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I'm going to do a game by game predictions of a team that won't make the playoffs

Brees#1

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Chargers.

No division placement prediction here and I may not talk about them in the predictions because I don't do full division predictions unless necessary.

Cards-Win
Raiders-LOSS

This one is surprising, but if the Raiders beat one division rival in a meaningful game, it's going to be the Chargers. Furthermore, the Raiders QB situation is better than what it was and with their explosive playmakers, this has the makings of a divisional game upset after beating a worse team week 1.

@Bills-Loss
@Seahawks-Win
Seattle is going to have that letdown game somewhere, and after two cross country road games, traveling back home from Maryland should find the Seahawks slightly fatigued. The Chargers also tend to match up well against teams like Seattle. Hampton should be able to neutralize the ground game and he is better than Charbonnet. I expect this game to be a 17-20 kind of game.
Broncos-Loss. Denver simply needs to capitalize on games they couldn't win in 25. Getting Waddle should help them take down the Chargers in LA.
@Chiefs-Loss. KC has this circled, and they're rested.

Going into their bye, the Chargers are 2-4 with a challenging rest of the schedule.

@Rams-Loss.
Texans-Win
I think the Chargers play better here. Houston will be rested, but also they will be rested with a West Coast road game before going to Cleveland. Earlier in the year, the Chargers are fresh enough to win this game.

@Ravens-Win
So the Chargers are going to try to claw their way back to a .500 record. The thing about this matchup is it's not John Harbaugh coaching the Ravens. Minter has no goods on the offense with a new OC. I think Jim wants to beat the Ravens without his brother on the team and I can also sense this being an emotional game for him as well after they fired his brother.

Jets-Win
Jets defensively are going to be better, but the Chargers have not lost at home to the Jets since 2009 playoffs.

Patriots-Win.
Here is another upset, though it shouldn't be when it's played. Patriots will be off a bye week traveling out west and while NE could go back to their ways of owning this team, I don't think that's going to be the case. Its a West Coast primetime game and I think the Chargers match up decently at home against the Patriots to pull this game out. And just like that, the Chargers are 6-5.

@bucs-Win.
The Bucs won in LA in 2024 but I don't believe the Bucs will have much to play for here and the Chargers do.

@Raiders-Win
Chargers get back at the Raiders in Vegas.

Chargers are 8-5, and it then goes downhill.

49ers-Loss. After the Chargers rack up two wins on the road, they come home flat against a team that won't have to travel much. I think this game gets flexed out of TNF. But I see the 49ers being more healthier here and winning on the road.

@Dolphins-LOSS. When I look at the other three games closing out, I can make a wild guess here. Miami is not going 0-17. Usually a bad team wins late that is winless. Miami did this in 2007. The Browns did in 2016 against this team. Chargers also have a weird history with the Dolphins and struggle in Miami. You would think McDaniels gets his revenge, but I believe the Dolphins best shot at getting a win is against the Jets, Bengals, or Chargers, and the Jets have every reason to strike back at them plus the Bengals tore them a new one in 25.

Chiefs-Loss.
One team is playing for the division and not five games behind this time either, while the other is fighting for the playoffs. It's clear who has the edge. Chargers get eliminated here.

@Broncos-Loss.


So, I have the Chargers going 8-9. I wonder what Harbaugh will do if 2014 is any indication.
 

jarntt

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Over/Under on Chargers is lower than I would have thought. They won 11 games last year and Slater missed the whole season and Alt missed have the season. Issue is Slater always seems to be hurt and their OL always gets Herbert killed. Not sure it stops this year. If Slater and Alt both play 17 games I can't see them only winning 8 or even 9 games
 

Clayton

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Over/Under on Chargers is lower than I would have thought. They won 11 games last year and Slater missed the whole season and Alt missed have the season. Issue is Slater always seems to be hurt and their OL always gets Herbert killed. Not sure it stops this year. If Slater and Alt both play 17 games I can't see them only winning 8 or even 9 games
One of the things with the AFC West teams is that they play the NFC West and the AFC East. There is a really good chance that the NFCW has the two best teams in the NFC (LA and Seattle) while the AFC East might have two of the best teams in the AFC (Buf and New England) on top of playing the Broncos and Chiefs twice. Not a hard schedule overall maybe but the hard games will be really hard.

