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The 2019 HALF Game

averagejoe

You fell victim to one of the classic blunders.
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Seems every year, I call this something different? Last year was this:


Each season, about HALF of the first 12 drafted players at RB and WR do not finish in the top 12.
Granted, some may come close, finishing 13th or 15th. Technically, they still did not finish in the top 12. Why 12? Well, most fantasy leagues have 12 owners.

As of today, August 20, these are the top 12 RB and top 12 WR being drafted off the board first based on FantasyPros' ADP rankings.

This is easy: pick the 6 players from each list who will not be in the top 12 at the end of the fantasy season.

2018 RB top 12 as of August 20.png

:think:
 

TKOSpikes

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McCaffery
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Bell
Mixon
Fournette
Cook

WR
Thomas
Beckham
Hilton
Brown
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Thielen
 

Stomp

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Kamara
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Conner
Mixon
Cook
Fournette

Julio
Beckham
Brown
Allen
Thielen
Hilton
 

obxyankeefan

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Elliott
Johnson
Connor
Mixon
Fournette
Cook

Adams
Smith-Schuster
Brown
Hilton
Allen
Hill
 

TREFF

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I refuse to pick a sixth..they'll all be there

Beckham
Hill
Brown
Evans
Thielen
Hilton
 

Chef99

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giphy.gif
 

SteelersPride

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Ouch really i think it will be less than 6 Rb outside the 12

however

Bell Hilton
Conner Brown
Gurley Allen
Fournette OBJ
DJ Juju
Mixon Thielen
 

averagejoe

You fell victim to one of the classic blunders.
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I refuse to pick a sixth..they'll all be there
really i think it will be less than 6 Rb outside the 12
For the record, last season only 5 of 12 missed the cut per ADP. However, per ECR, 6 of 12 missed. The difference between ADP and ECR was CMC over Jordan Howard in the 12th spot respectively. That's one reason I narrow it to ADP.

2 years ago in 2017, 6 RB (half) missed.
 
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SmokingMonkey

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Brown
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MilkSpiller22

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Are we doing this for standard or ppr??
 

HaroldSeattle

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MilkSpiller22

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in order of probability

1. Mixon
2. Conner
3. Gurley
4. Cook
5. Kamara
6. McCaffrey

Both McCaffrey and Kamara make my list in standard, but not in PPR... if PPR fournette and Chubb go on my list


WR

1. Hilton
2. thielen
3. Keenan Allen
4. Antonio Brown
5. Odell Beckham
6. Tyreek hill

Tyreek hill is the surprise one for me, he is either going to be a top 5 WR or not a top 20.... don't see the middle ground for him...
 

Trudem

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RB:
1. Chubb
2. Cook
3. Fournette
4. Conner
5. Gurley
6. Mixon

WR:
1. Hilton
2. Thielen
3. Brown
4. Allen
5. Hill
6. Evans

I found doing the RBs easier than the WRs
 

Trudem

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mixon, cook, zeke, saquon, chubb, fournette
tyreek, AB, THielen, Keenan Allen, Hilton, adams
out of curiosity...why the hate on Adams? or is it part of your campaign against Rodgers?
 

SteelersPride

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out of curiosity...why the hate on Adams? or is it part of your campaign against Rodgers?
Actually no. I’ve taken him high in most drafts I love him. Good try though.

But had to chop someone, because I can make cases for everyone so I chose Adams on the belief that the pack possible may run more , and Allison comes on
 

Trudem

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Actually no. I’ve taken him high in most drafts I love him. Good try though.

But had to chop someone, because I can make cases for everyone so I chose Adams on the belief that the pack possible may run more , and Allison comes on
Fair enough. Wasnt trying to argue was just curious. Brown, Adams and Hopkins have been the three most consistent fantasy WRs the last couple of years.
 

SteelersPride

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Fair enough. Wasnt trying to argue was just curious. Brown, Adams and Hopkins have been the three most consistent fantasy WRs the last couple of years.
Absolutely I’ll post my full rhoughts on it later but literally had to pick someone I love him this year though
 

TREFF

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Fair enough. Wasnt trying to argue was just curious. Brown, Adams and Hopkins have been the three most consistent fantasy WRs the last couple of years.
Brown is about to fall, spectacularly, from that short list
 
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