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Gator
Well-Known Member
Some people like to brag about their conferences Bowl records for a season. Most don't look at the actual match-ups.
What I prefer to do is to look at the match-ups in view of a teams in-conference ranking. To do this I refer to the "Massey Composite Rankings" which as the name implies is an average of the on-line rankings (usually about 90 ranking systems).
Here are the P5 vs P5 Bowl match-ups with the conference rankings...
The "expectations are based on P5 is a P5 (i.e., All P5 conferences are alike!)
ACC # 1 Florida State Seminoles...............VS SEC # 2 Georgia Bulldogs..............................Florida State Seminoles Favored
ACC # 2 Louisville Cardinals.........................VS PAC # 7 USC Trojans..........................................Louisville Cardinals Favored
ACC # 3 Clemson Tigers.................................VS SEC # 8 Kentucky Wildcats............................Clemson Tigers Favored
ACC # 4 NC State Wolfpack..........................VS Big12 # 3 Kansas State Wildcats................Kansas State Wildcats Favored
ACC # 5 North Carolina Tar Heels..............VS Big12 # 7 West Virginia Mountaineers...North Carolina Tar Heels Favored
ACC # 6 Miami Hurricanes.............................VS B1G # 8 Rutgers Scarlet Knights................Miami Hurricanes Favored
ACC # 8 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.......VS Big12 # 9 UCF Knights....................................Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Favored
ACC Expectation 6 - 1 - 0
B1G # 1 Michigan Wolverines......................VS SEC # 1 Alabama Crimson Tide.................Tie
B1G # 2 Ohio State Buckeyes.......................VS SEC # 4 Missouri Tigers...................................Ohio State Buckeyes Favored
B1G # 3 Penn State Nittany Lions...............VS SEC # 5 Ole Miss Rebels.................................Penn State Nittany Lions Favored
B1G # 4 Iowa Hawkeyes..................................VS SEC # 6 Tennessee Volunteers.....................Iowa Hawkeyes Favored
B1G # 5 Maryland Terrapins..........................VS SEC # 9 Auburn Tigers.....................................Maryland Terrapins Favored
B1G # 6 Wisconsin Badgers...........................VS SEC # 3 LSU Tigers............................................LSU Tigers Favored
B1G # 7 Northwestern Wildcats..................VS PAC # 6 Utah Utes.............................................Utah Utes Favored
B1G # 8 Rutgers Scarlet Knights.................VS ACC # 6 Miami Hurricanes............................Miami Hurricanes Favored
B1G Expectation 4 - 3 - 1
B12 # 1 Texas Longhorns................................VS PAC # 1 Washington Huskies......................Tie
B12 # 2 Oklahoma Sooners..........................VS PAC # 3 Arizona Wildcats.............................Oklahoma Sooners Favored
B12 # 3 Kansas State Wildcats....................VS ACC # 4 NC State Wolfpack.........................Kansas State Wildcats Favored
B12 # 5 Oklahoma State Cowboys...........VS SEC # 7 Texas A&M Aggies..........................Oklahoma State Cowboys Favored
B12 # 7 West Virginia Mountaineers........VS ACC # 5 North Carolina Tar Heels............North Carolina Tar Heels Favored
B12 # 8 Texas Tech Red Raiders................VS PAC # 9 California Golden Bears...............Texas Tech Red Raiders Favored
B12 # 9 UCF Knights........................................VS ACC # 8 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.....Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Favored
B12 Expectation 4 - 2 - 1
IND 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish............VS PAC 5 Oregon State Beavers........................Notre Dame Fighting Irish Favored
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Expectation 1 - 0 - 0
PAC # 1 Washington Huskies....................VS B12 # 1 Texas Longhorns....................................Tie
PAC # 3 Arizona Wildcats...........................VS B12 # 2 Oklahoma Sooners..............................Oklahoma Sooners Favored
PAC # 5 Oregon State Beavers ...............VS IND # 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish..............Notre Dame Fighting Irish Favored
PAC # 6 Utah Utes...........................................VS B1G # 7 Northwestern Wildcats.....................Utah Utes Favored
PAC # 7 USC Trojans......................................VS ACC # 2 Louisville Cardinals.............................Louisville Cardinals Favored
PAC # 9 California Golden Bears............VS B12 # 8 Texas Tech Red Raiders....................Texas Tech Red Raiders Favored
PAC Expectation 1 - 4 - 1
SEC # 1 Alabama Crimson Tide.............VS B1G # 1 Michigan Wolverines..........................Tie
SEC # 2 Georgia Bulldogs.........................VS ACC # 1 Florida State Seminoles...................Florida State Seminoles Favored
SEC # 3 LSU Tigers .......................................VS B1G # 6 Wisconsin Badgers..............................LSU Tigers Favored
SEC # 4 Missouri Tigers...............................VS B1G # 2 Ohio State Buckeyes..........................Ohio State Buckeyes Favored
SEC # 5 Ole Miss Rebels.............................VS B1G # 3 Penn State Nittany Lions..................Penn State Nittany Lions Favored
SEC # 6 Tennessee Volunteers.................VS B1G # 4 Iowa Hawkeyes.....................................Iowa Hawkeyes Favored
SEC # 7 Texas A&M Aggies......................VS B12 # 5 Oklahoma State Cowboys...............Oklahoma State Cowboys Favored
SEC # 8 Kentucky Wildcats........................VS ACC # 3 Clemson Tigers.....................................Clemson Tigers Favored
SEC # 9 Auburn Tigers.................................VS B1G # 5 Maryland Terrapins.............................Maryland Terrapins Favored
SEC Expectation 1 - 7 - 1
What I prefer to do is to look at the match-ups in view of a teams in-conference ranking. To do this I refer to the "Massey Composite Rankings" which as the name implies is an average of the on-line rankings (usually about 90 ranking systems).