As far as the roster is concerned, Keenan Allen was still productive for them last year and not on the team atm. Their receivers are...fine. You certainly wouldn't trade WR corps with Dallas. Their RBs are...ok. Their IOL is below average. Their tackles are awesome if they get them back healthy. Herbert with a fine receiver group can be pretty good. Chargers were 24th in PPG last year. 8th in PPG defense. Chargers lost their defensive coordinator. Certainly a lot of things seem to push them towards the middle of the league.

A lot of people online are counting the Chiefs out a bit after last year so I think logically if KC is in the middle of a rebuild then picking the Chargers makes sense. Although as a Chiefs fan Im obviously going to have a different opinion.
 

Clayton

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@Dolphins-LOSS. When I look at the other three games closing out, I can make a wild guess here. Miami is not going 0-17. Usually a bad team wins late that is winless. Miami did this in 2007. The Browns did in 2016 against this team. Chargers also have a weird history with the Dolphins and struggle in Miami. You would think McDaniels gets his revenge, but I believe the Dolphins best shot at getting a win is against the Jets, Bengals, or Chargers, and the Jets have every reason to strike back at them plus the Bengals tore them a new one in 25.
I do agree that its hard to go 0-17 but if the Chargers are fighting for a playoff spot and healthy they are beating Miami. It Miami is bad and the worst roster it is hard to predict where they get their wins. Last year you look at Tennessee and they got a miracle win against Arizona with a lot of crazy plays and they beat Kansas City once the Chiefs packed it up for the season. So thats the type of thing Miami might be looking at imo. An 8-7 Chargers team that is healthy is beating Miami most of the time. A 6-9 team probably wont.
 

jarntt

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One of the things with the AFC West teams is that they play the NFC West and the AFC East. There is a really good chance that the NFCW has the two best teams in the NFC (LA and Seattle) while the AFC East might have two of the best teams in the AFC (Buf and New England) on top of playing the Broncos and Chiefs twice. Not a hard schedule overall maybe but the hard games will be really hard.
and those two divisions may also have 3 of the worst teams in the NFL. Practically layups
 

Clayton

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and those two divisions may also have 3 of the worst teams in the NFL. Practically layups
Yeah, and 2 games against the Raiders. As such I do think the AFCW is very likely to get at least two teams into the playoffs.
 

jarntt

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Beat five layups, go .500 against everyone else. 11-6 if a good team just plays like they're good. No excuses if you stay healthy.
And if I'm saying more than 9 wins that gives me a game to play with. Of course when their OL eventually puts Herbert in the hospital all bets are off...:what:
 

Clayton

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Of course when their OL eventually puts Herbert in the hospital all bets are off...:what:
I think losing your two OTs would doom almost any team in the league. The fact they made the playoffs last year was kinda nuts
 

jarntt

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I think losing your two OTs would doom almost any team in the league. The fact they made the playoffs last year was kinda nuts
Yes, but their OL has been a mess for a few years now and Slater always seems hurt. They haven't just lost starters, they lost starters and backups at the same position multiple times
 

UnrealTerm04

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I wonder if Herbert has another good season statistically but subpar post season performance, if Harbaugh will part ways with Herbert.
 

bksballer89

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That week 3-10 stretch is so damn hard. They can actually lose every game they play during that stretch
 

bksballer89

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For the Chargers to have any chance at the playoffs, they must start 2-0 then somehow manage go at least 3-4 in weeks 3-10

That leaves them at a solid 5-4 basically halfway through
 

jarntt

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and right on cue the Chargers OL injuries start already. It's insane. Every year...

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jarntt

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I wonder if Herbert has another good season statistically but subpar post season performance, if Harbaugh will part ways with Herbert.
I'm gonna go with no...

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Los Angeles Chargers Head Coach Jim Harbaugh says he wakes up early everyday just thinking about how to get Justin Herbert into the Hall of Fame:

"I woke up about four hours before your show. I was just staring at the ceiling. That hasn’t changed. I think when it’s all said and done, I think he’s the best I’ve ever seen, in person."

"And when it’s all said and done, I want him to be recognized for that because I truly believe that’s going to be the case. He’s certainly well on that path."
 
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