Bowl Match-Ups Part One

[Gator]

Some people like to brag about their conferences Bowl records for a season. Most don't look at the actual match-ups.
What I prefer to do is to look at the match-ups in view of a teams in-conference ranking. To do this I refer to the "Massey Composite Rankings" which as the name implies is an average of the on-line rankings (usually about 90 ranking systems).

Here are the P5 vs P5 Bowl match-ups with the conference rankings...
The "expectations are based on P5 is a P5 (i.e., All P5 conferences are alike!)

ACC # 1 Florida State Seminoles...............VS SEC # 2 Georgia Bulldogs..............................Florida State Seminoles Favored
ACC # 2 Louisville Cardinals.........................VS PAC # 7 USC Trojans..........................................Louisville Cardinals Favored
ACC # 3 Clemson Tigers.................................VS SEC # 8 Kentucky Wildcats............................Clemson Tigers Favored
ACC # 4 NC State Wolfpack..........................VS Big12 # 3 Kansas State Wildcats................Kansas State Wildcats Favored
ACC # 5 North Carolina Tar Heels..............VS Big12 # 7 West Virginia Mountaineers...North Carolina Tar Heels Favored
ACC # 6 Miami Hurricanes.............................VS B1G # 8 Rutgers Scarlet Knights................Miami Hurricanes Favored
ACC # 8 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.......VS Big12 # 9 UCF Knights....................................Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Favored
ACC Expectation 6 - 1 - 0


B1G # 1 Michigan Wolverines......................VS SEC # 1 Alabama Crimson Tide.................Tie
B1G # 2 Ohio State Buckeyes.......................VS SEC # 4 Missouri Tigers...................................Ohio State Buckeyes Favored
B1G # 3 Penn State Nittany Lions...............VS SEC # 5 Ole Miss Rebels.................................Penn State Nittany Lions Favored
B1G # 4 Iowa Hawkeyes..................................VS SEC # 6 Tennessee Volunteers.....................Iowa Hawkeyes Favored
B1G # 5 Maryland Terrapins..........................VS SEC # 9 Auburn Tigers.....................................Maryland Terrapins Favored
B1G # 6 Wisconsin Badgers...........................VS SEC # 3 LSU Tigers............................................LSU Tigers Favored
B1G # 7 Northwestern Wildcats..................VS PAC # 6 Utah Utes.............................................Utah Utes Favored
B1G # 8 Rutgers Scarlet Knights.................VS ACC # 6 Miami Hurricanes............................Miami Hurricanes Favored
B1G Expectation 4 - 3 - 1


B12 # 1 Texas Longhorns................................VS PAC # 1 Washington Huskies......................Tie
B12 # 2 Oklahoma Sooners..........................VS PAC # 3 Arizona Wildcats.............................Oklahoma Sooners Favored
B12 # 3 Kansas State Wildcats....................VS ACC # 4 NC State Wolfpack.........................Kansas State Wildcats Favored
B12 # 5 Oklahoma State Cowboys...........VS SEC # 7 Texas A&M Aggies..........................Oklahoma State Cowboys Favored
B12 # 7 West Virginia Mountaineers........VS ACC # 5 North Carolina Tar Heels............North Carolina Tar Heels Favored
B12 # 8 Texas Tech Red Raiders................VS PAC # 9 California Golden Bears...............Texas Tech Red Raiders Favored
B12 # 9 UCF Knights........................................VS ACC # 8 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.....Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Favored
B12 Expectation 4 - 2 - 1


IND 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish............VS PAC 5 Oregon State Beavers........................Notre Dame Fighting Irish Favored
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Expectation 1 - 0 - 0


PAC # 1 Washington Huskies....................VS B12 # 1 Texas Longhorns....................................Tie
PAC # 3 Arizona Wildcats...........................VS B12 # 2 Oklahoma Sooners..............................Oklahoma Sooners Favored
PAC # 5 Oregon State Beavers ...............VS IND # 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish..............Notre Dame Fighting Irish Favored
PAC # 6 Utah Utes...........................................VS B1G # 7 Northwestern Wildcats.....................Utah Utes Favored
PAC # 7 USC Trojans......................................VS ACC # 2 Louisville Cardinals.............................Louisville Cardinals Favored
PAC # 9 California Golden Bears............VS B12 # 8 Texas Tech Red Raiders....................Texas Tech Red Raiders Favored
PAC Expectation 1 - 4 - 1


