC(2).

Me thinks its time for an update here...WSU clearly are a 1 seed at this point.

 

[dcZONAfan]

Me thinks its time for an update here...WSU clearly are a 1 seed at this point.

disagree. Not that they don't ALMOST deserve it, but Kansas really does deserve that last one with their upward trend and their insanely difficult schedule

 

[Midwest2k]

disagree. Not that they don't ALMOST deserve it, but Kansas really does deserve that last one with their upward trend and their insanely difficult schedule

As soon as the Cuse or Zona lose or even Mich State then there will be plenty of room for KU too...Wouldnt it be a hoot to see KU and WSU as 1 seeds.