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Brees#1
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2002: TB...TB would not appear again until 2020.
2003: Carolina...Carolina made one more appearance two years later.
2004: Atlanta...not until 2012.
2005: Seattle...since this was Seattle's first in the NFC and they would not reappear until 2013.
2006: Chicago, New Orleans. Chicago did not make NFCCG in 2001 or 2005 with a first round bye. NO's first.
2007: GB, NYG
2008: Arizona
2009: Minnesota
2010: --
2011: SF, first NFCCG since 1995.
2012: Atlanta, first since 04 so likely fresh
2013: Seattle, first since 05 same time frame as above.
2014: --
2015: Carolina, Arizona.
2016: --
2017: Philadelphia, Minnesota(since 09)
2018: LAR, NO
2019: SF... kind of hard to pinpoint here as six years is the closest so far.
2020: TB
2021: --
2022: --
2023: Detroit
2024: Washington
2025: Seattle
Generally, there's been a team that hasn't been to a NFCCG most years in six or more years.
If that trend holds here are the candidates:
Cowboys(yeah, right)
Giants
Packers
Bears
Vikings
Saints
Falcons
Panthers
Bucs
Cardinals
Here is the narrowed down list based on realistic expectations:
Giants
Packers
Bears
Vikings
If there is another team that's hasn't been in a while, it's one of these teams. I think the Bears regress and Giants haven't been a playoff team, so I'm looking at Packers or Vikings if they were to win their division.
Now, who are the teams that have often shown up and how recent?
02-04: Philadelphia(started in 01).
05: Carolina...other than the Eagles it had been all NFC S teams and Carolina was the most experienced of them. The other more recent would be the Rams, Giants, or Vikings. None of those were viable.
08: Philadelphia...first appearance since 04. The Giants, Saints, Panthers, based on this time of the year could have been candidates.
09: NO...speaking of which. Eagles, Giants, Cards, Bears, Packers all options.
10: GB, Chicago...notice a pattern? Eagles in 04, Saints 06, Bears 06, Packers 07. Panthers skipped because Drew Brees set a precedent in the NFC South. And.....
11: NYG. Also from 07. The rotation stopped here.
11-13: SF...SF became a NFC powerhouse with Harbaugh.
14: Seattle, GB..Seattle back to back NFCCGs. SF (at this point) and NO only other viable candidates within the previous five year span.
16: GB, Atl...other candidates were Arizona, Carolina(really not likely to repeat), Seattle(declining).
19-20: GB(again). Likely wouldn't be repeats of LAR, NO(for 19), and not likely Minnesota or Seattle. Carolina, Atlanta, Arizona definitely not. SF and Philadelphia were options. Clearly, GB was on a run here with four straight recurrences out of recurrences.
21: LAR, SF...NFC South teams never had back to back appearances so SF, LAR(the two most recent other than GB), and Philadelphia were the choices. Philadelphia was in a division that yet to become a NFC force again, but about to.
22: Philadelphia. As was previously the case, the Eagles along with SF, LAR, GB were lined up. There usually are never back to back NFCCGs with the same two teams.
22-23: SF again
24: Philadelphia
25: LAR
Perhaps there is a pattern. Because SF, LAR, and Philadelphia have made three or more NFCCGs since 2017. And the other choices were Detroit, Washington, GB, and TB. Detroit was coming off a one and done campaign with the top seed. Washington was a fluke. TB wasn't there tbh. GB was actually the other contender. Had they not faced the Eagles they could have went far.
Now if there is a recurring team, here are the candidates:
Rams
Seahawks
Eagles
Commanders
49ers
Lions
Realistically, it's between four teams as Seattle, Washington I really don't see. Lions could if they take back the North. Do the Eagles make another NFCCG/SB run after a wild card exit year? My hunch says no. If Detroit does not win the division it won't be them. I have to go LAR, who would repeat for the first time, or SF.
So the NFCCG could have any combination of GB/Min, SF, LAR, or Detroit. But I won't rule out Philadelphia. If Detroit, GB, Minnesota, or Philadelphia make it, they're playing LAR or SF.