Here are the P5 vs P5 Bowl match-ups with the conference rankings...
The "expectations are based on P5 is a P5 (i.e., All P5 conferences are alike!)
ACC # 1 Florida State Seminoles...............VS SEC # 2 Georgia Bulldogs..............................Florida State Seminoles Favored
ACC # 2 Louisville Cardinals.........................VS PAC # 7 USC Trojans..........................................Louisville Cardinals Favored
ACC # 3 Clemson Tigers.................................VS SEC # 8 Kentucky Wildcats............................Clemson Tigers Favored
ACC # 4 NC State Wolfpack..........................VS Big12 # 3 Kansas State Wildcats................Kansas State Wildcats Favored
ACC # 5 North Carolina Tar Heels..............VS Big12 # 7 West Virginia Mountaineers...North Carolina Tar Heels Favored
ACC # 6 Miami Hurricanes.............................VS B1G # 8 Rutgers Scarlet Knights................Miami Hurricanes Favored
ACC # 8 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.......VS Big12 # 9 UCF Knights....................................Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Favored
ACC Expectation 6 - 1 - 0
B1G # 1 Michigan Wolverines......................VS SEC # 1 Alabama Crimson Tide.................Tie
B1G # 2 Ohio State Buckeyes.......................VS SEC # 4 Missouri Tigers...................................Ohio State Buckeyes Favored
B1G # 3 Penn State Nittany Lions...............VS SEC # 5 Ole Miss Rebels.................................Penn State Nittany Lions Favored
B1G # 4 Iowa Hawkeyes..................................VS SEC # 6 Tennessee Volunteers.....................Iowa Hawkeyes Favored
B1G # 5 Maryland Terrapins..........................VS SEC # 9 Auburn Tigers.....................................Maryland Terrapins Favored
B1G # 6 Wisconsin Badgers...........................VS SEC # 3 LSU Tigers............................................LSU Tigers Favored
B1G # 7 Northwestern Wildcats..................VS PAC # 6 Utah Utes.............................................Utah Utes Favored
B1G # 8 Rutgers Scarlet Knights.................VS ACC # 6 Miami Hurricanes............................Miami Hurricanes Favored
B1G Expectation 4 - 3 - 1
B12 # 1 Texas Longhorns................................VS PAC # 1 Washington Huskies......................Tie
B12 # 2 Oklahoma Sooners..........................VS PAC # 3 Arizona Wildcats.............................Oklahoma Sooners Favored
B12 # 3 Kansas State Wildcats....................VS ACC # 4 NC State Wolfpack.........................Kansas State Wildcats Favored
B12 # 5 Oklahoma State Cowboys...........VS SEC # 7 Texas A&M Aggies..........................Oklahoma State Cowboys Favored
B12 # 7 West Virginia Mountaineers........VS ACC # 5 North Carolina Tar Heels............North Carolina Tar Heels Favored
B12 # 8 Texas Tech Red Raiders................VS PAC # 9 California Golden Bears...............Texas Tech Red Raiders Favored
B12 # 9 UCF Knights........................................VS ACC # 8 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.....Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Favored
B12 Expectation 4 - 2 - 1
IND 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish............VS PAC 5 Oregon State Beavers........................Notre Dame Fighting Irish Favored
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Expectation 1 - 0 - 0
PAC # 1 Washington Huskies....................VS B12 # 1 Texas Longhorns....................................Tie
PAC # 3 Arizona Wildcats...........................VS B12 # 2 Oklahoma Sooners..............................Oklahoma Sooners Favored
PAC # 5 Oregon State Beavers ...............VS IND # 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish..............Notre Dame Fighting Irish Favored
PAC # 6 Utah Utes...........................................VS B1G # 7 Northwestern Wildcats.....................Utah Utes Favored
PAC # 7 USC Trojans......................................VS ACC # 2 Louisville Cardinals.............................Louisville Cardinals Favored
PAC # 9 California Golden Bears............VS B12 # 8 Texas Tech Red Raiders....................Texas Tech Red Raiders Favored
PAC Expectation 1 - 4 - 1
SEC # 1 Alabama Crimson Tide.............VS B1G # 1 Michigan Wolverines..........................Tie
SEC # 2 Georgia Bulldogs.........................VS ACC # 1 Florida State Seminoles...................Florida State Seminoles Favored
SEC # 3 LSU Tigers .......................................VS B1G # 6 Wisconsin Badgers..............................LSU Tigers Favored
SEC # 4 Missouri Tigers...............................VS B1G # 2 Ohio State Buckeyes..........................Ohio State Buckeyes Favored
SEC # 5 Ole Miss Rebels.............................VS B1G # 3 Penn State Nittany Lions..................Penn State Nittany Lions Favored
SEC # 6 Tennessee Volunteers.................VS B1G # 4 Iowa Hawkeyes.....................................Iowa Hawkeyes Favored
SEC # 7 Texas A&M Aggies......................VS B12 # 5 Oklahoma State Cowboys...............Oklahoma State Cowboys Favored
SEC # 8 Kentucky Wildcats........................VS ACC # 3 Clemson Tigers.....................................Clemson Tigers Favored
SEC # 9 Auburn Tigers.................................VS B1G # 5 Maryland Terrapins.............................Maryland Terrapins Favored
SEC Expectation 1 - 7 - 1