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Brees#1
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With two AFC teams playing I can go ahead and do this.
NFC East
Philadelphia I expected would start 3-2 or 4-1. I had them losing to KC or LA, but thought the Rams would capitalize. Their loss to Denver is a wrinkle. They haven't lost at home to the Broncos or Raiders in over 20 years. However, I don't believe they lose to the Raiders. They're still on pace for 10, but the Chargers just lost to the Commanders and that's interesting. Cowboys I had right weeks 1-3. I had them splitting the Packers/Jets, but the tie almost helps. However, I thought the Chargers would beat the Giants or Cowboys, and that question was answered. Cowboys still on pace for 9 or 10, but they have to sweep the Giants or end their drought against the Cardinals(they're 1-7 since 06). Giants lost to the Saints, so their scenario went out the door. Commanders won one game they weren't supposed to, against the Chargers. Still, I had them with a losing record.
NFC North
The Packers and Bears were my picks to win the division with the Packers in the majority. Green Bay lost to Cleveland, unexpectedly, but tied with Dallas. Green Bay is staring at a 1-3 record against the AFC North because Cleveland was not a loss I was predicting. Green Bay was projected anywhere from 9 to 12 wins. They were 12-5 if they beat the Cowboys, Steelers, and Eagles, 10-7 if Steelers, 11-6 if Cowboys and Eagles. With the Cleveland loss, they're now at 9 or 10 with the tie. I think the Bears SHOULD win this division now. I expect them to win in Minnesota week 11, but I had them losing to the Raiders(positional matchups were not variable in my models). The Bears had no variance of records and were set at 10 all across. Now it's 11. I did have scenarios of the Lions going 3-1 against the AFC North. But I have 2-2 against the NFC East. The three game home stand weeks 12-14(and they haven't swept even a two game stand with Campbell since 2021) will tell the tale of this Lions team. The schedule takes it's turn against KC. Let's see how this Lions team looks then and week after week. Still standing by no playoffs.
NFC South
This division is correctly going between the two teams expected. I have Atlanta winning. Bucs did win in Houston, but I had them beating Atlanta(in Atlanta), New York, and Seattle. They were at 9 wins, and it's now looking like 10. Atlanta has matched my expectations so far. They had two outcomes, 9-8 or 11-6. Both are still in play. They have been a easy team to predict lately.
NFC West
I have the Rams with HFA mostly. Green Bay's loss has sealed it. Even though they lost to the Eagles, they're probably going to make it up by beating by the Lamarless Ravens. If not, Atlanta has a small shot at the top seed as their 11 wins include beating the Rams. SF is 4-1, but they lost against Jacksonville(I had them losing to Titans some but that's not happening ATM) . I had them 2-3, but they could lose week 10 to the Rams. Seattle, however, I'm not sure. Seattle will have to have something to play for to have any shot in SF week 18. SF still at 9 or 10. Seattle is rightly 3-2, but I had the Bucs and Steelers winning. However, if they still split with SF they gain a win and get to 10. They were looking at 9-8 again. Arizona lost to Tennessee, and I'm no longer factoring them.
Still, Cowboys, Bears, Packers, Eagles, Falcons, Rams, 49ers are all still alive for my main playoff picture.
NFC East
Philadelphia I expected would start 3-2 or 4-1. I had them losing to KC or LA, but thought the Rams would capitalize. Their loss to Denver is a wrinkle. They haven't lost at home to the Broncos or Raiders in over 20 years. However, I don't believe they lose to the Raiders. They're still on pace for 10, but the Chargers just lost to the Commanders and that's interesting. Cowboys I had right weeks 1-3. I had them splitting the Packers/Jets, but the tie almost helps. However, I thought the Chargers would beat the Giants or Cowboys, and that question was answered. Cowboys still on pace for 9 or 10, but they have to sweep the Giants or end their drought against the Cardinals(they're 1-7 since 06). Giants lost to the Saints, so their scenario went out the door. Commanders won one game they weren't supposed to, against the Chargers. Still, I had them with a losing record.
NFC North
The Packers and Bears were my picks to win the division with the Packers in the majority. Green Bay lost to Cleveland, unexpectedly, but tied with Dallas. Green Bay is staring at a 1-3 record against the AFC North because Cleveland was not a loss I was predicting. Green Bay was projected anywhere from 9 to 12 wins. They were 12-5 if they beat the Cowboys, Steelers, and Eagles, 10-7 if Steelers, 11-6 if Cowboys and Eagles. With the Cleveland loss, they're now at 9 or 10 with the tie. I think the Bears SHOULD win this division now. I expect them to win in Minnesota week 11, but I had them losing to the Raiders(positional matchups were not variable in my models). The Bears had no variance of records and were set at 10 all across. Now it's 11. I did have scenarios of the Lions going 3-1 against the AFC North. But I have 2-2 against the NFC East. The three game home stand weeks 12-14(and they haven't swept even a two game stand with Campbell since 2021) will tell the tale of this Lions team. The schedule takes it's turn against KC. Let's see how this Lions team looks then and week after week. Still standing by no playoffs.
NFC South
This division is correctly going between the two teams expected. I have Atlanta winning. Bucs did win in Houston, but I had them beating Atlanta(in Atlanta), New York, and Seattle. They were at 9 wins, and it's now looking like 10. Atlanta has matched my expectations so far. They had two outcomes, 9-8 or 11-6. Both are still in play. They have been a easy team to predict lately.
NFC West
I have the Rams with HFA mostly. Green Bay's loss has sealed it. Even though they lost to the Eagles, they're probably going to make it up by beating by the Lamarless Ravens. If not, Atlanta has a small shot at the top seed as their 11 wins include beating the Rams. SF is 4-1, but they lost against Jacksonville(I had them losing to Titans some but that's not happening ATM) . I had them 2-3, but they could lose week 10 to the Rams. Seattle, however, I'm not sure. Seattle will have to have something to play for to have any shot in SF week 18. SF still at 9 or 10. Seattle is rightly 3-2, but I had the Bucs and Steelers winning. However, if they still split with SF they gain a win and get to 10. They were looking at 9-8 again. Arizona lost to Tennessee, and I'm no longer factoring them.
Still, Cowboys, Bears, Packers, Eagles, Falcons, Rams, 49ers are all still alive for my main playoff picture.









