My Past Recruiting Projections

[Footballnut]

Hey all... So i've been following and posting about recruiting on this site since 2014 and thought it would be interesting to look back at how I looked at each class at the close out. Obviously recruiting is an inexact science and evaluation is difficult, however, I thought it would be interesting and if it makes me look like an idiot then so be it! So... here are the links to the commit list threads since 2014:

2014 Commit List (2/2/2014)
2015 Commit List (2-4-2015)
2016 Commit List
2017 Commit List (in OP) and general recruiting thread
2018 Commit List (in OP) and General Recruiting Thread
2019 Commit List (in OP) and General Recruiting Thread

Now I didn't start releasing my own ratings until 2015, and then I switched my system to more accurately fit with 247's system after that so I will just be looking at ranking in each class and if I "hit" or "missed" on my projections.

2015:
1. Jalin Barnett (miss)
2. Eric Lee (miss)
3. Christian Gaylord (miss)
4. Dedrick Young (hit)
5. Carlos Davis (hit)
6. Avery Anderson (miss)
7. Khalil Davis (hit)
8. Lavan Alston (miss)
9. Matt Snyder (miss)
10. Stanley Morgan (miss) - should have had him at the top
11. Aaron Williams (hit)
12. Daishon Neal (hit)
13. Mo Barry (hit-ish) - could be a miss depending on senior year
14. Devin Ozigbo (miss) - should have been higher
15. Michael Decker (hit)
16. Tyrin Ferguson (hit) - see what he does this year
17. Alex Reed (hit)
18. Antonio Reed (miss) - should have had him higher considering he contributed enough
19. Adrienne Talan (hit)
20. Jordan Ober (hit)

So according to my calculations I had 9 misses and 10.5 hits in 2015.

2016 (the caveat with this one is there is still time for some of these guys)
1. John Raridon (miss)
2. Lamar Jackson (hit-ish) - starter for 3 years now but hasn't been GREAT
3. Patrick O'Brien (miss)
4. JD Spielman (hit)
5. Matt Farniok (hit)
6. Marquel Dismuke (hit-ish) - see if he starts this year
7. Greg Simmons (miss)
8. Derrion Grim (miss)
9. Bryan Brokop (miss)
10. JoJo Domann (hit)
11. Quayshon Alexander (miss)
12. Tre Bryant (hit) - knee issues derailed him
13. Boe Wilson (miss) - should be higher
14. Jack Stoll (miss) - should be higher
15. David Engelhaupt (miss)
16. Ben Stille (hit)
17. Collin Miller (hit)
18. DiCaprio Bootle (miss) - should be higher
19. Pernell Jefferson (hit)
20. Tony Butler (hit)
21. Caleb Lightbourn (hit)

10 misses and 11 hits

2017
1. Tyjon Lindsey (miss)
2. Elijah Blades (miss)
3. Jaevon McQuitty (miss-ish) - see what he does after Morgan leaves
4. Avery Roberts (miss)
5. Brendan Jaimes (hit)
6. Deontre Thomas (hit)
7. Tristan Gebbia (miss)
8. Deiontae Watts (miss)
9. Damion Daniels (hit)
10. Guy Thomas (miss)
11. Matt Sichterman (unknown)
12. Keyshawn Johnson Jr. (miss)
13. Kurt Rafdal (unknown)
14. Willie Hampton (miss)
15. Andrew Ward (miss)
16. Ben Miles (miss)
17. Broc Bando (unknown)
18. Chris Walker (unknown)
19. Austin Allen (miss)
20. Jaylin Bradley (unkown)

This class was brutal to me... 12 misses, 2 hits and 6 unkowns

2018
1. Adrian Martinez (hit)
2. Cam'ron Jones (unknown)
3. Will Honas (unknown)
4. Maurice Washington (hit)
5. Caneron Jurgens (unknown)
6. Caleb Tannor (unknown)
7. Greg Bell (miss)
8. Jaron Woodyard (miss)
9. CJ Smith (hit)
10. Cam Taylor (hit)
11. Miles Jones (unknown)
12. Deontai Williams (hit)
13. Tate Wildeman (unknown)
14. Dominick Watt (miss)
15. Andre Hunt (unknown)
16. David Alston (unknown)
17. Mike Williams (hit)
18. Will Farniok (unknown)
19. Justin McGriff (hit)
20. Braxton Clark (miss) - should have been ranked higher
21. Casey Rogers (unknown)
22. Katerian Legrone (unknown)
23. Willie CantyIII (hit)
24. Barrett Pickering (hit)

So... a lot too early to tell with this one 11 unknowns, 9 hits and 4 misses

 

[HuskerinBig10]

That 2017 class is brutal. It wasn't you. You had to work with what Riley and Diaco gave you.

Just Brendan Jaimes and Damion Daniels will be it.

 

[corn train]

I need to look at this when @HuskerinBig10 isnt wicked hammered. I think there’s a few outs D

 

[HuskerPower52]

See I think Ty Robinson could be that defensive end that we supposedly missed out on that pass-rusher that everybody's been looking for I think that fits Ty Robinson to a t.