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Rock Strongo
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No TD's since week 3
His last 4 games he is 58/191 (3.29 per carry), and 10 catches for 165 yards, no TD's
Will Kareem Hunt ever return to his early season form?
Kareem Hunt started the 2017 campaign on a tear, as his 32.3 fantasy points per game average in Weeks 1-3 led the league in that category. Hunt has been nowhere near as productive since then, as his 13.7 points per game average in Weeks 4-9 ranks 15th among running backs and represents a 57.6 percent fantasy scoring drop-off.
So what has caused this issue? It isn't the quality of the team's run blocking as a whole, as Kansas City has posted a GBR at or above the 41.1 percent leaguewide GBR average in seven of nine contests this season.
The problem for Hunt is that he has received a GBR at or above the leaguewide GBR average in only two games this year, both of which occurred in the aforementioned elite stretch in Weeks 1-3.
Hunt also hasn't been anywhere near as productive of late in my good blocking yards per attempt (GBYPA) metric. He was above the elite double-digit GBYPA bar in each of the first three games of the season, but since then has posted a double-digit GBYPA only once and has posted a GBYPA of lower than the 8.7 leaguewide average in that category in four of six games.
It may surprise you to learn that Hunt's regression in GBR and GBYPA isn't a result of increased defensive presence in the tackle box. Hunt faced an extra defender in the box on 12.7 snaps per game during Weeks 1-3, a total that ranked seventh highest among running backs. Since then, Hunt has seen an extra tackle box defender on an average of 8.3 snaps per game, which ranks 18th among running backs in that time frame.
What this indicates is that defenses are finding effective ways to attack the Chiefs blocking when Hunt is in the lineup without using a safety in the box to do it. Dropping the safety back downfield has also limited the upside of Hunt's breakaway rushes.
The fantasy takeaway here is that there are too many negatives working against Hunt to expect a return to his early season form, so fantasy managers should accept that he is apt to be an RB2 for the rest of the season.
His last 4 games he is 58/191 (3.29 per carry), and 10 catches for 165 yards, no TD's
Will Kareem Hunt ever return to his early season form?
Kareem Hunt started the 2017 campaign on a tear, as his 32.3 fantasy points per game average in Weeks 1-3 led the league in that category. Hunt has been nowhere near as productive since then, as his 13.7 points per game average in Weeks 4-9 ranks 15th among running backs and represents a 57.6 percent fantasy scoring drop-off.
So what has caused this issue? It isn't the quality of the team's run blocking as a whole, as Kansas City has posted a GBR at or above the 41.1 percent leaguewide GBR average in seven of nine contests this season.
The problem for Hunt is that he has received a GBR at or above the leaguewide GBR average in only two games this year, both of which occurred in the aforementioned elite stretch in Weeks 1-3.
Hunt also hasn't been anywhere near as productive of late in my good blocking yards per attempt (GBYPA) metric. He was above the elite double-digit GBYPA bar in each of the first three games of the season, but since then has posted a double-digit GBYPA only once and has posted a GBYPA of lower than the 8.7 leaguewide average in that category in four of six games.
It may surprise you to learn that Hunt's regression in GBR and GBYPA isn't a result of increased defensive presence in the tackle box. Hunt faced an extra defender in the box on 12.7 snaps per game during Weeks 1-3, a total that ranked seventh highest among running backs. Since then, Hunt has seen an extra tackle box defender on an average of 8.3 snaps per game, which ranks 18th among running backs in that time frame.
What this indicates is that defenses are finding effective ways to attack the Chiefs blocking when Hunt is in the lineup without using a safety in the box to do it. Dropping the safety back downfield has also limited the upside of Hunt's breakaway rushes.
The fantasy takeaway here is that there are too many negatives working against Hunt to expect a return to his early season form, so fantasy managers should accept that he is apt to be an RB2 for the rest of the season.
