Playing the numbers game:AFC South versus the AFC West and NFC West

[Brees#1]

Here goes.....................
records against the two outside divisions and division
Houston against the AFC outside division(in this year's case AFC West)
08-2-2(wins-at Pittsburgh, Cincinatti)
09-3-1(loss-New York Jets)
10-2-2(wins-at Oakland, Kansas City)
11-3-1(loss-at Baltimore)
12-3-1(loss-at New England)
13....................................................2-2. They win both home games against Denver and Oakland.

Houston against the NFC division(NFC West this year)
08-3-1(loss:at Minnesota)
09-3-1(loss:at Arizona)
10-1-3(win:at Washington)
11-2-2(wins:at Tampa Bay, Atlanta)
12-2-2(wins:at Detroit, at Chicago)
13.....................................................2-2. They lose at Arizona and against Seattle. So this will be the team the seahawks beat between them and the colts.

Houston within the AFC South
08-2-4
09-1-5
10-3-3
11-4-2
12-5-1
13.......................................................4-2. They split with the colts and jaguars. However they end up sweeping the titans a second straight year. If not for playing Jacksonville twice within a week and a half, I'd think Houston sweeps them.

That puts them at 8-6 pending the swing games and I think they beat both the ravens and pats to go 10-6.

 

[Brees#1]

Indianapolis versus the AFC outside divisions(AFC West this year)
08-4-0
09-2-2(wins:at Miami, New England)
10-3-1(loss:San Diego)
11-0-4
12-2-2(wins:Miami, Buffalo)
13............................................................2-2 again. I already had KC and Oakland losing to them, but San Diego and Denver beating them.

Indianapolis versus the NFC divisions(NFC West)
08-2-2(wins:at Minnesota, Detroit)
09-4-0
10-2-2(wins:at Washington, New York Giants)
11-0-4
12-3-1(loss:at Chicago)
13...........................................................3-1 again. They beat SF in a upset as SF looks ahead to St.Louis and win the home games. They lose at Arizona.

Indianapolis within the AFC South
08-4-2
09-6-0
10-4-2
11-2-4
12-4-2
13........................................................4-2, split with texans and titans and sweep jaguars.

This takes the colts to 9-5 pending the swing games. They will lose at Cincinatti and I also have the dolphins upsetting them week 2 after the colts win against the raiders. Colts end up 9-7, second in the AFC South for the second straight year.

 

[Brees#1]

Tennessee versus the AFC outside divisions(AFC West this year)
08-4-0
09-2-2(wins:Miami, Buffalo)
10-1-3(win:Oakland)
11-2-2(wins:at Cleveland, Baltimore)
12-3-1(loss:New England)
13............................................................2-2. Looks like it will be Tennessee that gets the win in Oakland rather than Jacksonville. They will also beat KC. But San Diego has had their number and going to Denver is just too much for them.

Tennessee versus the NFC divisions(NFC West)
08-4-0
09-4-0
10-3-1(loss:Washington)
11-2-2(wins:at Carolina, Tampa Bay)
12-1-3(winetroit)
13............................................................2-2. They beat SF and St.Louis.

Tennessee within the AFC South
08-4-2
09-2-4
10-2-4
11-3-3
12-1-5
13...........................................................3-3. They split with the colts but will sweep Jacksonville. Houston gets them again twice. The numbers are a little off here but by week 16 Tennessee is going to be in a much better position than Jacksonville so I see the sweep happening.

Titans are 7-7 before the swing games. They are losing at Pittsburgh opening week but I give them the jets. The last game of the season Tennessee and Houston will be competing for the division title. The loser of that ends the season third place. Tennessee loses this and ends up third.

 

[Brees#1]

Jacksonville versus the AFC outside divisions(AFC West)
08-0-4
09-2-2(wins:Buffalo, at New York Jets)
10-2-2(winsenver, Oakland)
11-1-3(wins:Baltimore)
12-0-4
13........................................................1-3. They only beat KC opening week and if not for getting them that week, they would lose.

Jacksonville versus the NFC divisions(NFC West)
08-2-2(wins:at Detroit, Green Bay)
09-1-3(win:St.Louis)
10-1-3(win:at Dallas)
11-1-3(win:Tampa Bay)
12-0-4
13.......................................................1-3. They beat Arizona only out of the NFC West.

