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Series Thread: Rangers Travel to Seattle For 3 Games September 27-29

saddles

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Texas Rangers (65-87, fourth in the AL West) vs. Seattle Mariners (83-69, second in the AL West)

PITCHING PROBABLES: Rangers: Jesus Tinoco (0-0, 1.72 ERA, .96 WHIP, 13 strikeouts); Mariners: Robbie Ray (12-10, 3.60 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 201 strikeouts)

BOTTOM LINE: The Texas Rangers, on a three-game losing streak, take on the Seattle Mariners.

Seattle is 83-69 overall and 39-32 in home games. The Mariners rank 10th in the majors with 184 total home runs, averaging 1.2 per game.

Texas is 33-42 in road games and 65-87 overall. The Rangers have a 13-32 record in games decided by one run.

The matchup Tuesday is the 17th meeting between these teams this season. The Mariners hold a 12-4 advantage in the season series.

TOP PERFORMERS: Adam Frazier has 21 doubles, four triples, three home runs and 40 RBI for the Mariners. Carlos Santana is 7-for-39 with two doubles and four home runs over the past 10 games.

Corey Seager is third on the Rangers with 56 extra base hits (23 doubles, a triple and 32 home runs). Marcus Semien is 13-for-37 with three doubles, two home runs and six RBI over the past 10 games.

LAST 10 GAMES: Mariners: 3-7, .225 batting average, 5.31 ERA, outscored by two runs

Rangers: 3-7, .226 batting average, 4.70 ERA, outscored by 13 runs



 
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saddles

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The Rangers have recently risen from the 11th worst record to the 9th worst record. With 10 games to go and with 7 of those games against contending teams, there is a decent chance we can finish 8th or 9th. Right now, only 2 games separates the 8th and 11th worst teams.

Don’t look now, but a hot streak from either the Royals or the Marlins could bring them into our window as well. They are both 2.5 games worse than us at the present.

8. Rockies have only 3 games left against non-contenders
9. Rangers have only 3 games against non-contenders
10. Cubs have 6 games against non-contenders
11. Angels have 9 games against non-contenders


So the rest of the schedule seems to show that the Rangers have the better chance to finish either with the 8th or 9th worst record, than either the Angels or the Cubs do. The Rangers would have the tiebreaker on every one of these teams so we would only have to finish with the same record as a team to be ahead of that team in the draft order. And then, the lottery will determine the final order.

To have fun running a simulated draft lottery based on up to the minute standings go to tankathon.com. I recently ran 10 simulations and 3 of those had the Rangers drafting with a lottery pick. There was a #1, a #2, and a #4. There were also 3 #9s and 4 #10s.
 

saddles

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Jeff Wilson indicated that the reason the Martin Perez contract extension talks have been shelved is due to JD being fired.

"The Rangers are already in the market for starting pitching. They keep saying they want to re-sign Martin Perez, but talks have been tabled since Jon Daniels was let go as president of baseball operations. The same goes for re-signing left-handed reliever Matt Moore."

"Daniels was driving both of those."
 

saddles

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saddles

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scotsman1948

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Jeff Wilson indicated that the reason the Martin Perez contract extension talks have been shelved is due to JD being fired.

"The Rangers are already in the market for starting pitching. They keep saying they want to re-sign Martin Perez, but talks have been tabled since Jon Daniels was let go as president of baseball operations. The same goes for re-signing left-handed reliever Matt Moore."

"Daniels was driving both of those."
so we may lose Perez because we fired JD, that sucks
 

BULLPEN FAILURE

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Rangers are very unlikely to hit 70 wins, which is disappointing.
 

scotsman1948

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Rangers are very unlikely to hit 70 wins, which is disappointing.
yea i had thought we would get at least 72-74 wins but poor management and the poor signings of Calhoun, Miller etc doomed us
 

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yea i had thought we would get at least 72-74 wins but poor management and the poor signings of Calhoun, Miller etc doomed us

Gray being hurt downgraded the starting pitching, Hearn in the rotation did too. Lots of factors. Baseball be like that.
 

saddles

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Gray being hurt downgraded the starting pitching, Hearn in the rotation did too. Lots of factors. Baseball be like that.
Dunning being injured didn't help either. Of course, none of us expected the first two months we got from our two free agent hitters. If we would have just had a guy who could go 5 or 6 innings a start with an ERA of close to 5.00 instead of the dozen or more bullpen games that would have helped too.

Then again, no one expected what we got out of Perez or Lowe, so maybe overall, the unexpected negatives were balanced out by the unexpected positives.
 
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Dunning being injured didn't help either. Of course, none of us expected the first two months we got from our two free agent hitters. If we would have just had a guy who could go 5 or 6 innings a start with an ERA of close to 5.00 instead of the dozen or more bullpen games that would have helped too.

Then again, no one expected what we got out of Perez or Lowe, so maybe overall, the unexpected negatives were balanced out by the unexpected positives.

Not sure about it balancing out, but there were some positives from the year. The ones you mentioned, and I will add El Bombi improving from last year to the list.
 

saddles

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Not sure about it balancing out, but there were some positives from the year. The ones you mentioned, and I will add El Bombi improving from last year to the list.
I really thought Hearn had a chance to be at least as good as the kind of pitcher I described above, an adequate 5th member of a non-contending rotation.
 

Kelleyman

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Hopefully Hearn has a better outing than last one. He has stuff to be a winning piece but did not show it
 

saddles

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If we lose one or both it will be because of $$$ and not JD getting fired.
It may simply be that CY views in-season negotiations differently. Being an ex-player, he may see it more of a distraction than JD did.
 

saddles

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This paragraph in Scott Lucas ' report today has a few names that could be considered as roster fodder this offseason.

"Kolby Allard reached five innings in all but one of his last eight starts, but he allowed 14 homers and a .563 slugging percentage in that span. Even for the PCL, that's inflated. Allard, AJ Alexy, Yerry Rodriguez, and Nick Snyder are the 40-man pitchers woth some history in the organization who are finishing up their season's in AAA. Tyson Miller and recent waiver claim Drew Strotman are also on the 40, along with rehabbing Spencer Howard."
 

scotsman1948

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This paragraph in Scott Lucas ' report today has a few names that could be considered as roster fodder this offseason.

"Kolby Allard reached five innings in all but one of his last eight starts, but he allowed 14 homers and a .563 slugging percentage in that span. Even for the PCL, that's inflated. Allard, AJ Alexy, Yerry Rodriguez, and Nick Snyder are the 40-man pitchers woth some history in the organization who are finishing up their season's in AAA. Tyson Miller and recent waiver claim Drew Strotman are also on the 40, along with rehabbing Spencer Howard."
and all could be released from the 40 to make room for prospects we shouldn't or want to lose
 

saddles

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