2003: Carolina...Carolina made one more appearance two years later.
2004: Atlanta...not until 2012.
2005: Seattle...since this was Seattle's first in the NFC and they would not reappear until 2013.
2006: Chicago, New Orleans. Chicago did not make NFCCG in 2001 or 2005 with a first round bye. NO's first.
2007: GB, NYG
2008: Arizona
2009: Minnesota
2010: --
2011: SF, first NFCCG since 1995.
2012: Atlanta, first since 04 so likely fresh
2013: Seattle, first since 05 same time frame as above.
2014: --
2015: Carolina, Arizona.
2016: --
2017: Philadelphia, Minnesota(since 09)
2018: LAR, NO
2019: SF... kind of hard to pinpoint here as six years is the closest so far.
2020: TB
2021: --
2022: --
2023: Detroit
2024: Washington
2025: Seattle
Generally, there's been a team that hasn't been to a NFCCG most years in six or more years.
If that trend holds here are the candidates:
Cowboys(yeah, right)
Giants
Packers
Bears
Vikings
Saints
Falcons
Panthers
Bucs
Cardinals
Here is the narrowed down list based on realistic expectations:
Giants
Packers
Bears
Vikings
If there is another team that's hasn't been in a while, it's one of these teams. I think the Bears regress and Giants haven't been a playoff team, so I'm looking at Packers or Vikings if they were to win their division.
Now, who are the teams that have often shown up and how recent?
02-04: Philadelphia(started in 01).
05: Carolina...other than the Eagles it had been all NFC S teams and Carolina was the most experienced of them. The other more recent would be the Rams, Giants, or Vikings. None of those were viable.
08: Philadelphia...first appearance since 04. The Giants, Saints, Panthers, based on this time of the year could have been candidates.
09: NO...speaking of which. Eagles, Giants, Cards, Bears, Packers all options.
10: GB, Chicago...notice a pattern? Eagles in 04, Saints 06, Bears 06, Packers 07. Panthers skipped because Drew Brees set a precedent in the NFC South. And.....
11: NYG. Also from 07. The rotation stopped here.
11-13: SF...SF became a NFC powerhouse with Harbaugh.
14: Seattle, GB..Seattle back to back NFCCGs. SF (at this point) and NO only other viable candidates within the previous five year span.
16: GB, Atl...other candidates were Arizona, Carolina(really not likely to repeat), Seattle(declining).
19-20: GB(again). Likely wouldn't be repeats of LAR, NO(for 19), and not likely Minnesota or Seattle. Carolina, Atlanta, Arizona definitely not. SF and Philadelphia were options. Clearly, GB was on a run here with four straight recurrences out of recurrences.
21: LAR, SF...NFC South teams never had back to back appearances so SF, LAR(the two most recent other than GB), and Philadelphia were the choices. Philadelphia was in a division that yet to become a NFC force again, but about to.
22: Philadelphia. As was previously the case, the Eagles along with SF, LAR, GB were lined up. There usually are never back to back NFCCGs with the same two teams.
22-23: SF again
24: Philadelphia
25: LAR
Perhaps there is a pattern. Because SF, LAR, and Philadelphia have made three or more NFCCGs since 2017. And the other choices were Detroit, Washington, GB, and TB. Detroit was coming off a one and done campaign with the top seed. Washington was a fluke. TB wasn't there tbh. GB was actually the other contender. Had they not faced the Eagles they could have went far.
Now if there is a recurring team, here are the candidates:
Rams
Seahawks
Eagles
Commanders
49ers
Lions
Realistically, it's between four teams as Seattle, Washington I really don't see. Lions could if they take back the North. Do the Eagles make another NFCCG/SB run after a wild card exit year? My hunch says no. If Detroit does not win the division it won't be them. I have to go LAR, who would repeat for the first time, or SF.
So the NFCCG could have any combination of GB/Min, SF, LAR, or Detroit. But I won't rule out Philadelphia. If Detroit, GB, Minnesota, or Philadelphia make it, they're playing LAR or SF.
