Smart's Bubble Watch (3/4)

[Smart]

Autobids:
UNC Asheville
Belmont
Murray State
Creighton

Locks (99%+):
Duke
North Carolina
Kansas
Missouri
Baylor
Syracuse
Marquette
Ohio State
Michigan State
Wisconsin
UNLV
Kentucky
Florida
Georgetown
Michigan
SDSU
Florida State
Gonzaga
Notre Dame
Louisville
Wichita State
New Mexico
California
Vanderbilt
Indiana
St. Mary’s
Iowa State
Virginia (+)
Saint Louis (+)
Kansas State (+)
Cincy (+)
Temple (+)
Purdue (+)
Memphis (+)

All But Locks (90%-99%):
BYU
Alabama

Most Likely In (60%-90%):
Texas
Harvard
Washington
South Florida
Arizona (-)
West Virginia (+)
Drexel (+)
Northwestern (+)

Right On The Bubble (40%-60%):
Xavier*
UConn*
Long Beach State
VCU*
Southern Miss
Oregon*
Miami (-)
NC State (+)
Mississippi State (+)*
Colorado State (+)

Most Likely Out (10%-40%):
Oral Roberts
Seton Hall (-)
Ole Miss (+)

All But Out (1%-10%):
Davidson
Colorado (--)
UCF (-)
Iona (-)
Tennessee (+)

Done (1%-):
Everyone Else

Newly Done:
Illinois (--)
Weber State (-)
George Mason (-)
Wyoming (-)
Arkansas (-)
Maryland (-)
MTSU (-)
LSU (-)

A lot of action this week, with several teams earning locks and many seeing their at-large hopes end. This week we have:
4 Autobids
34 Locks
2 All But Locks
8 Most Likely In
10 Right On the Bubble (Asteriks means in the field today)
3 Most Likely Out
5 All But Out

That makes 66 teams for 68 slots, plus an expected sixteen to twenty teams that will get autobids but aren't listed.

 

[BoiseStateFan27]

all the Pac-12 bubble teams just took bad losses LOL!

that conference should be nothing more than a one bid league.

seriously, if they get more than one team it will prove that the name of a conference can get you more bids.

 

[Bone]

If Harvard doesn't win the Ivy League, do they get an at-large?

 

[BoiseStateFan27]

If Harvard doesn't win the Ivy League, do they get an at-large?

it would take one loss to Penn to not win the Ivy, I think they very well could.

 

[7NationalChampionships]

Looks good. Oral Roberts choked in the Mid-Con Semi...that pretty much iced them.