Jacksonville within the AFC South
08-2-4
09-3-3
10-3-3
11-3-3
12-2-4
13.....................................................1-5. Their only win will be against Houston. I'm saying they pull out the upset week 12 in Houston(because they are worse at home) but end up losing week 14 at home on a short week.

That takes them to 3-11 before including the swing games. They lose to Cleveland and Buffalo to go 3-13.

 

[Brees#1]

Houston 10-6
Indianapolis 9-7
Tennessee 8-8
Jacksonville 3-13

 

[Brees#1]

I am updating the division. I have changed my mind on SD and KC for Houston and just KC for Indy.
Houston 11-5
Tennessee 9-7
Indianapolis 8-8
Jacksonville 3-13

As a result I have Houston losing the last game as Houston is basically playing that game for a first round bye but they won't get it. Tennessee still will not get wild card but the 4:25 games will decide their fate.

 

[Brees#1]

Here goes.....................
records against the two outside divisions and division
Houston against the AFC outside division(in this year's case AFC West)
08-2-2(wins-at Pittsburgh, Cincinatti)
09-3-1(loss-New York Jets)
10-2-2(wins-at Oakland, Kansas City)
11-3-1(loss-at Baltimore)
12-3-1(loss-at New England)
13....................................................4-0. They sweep the division.

Houston against the NFC division(NFC West this year)
08-3-1(loss:at Minnesota)
09-3-1(loss:at Arizona)
10-1-3(win:at Washington)
11-2-2(wins:at Tampa Bay, Atlanta)
12-2-2(wins:at Detroit, at Chicago)
13.....................................................2-2. They lose at Arizona and against Seattle. So this will be the team the seahawks beat between them and the colts.

Houston within the AFC South
08-2-4
09-1-5
10-3-3
11-4-2
12-5-1
13.......................................................3-3. They split with the all three. The last game of the season titans prevent them from clinching a first round bye

That puts them at 9-5 pending the swing games and I think they beat both the ravens and pats to go 11-5.

Updated in bold

 

[Brees#1]

Indianapolis versus the AFC outside divisions(AFC West this year)
08-4-0
09-2-2(wins:at Miami, New England)
10-3-1(loss:San Diego)
11-0-4
12-2-2(wins:Miami, Buffalo)
13............................................................1-3. They beat only Oakland. Last year they skipped from 0-4 to 2-2 over 1-3.

Indianapolis versus the NFC divisions(NFC West)
08-2-2(wins:at Minnesota, Detroit)
09-4-0
10-2-2(wins:at Washington, New York Giants)
11-0-4
12-3-1(loss:at Chicago)
13...........................................................3-1 again. They beat SF in a upset as SF looks ahead to St.Louis and win the home games. They lose at Arizona.

Indianapolis within the AFC South
08-4-2
09-6-0
10-4-2
11-2-4
12-4-2
13........................................................4-2, split with texans and titans and sweep jaguars.

This takes the colts to 8-6 pending the swing games. They will lose at Cincinatti and I also have the dolphins upsetting them week 2 after the colts win against the raiders. Colts end up 8-8, third in the AFC South.

Updated in bold.

 

[Brees#1]

Tennessee versus the AFC outside divisions(AFC West this year)
08-4-0
09-2-2(wins:Miami, Buffalo)
10-1-3(win:Oakland)
11-2-2(wins:at Cleveland, Baltimore)
12-3-1(loss:New England)
13............................................................2-2. Looks like it will be Tennessee that gets the win in Oakland rather than Jacksonville. They will also beat KC. But San Diego has had their number and going to Denver is just too much for them.

Tennessee versus the NFC divisions(NFC West)
08-4-0
09-4-0
10-3-1(loss:Washington)
11-2-2(wins:at Carolina, Tampa Bay)
12-1-3(win-Detroit)
13............................................................2-2. They beat SF and St.Louis.

Tennessee within the AFC South
08-4-2
09-2-4
10-2-4
11-3-3
12-1-5
13...........................................................4-2. They split with the colts and texans but will sweep Jacksonville. Last game Houston will have division clinched but will fall short at clinching a first round bye for the second straight year.

Titans are 8-6 before the swing games. They are losing at Pittsburgh opening week but I give them the jets. The last game of the season Tennessee will be fighting for a wild card spot like two years ago. 9-7 final record.

Updated in bold