SEC # 1 Alabama Crimson Tide.............VS B1G # 1 Michigan Wolverines..........................Tie
SEC # 2 Georgia Bulldogs.........................VS ACC # 1 Florida State Seminoles...................Florida State Seminoles Favored
SEC # 3 LSU Tigers .......................................VS B1G # 6 Wisconsin Badgers..............................LSU Tigers Favored
SEC # 4 Missouri Tigers...............................VS B1G # 2 Ohio State Buckeyes..........................Ohio State Buckeyes Favored
SEC # 5 Ole Miss Rebels.............................VS B1G # 3 Penn State Nittany Lions..................Penn State Nittany Lions Favored
SEC # 6 Tennessee Volunteers.................VS B1G # 4 Iowa Hawkeyes.....................................Iowa Hawkeyes Favored
SEC # 7 Texas A&M Aggies......................VS B12 # 5 Oklahoma State Cowboys...............Oklahoma State Cowboys Favored
SEC # 8 Kentucky Wildcats........................VS ACC # 3 Clemson Tigers.....................................Clemson Tigers Favored
SEC # 9 Auburn Tigers.................................VS B1G # 5 Maryland Terrapins.............................Maryland Terrapins Favored
SEC Expectation 1 - 7 - 1

 

[belcherboy]

Thanks for doing this. It's nice to see it all laid out like this.

I remember when conference bowl records were important, but it's obvious that the bigger programs now don't care about these bowl games very much anymore, and who can blame them? Many of their top players won't be playing, and early signing day is a week away. No need to waste too much time working on a game plan for an exhibition game when you've got recruiting to work on.

 

[PIBuckeye]

I have no idea how FSU is favored over GA. I expect that to be a 3 score win for GA.

 

[foster4prez]

I have no idea how FSU is favored over GA. I expect that to be a 3 score win for GA.

UGA is favored by like 16. I don't know what he is talking about.

 

[belcherboy]

UGA is favored by like 16. I don't know what he is talking about.

I think he is using the average of the rankings in this thread. The CFP, AP, and Coaches poll all have FSU ranked above UGA. So I'm assuming that is why it has FSU beating UGA.

The only chance FSU has, and even then it is still a slim chance in my opinion, is if UGA has several key starters sit out this game. If Kirby just phones in the game prep, and concentrates on recruiting, while treating this more like a team vacation, FSU could sneak one out...I guess.

 

[foster4prez]

I think he is using the average of the rankings in this thread. The CFP, AP, and Coaches poll all have FSU ranked above UGA. So I'm assuming that is why it has FSU beating UGA.

The only chance FSU has, and even then it is still a slim chance in my opinion, is if UGA has several key starters sit out this game. If Kirby just phones in the game prep, and concentrates on recruiting, while treating this more like a team vacation, FSU could sneak one out...I guess.

This is dumb and pointless. Especially in a post-portal era. Judging many teams on their bowl performance when they won't even resemble the team that played the regular season.

 

[belcherboy]

This is dumb and pointless. Especially in a post-portal era. Judging many teams on their bowl performance when they won't even resemble the team that played the regular season.

I agree. The bowl system is now just a way for teams to practice for a few weeks longer, get a good look at some of the younger talent on the team, and get an all expense paid vacation for your entire team. There really is no reason to spend much time creating a competitive game plan, especially now that early signing day is in late December.

 

[foster4prez]

I agree. The bowl system is now just a way for teams to practice for a few weeks longer, get a good look at some of the younger talent on the team, and get an all expense paid vacation for your entire team. There really is no reason to spend much time creating a competitive game plan, especially now that early signing day is in late December.

Bingo - Its back to being a full on exhibition. Anyone making any serious take-aways from bowl season is kidding themselves at this point.

 

[Gator]

I have no idea how FSU is favored over GA. I expect that to be a 3 score win for GA.

It is based on the idea that ALL P5 conference are equally "strong". FSU is the #1 team in the ACC and UGA is the #2 SEC team thus FSU "should" beat UGA. (It's not what Vegas says!)

 

[Gator]

I think he is using the average of the rankings in this thread. The CFP, AP, and Coaches poll all have FSU ranked above UGA. So I'm assuming that is why it has FSU beating UGA.

The only chance FSU has, and even then it is still a slim chance in my opinion, is if UGA has several key starters sit out this game. If Kirby just phones in the game prep, and concentrates on recruiting, while treating this more like a team vacation, FSU could sneak one out...I guess.

No, as I said.
It is based on the idea that ALL P5 conference are equally "strong". an 8-4 record is an 8-4 records in any P5 conference. (or the #1 team is the ACC is equal to the #1 team in B1G or the PAC or the Big 12) FSU is the #1 team in the ACC and UGA is the #2 SEC team thus FSU "should" beat UGA --IF all conferences are equal!!!
(It's not what Vegas think! That is in part two)

 

[Fitbud]

I agree. The bowl system is now just a way for teams to practice for a few weeks longer, get a good look at some of the younger talent on the team, and get an all expense paid vacation for your entire team. There really is no reason to spend much time creating a competitive game plan, especially now that early signing day is in late December.

Will the bowl system be used in the upcoming 12 team playoff or will higher seeded teams get a home game?

 

[foster4prez]

Will the bowl system be used in the upcoming 12 team playoff or will higher seeded teams get a home game?

First round is at higher seeded home. Second round on is the NY6 bowls. Championship is bid out.