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Question for the Masses 23

PolarVortex

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I usually put these questions in the politics forum but this is a baseball question.

In the baseball season 2035, 17 seasons from now. How many innings will be thrown by the pitcher who leads MLB in innings pitched?

Here is a couple of trends to consider.
Number of pitchers who 200+ innings by year:
2010 - 44
2011 - 39
2012 - 31
2013 - 36
2014 - 34
2015 - 28
2016 - 15
2017 - 15
2018 - 13

Max Schurzer is the only pitcher in the last two season to pitch 220+ innings
Last pitcher to throw 230 IPs - Price 2016
Last pitcher to throw 240 IPs - Price, Cueto 2014
Last pitcher to throw 250 IPs - Verlander 2011
Last pitcher to throw 260 IPs - Halladay 2003
Last pitcher to throw 270 IPs - Randy Johnson 1999
Last pitcher to throw 280 IPs - Charlie Hough 1988
Last pitcher to throw 290 IPs - Jack Morris 1983
Last pitcher to throw 300 IPs - Steve Carlton 1980
 

JohnU

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Well, you can't have 20 pitchers on the team so somebody has to do some innings. I think maybe the cyborg mentality that is ruining the pitching will eventually be taken over by people who have a clue about the human body.

All the same, the next 10 years or so could be telling since nobody in the minors or college ball is throwing more than 10 innings a week. That doesn't figure to change because baseball is run by group-think.

There may be more Ohtani guys on pro rosters moving forward.
 
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MilkSpiller22

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here is the thing... 5 man rotation, 162 games that is saying every starter pitches 32.4 games... Of course, in the beginning of the season many teams use a 4 man rotation for the first few weeks... and the better pitchers will always bump a weaker starter occasionally... So, you can see an ace getting up to 35 starts...

But from there, for a pitcher to get more starts they need to be on a team that is in playoff contention, but not clinched...

so there is kind of a perfect storm needed for a SP to get MORE than 35 games pitched...

It is also very rare for a SP to average MORE than 7 innings per game...

So, it is very difficult even for the MOST used pitchers to reach 250...

Might happen once every 10 years from now on...


But other than that, I don't think much will change from current baseball...
 

navamind

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I dont think too much will change, but I have a feeling we see an uptick in starter usage again. But it might be a while before we see a 250+ inning season again.
 

JohnU

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To be fair, a 7-man rotation or something like it isn't currently hurting the game other than modifying the numbers we use as yardsticks for greatness/HOF. Or is it?

I suppose once pitchers learn to adapt to that, they won't mind a couple more days to prep for the next start.
Not sure how that plays out with their physical training but gurus of muscle and ligament are probably in the lab with it now. Some training coach at Chase & Sanborn Business College in Upstate New York probably has a printout ready to share.

The issue is that there simply are not that many quality pitchers in the sport and there never were.
So ... does having a 7-man rotation hurt the game? I'd say there is enough mediocrity going around now that more of it isn't advancing the notion that the very best is what we see. The politics of that is another topic.

Still, big league clubs are tearing up these guys' elbows and shoulders and demanding they be bigger, stronger, throw harder ... and eventually they will want them to play center field on the days they don't pitch.
 

eaglesnut

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Unless we're going to progress to some sort of non robotic form of pitching the highest inning total for a pitcher in 2035 will be 1,458. One robot costs less than a human pitcher and after the robot barrier was broken in 2031 by Alpha3702 they'll have perfected a variation of him and let it pitch every inning of every game.
 

BigKen

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If a pitcher started 30 games and pitched 9 innings in every game he'd pitch 270 innings.

A high School pitcher can't pitch more than trninning in a week. When bad weaather screws the schedule, most team do eveything they can to spread out the make-ups over a longer period. Teams that play in the siuth generally play more games because spring is spring and the temps get up in the 60's. In the central, north central and northeast weather rarely cooperates and some HS games are played in 28-50 degree temps. I watched a game up here last year that was played in the mid-thirties and the pitcher on the home team had to sit for 45 minutes while his team went through the batting order two and a half times. He was the ace and the coach wouldn't let him go back in. But the coach was more than willing to put some other kid that hadn't warmed up to try to wrap it up. An asshole coach decides who is worth preserving? To me, coaches are a bigger problem than anything else in baseball. Not every team ace is Pedro Martinez or Roger Clemens.
 
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