BAWF ratings through Week 10

[BamaDude]

What are the BAWF ratings? It is combing Best-case scenario with Actual results, Worst-case scenario and Flip-flop scenarios, then applying a winning percentage for the results. Best-case measures the number of wins a team would have if they had won all their games that were decided by 8 points or less; Worst-case measures a team's record if it had lost all of its close games; Flip-flop is what the record would be if it had won the close games it actually lost & lost the close games it actually won. Actual is the team's actual record.

A team with 3 or more close wins usually - but not always - has a tougher time in the post-season against a similar team with two or less close wins. And most teams with 3 or more close wins usually have a worse record the following season.

Here are the current BAWF Ratings for teams with two or fewer losses:

Alabama 9-0 9-0 8-1 8-1 = 34-2 .944
Michigan 9-0 9-0 8-1 8-1 = 34-2 .944
Western Michigan 9-0 9-0 8-1 8-1 = 34-2 .944

Washington 9-0 9-0 7-2 7-2 = 32-4 .889
Louisville 9-0 8-1 7-2 8-1 = 32-4 .889

Ohio St. 9-0 8-1 6-3 7-2 = 30-6 .833
San Diego St. 8-1 8-1 7-2 7-2 = 30-6 .833
Toledo 9-0 7-2 6-3 8-1 = 30-6 .833

Troy 8-0 7-1 5-3 6-2 = 26-6 .813

Boise St. 9-0 8-1 5-4 6-3 = 28-8 .778
Appalachian St. 8-1 7-2 6-3 7-2 = 28-8 .778

West Virginia 7-1 7-1 5-3 5-3 = 24-8 .750
Baylor 7-1 6-2 5-3 6-2 = 24-8 .750
Ohio U. 10-0 8-2 5-5 7-3 = 30-10 .750

Clemson 9-0 9-0 4-5 4-5 = 26-10 .722
Auburn 8-1 7-2 5-4 6-3 = 26-10 .722
Texas A&M 8-1 7-2 5-4 6-3 = 26-10 .722
Nebraska 8-1 7-2 5-4 6-3 = 26-10 .722
Minnesota 9-0 7-2 4-5 6-3 = 26-10 .722
Washington St. 9-0 7-2 4-5 6-3 = 26-10 .722
Colorado 8-1 7-2 5-4 6-3 = 26-10 .722
Houston 8-1 7-2 5-4 6-3 = 26-10 .722
Tulsa 8-1 7-2 5-4 6-3 = 26-10 .722
South Florida 7-2 7-2 6-3 6-3 = 26-10 .722

Florida 6-2 6-2 5-3 5-3 = 22-10 .688

Penn St. 8-1 7-2 4-5 5-4 = 24-12 .667
Wisconsin 9-0 7-2 3-6 5-4 = 24-12 .667
Utah 9-0 7-2 3-6 5-4 = 24-12 .667
Oklahoma St. 8-1 7-2 4-5 5-4 = 24-12 .667
Virginia Tech 7-2 7-2 5-4 5-4 24-12 .667
Wyoming 8-1 7-2 4-5 5-4 = 24-12 .667

Oklahoma 7-2 7-2 4-5 4-5 = 22-14 .611
North Carolina 7-2 7-2 4-5 4-5 = 22-14 .611

Navy 7-1 6-2 2-6 3-5 = 18-14 .563

Note: teams with the same ratings are not necessarily considered to be equal in strength, but have a fairly equal chance of doing well the next season, barring major losses in personnel. The lower a team's rating, the more likely they are to have a worse record next season.

 

[7Samurai13]

Dammit, I wanted to know about the Bad Ass Waffle Fries ratings.

 

[Jchurch06]

Dammit, I wanted to know about the Bad Ass Waffle Fries ratings.

Hahaha So. Many. Ratings.

 

[BamaDude]

Updated BAWF Ratings through week 11.5 (counting the MAC early week games):

Alabama 10-0 10-0 9-1 9-1 = 38-2 .950
Western Michigan 10-0 10-0 9-1 9-1 = 38-2 .950

Michigan 10-0 9-1 8-2 9-1 = 36-4 .900
Louisville 10-0 9-1 8-2 9-1 = 36-4 .900

Ohio St. 10-0 9-1 7-3 8-2 = 34-6 .850
San Diego St. 9-1 9-1 8-2 8-2 = 34-6 .850

Toledo 11-0 9-2 7-4 9-2 = 36-8 .818

Washington 9-1 9-1 7-3 7-3 = 32-8 .800
Boise St. 10-0 9-1 6-4 7-3 = 32-8 .800

Troy 9-0 8-1 5-4 6-3 = 28-8 .778

Washington St. 10-0 8-2 5-5 7-3 = 30-10 .750
Colorado 9-1 8-2 6-4 7-3 = 30-10 .750
Houston 9-1 8-2 6-4 7-3 = 30-10 .750

West Virginia 8-1 8-1 5-4 5-4 = 26-10 .722
Florida 7-2 7-2 6-3 6-3 = 26-10 .722

Clemson 10-0 9-1 4-6 5-5 = 28-12 .700
Nebraska 9-1 8-2 5-5 6-4 = 28-12 .700
Wisconsin 10-0 8-2 4-6 6-4 = 28-12 .700
Penn St. 9-1 8-2 5-5 6-4 = 28-12 .700
Utah 10-0 8-2 4-6 6-4 = 28-12 .700
South Florida 8-2 8-2 6-4 6-4 = 28-12 .700
Oklahoma St. 9-1 8-2 5-5 6-4 = 28-12 .700

Oklahoma 8-2 8-2 5-5 5-5 = 26-14 .650

Navy 8-1 7-2 2-7 3-6 = 20-16 .556

Only 24 of the 34 teams that were in the Week 10 BALF rankings managed to hang around for Week 11.

 

[HuskerinBig10]