50 in 50?

[elocomotive]

Ovechkin now has 26 goals in 29 games.

Will he reach the coveted 50 in 50 and join the club with Richard, Bossy, Gretzky, Lemieux, and Hull?

[YOUTUBE]f_4-rCROcsM[/YOUTUBE]

 

[elocomotive]

I suppose I should have said 40-49 neighborhood.

 

[KennyBanyeah]

I suppose I should have said 40-49 neighborhood.

Oh and OVENCHICKEN WILL ONLY SCORE 43 goals in hiz first 50 games. LULZZ!!1

 

[esls79]

Do shootout goals count?

 

[KennyBanyeah]

Do shootout goals count?

No.

And neither do empty net goals or goals on which a second assist is recorded.

 

[elocomotive]

Do shootout goals count?

I don't understand what you are saying. In DC, when the guy scores his third goal during the shootout, you throw your hat onto the ice.

 

[Cobiemonster]

No but he'll be somewhere between 40-49 - probably in the 40-45 area

 

[Darkstone42]

I expect regression, but not such an appreciable regression that it keeps him from getting to 40.

He would actually have to improve his pace to get to 50, and I deem that unlikely.

 

[Darkstone42]

For those of you interested, Ovechkin's present pace is for 45 goals through the first 50 games.

I predict exactly 40.

NostraDarkstone has spoken.

 

[BOSSMANPC]

He will end in the neighborhood of 50.

 

[Comeds]

48 goals in his last 50 regular season goals is impressive too. Well kind of. Its OK.

 

[wings-pens2166]

no....I'll go with 44.

 

[Nasty_Magician]

I don't think 75 in 50 is unrealistic. He scored 4 goals last night. He keeps that up he'll reach that in no time.

 

[jstewismybastardson]

I have a feeling he coasts into the Olympic break so as to not get hurt ... between 40 and 50

Im cheering for that fat and sassy russian ham to hit 70 for the regular season though ... post olympic letdown worrys me though ... especially if he ends up drinking as heavily in Sochi as he did at Russia House in Vancouver

 

[DragonfromTO]

I expect regression, but not such an appreciable regression that it keeps him from getting to 40.

He would actually have to improve his pace to get to 50, and I deem that unlikely.

13 goals in the next 21 games is still 51 goals over an 82 game season, it's not like he'd be falling off the face of the earth

 

[elocomotive]

48 goals in his last 50 regular season goals is impressive too. Well kind of. Its OK.

Is that the OvechSlam?


I give Nasty props for being the only one with the stones to say he does it.

I think he'll end up with 43, but everyone has to give Nasty rep if OV pulls it off.

 

[Forty_Sixand2]

100 in 50.


BOOKIT!!!

 

[elocomotive]

100 in 50.


BOOKIT!!!

Well now it's a lock.

 

[Forty_Sixand2]

How annoying was it today that Ovie had such an awesome game and all of the talk today (aside from two Junks segments) was RGInactive. Ugh. Sometimes I hate this town.

 

[elocomotive]

One notable difference I'm seeing this year and towards the end of last - OV is putting the puck on net.

When he went through that cold spell from 2010-2012, he was frequently missing the net with his shots. I don't know if he was being too fine with it, hesitating too much, or if the switch to the opposite wing has helped, but he's really putting a high percentage of his shots on the net right now. The tying goal from last night is a good example - not a great shot (should have been stopped), but you put it on net and things sometimes happen.

Here's some quick math on OV's potential season...

Based on Ovechkin's shooting pace, if he's healthy and plays in the Caps' remaining 51 games, he should shoot about 270 shots at his current pace.

If he puts them in at 16.7% like he has been, that would mean a 71-goal season.
Even if he put them in at just under his career average at 12%, that would still be a 58-goal season.

70 goals? Now that would be special.

If you want to compare 70 goals today to the year Gretzky scored 92, it would be the equivalent of scoring roughly 105 goals by comparison using a 3-year average today and then.