2026 San Francisco Giants

[calsnowskier]

As of 7/8:
7-0 when they don't allow the other team to score
7-0 - 1 run allowed (14-0)
7-4 - 2 runs allowed (21-4)
6-8 - 3 runs allowed (27-12)
3-3 - 4 runs allowed (30-15)
3-8 - 5 runs allowed (33-21)
3-9 - 6 runs allowed (36-32)
0-5 - 7 runs allowed (36-37)
0-5 - 8 runs allowed (36-42)
1-5 - 9 runs allowed (37-47)
1-7 - 10 or more runs allowed (38-54)

16-0 when they score 7 runs or more
8-3 when they score 6 runs (24-3)
4-3 when they score 5 runs (28-6)
0-4 when they score 4 runs (28-10)
7-13 when they score 3 runs (35-23)
2-12 when they score 2 runs (37-35)
1-10 when they score 1 run (38-45)
0-9 when they get shut out (38-54)

Projected final record for 2026: 67-95

1-40 when trailing in the 6th.

 

[tzill]

Willy Adames has 93 wRC+ in 363 plate appearances this year. When the Giants signed him, he had a career 110 wRC+, which is good but not great. I think a fair criticism of the deal at the time was how long before age regression makes him a below-average hitter?

 

[calsnowskier]

Willy Adames has 93 wRC+ in 363 plate appearances this year. When the Giants signed him, he had a career 110 wRC+, which is good but not great. I think a fair criticism of the deal at the time was how long before age regression makes him a below-average hitter?

I think the org felt embarrassed by the whole Correa fiasco. And the fanbase had 10 years of Craw and wanted an anchor at short. The Giants wanted a SS, so they got a SS. Simple as that.

 

[Stokes1931]

I think the org felt embarrassed by the whole Correa fiasco. And the fanbase had 10 years of Craw and wanted an anchor at short. The Giants wanted a SS, so they got a SS. Simple as that.

What? Johnny "Boo" Lemaster wasn't available?

 

[LHG]

1-40 when trailing in the 6th.

That is mainly on the starting rotation.

 

[LHG]

Update on bullpen meltdowns, since we've had a couple of them recently:
April 5th - Giants take a 2-1 lead in the 6th inning, only to have both Winn and Miller melt down in the 8th inning, allowing 4 runs to score. Giants lose 2-5.
April 6th - This one may not fully be on the bullpen but they helped. Giants go up 4-0 on the Phillies by the end of the 4th inning. Houser allows 2 runs in the 5th and gets in trouble in the 6th inning, putting runners on, before Borucki comes in and completely melts down. Giants lose 4-6.
April 30th (DH game 1) - Giants going into the 9th inning up 2-1 in Philly. Walker comes and promptly loses the game by allowing 2 runs in the 9th.
April 30th (DH game 2) - Giants take the lead in Philly in the top of the 9th inning, only to have Winn give up the tying run and Gage give up the winning run in the 10th.
May 3rd - Giants take a 1-0 lead into the bottom of the 8th in Tampa, only to have Walker give up the tying run that inning and Kilian give up the winning run in the 10th.
May 6th - Tie game 1-1 in SF against the Padres. Houser starts the 6th and first batter gets on base due to an error. Winn comes in and walks the first batter but gets two quick outs. He is pulled for Gage, who proceeds to give up a triple, giving the Padres a lead. Walker would come in the next inning and give up 2 more runs.
May 9th - Giants tied with the Pirates 0-0 going into the top of the 5th. Roupp gives up a single to the first batter and is pulled for Borucki. He then proceeds to allow 2 runners to score. Walker, Brubaker, Santos and Koss later give up a combined 11 runs (with some defensive gaffes) to lose the game 3-13.
May 14th - Against the Dodgers, in LA, tied up 2-2 going into the bottom of the 5th inning. Roupp gives up a walk, out and single before being replaced by Gage. He then gets a strikeout before giving up two singles and a walk, allowing the Dodgers to win the game (Giants lose 2-5).
May 19th - Giants leading 3-1 going into the bottom of the 9th in Arizona. Kilian and Gage combine to give up 4 runs in that inning to lose the game.
May 27th - This is technically on the bullpen but they really did their best to not blow it. Giants tied with D-Backs in SF going into the 7th inning. McDonald gets the first out, gives up two singles and then gets pulled for Gage. Gives up ground ball that should have been an out but Devers makes the error and bases are loaded. Next batter hits a sacrifice fly that, if Devers played the ball correctly the batter before, would have been the third out. Instead, D-Backs score what would be the winning run. Gage strikes out the next batter.
May 29th - Giants go into the bottom of the 9th in Colorado with a 6-3 lead. So TV sits on Kilian throughout the 9th, allowing 5 runs and gives up the loss.
June 6th - Giants take a 2-1 lead in the game against the Cubs on the road in the top of the 9th, only to have Winn allow the tying run in the bottom half of the inning and Hentges give up the winning run in the 10th.
June 8th - Giants go into the top of the 9th leading the Nationals 3-1. Winn relieves Webb to start the 9th and gives up 3 runs. The Giants don't score in the bottom half of the 9th and lose the game.
June 19th - Giants leading 3-2 in Miami. Bottom of the 7th, Hentges comes in and allows 2 runs to lose the game.
June 25th - Giants up 6-2 at home against the A's, TV hands the ball over to the bullpen. Walker and Miller give up 2 runs that inning. Smith gives up another run in the 8th but Giants finish 8 full still up 6-5. Then TV decides for the 2nd time this season to let Kilian stay in the 9th way too long, giving up 4 runs and the game in the process!
June 29th - Mahle loads the bases, while getting just one out, in the bottom of the 5th inning after Giants has just tied 1-1 in the top half. Hentges is brought in for relief and proceeds to give up a bases clearing double before getting the other 2 outs. Brubaker gives up what comes the decisive run in the next inning and the Giants lose in Arizona 4-5.
July 5th - Smith gives up 3 runs, and the lead, to the Rockies in Colorado in the bottom of the 8th. Giants fell to score in the 9th and lose 6-7.
July 10th - Giants up 2-1 going into the top of the 9th at home against the Rockies (THE ROCKIES!). Kilian brought in to close out the game. Instead, he gives up 3 hits and a walk without getting an out. Miller relieves him and proceeds to allow another runner to score before getting 3 outs. Giants lose 3-4.

The Giants have lost 55 games so far this season. The bullpen has been directly responsible for 18 of those losses (maybe 17 if you don't count the May 27th game and just put that on the defense). Compare that to the 37 games already lost before the bullpen threw a pitch.

 

[tzill]

This bullpen is dogshit.

 

[LHG]

This bullpen is dogshit.

I'd argue the starting rotation has been the bigger issue. Just about every start from Mahle and Houser had the Giants already in a losing position. McDonald's starts have become increasingly bad. Roupp has looked worse as the season has gone on. Even Webb has been generally poor this season, minus a few good starts after he came back from the IL. Only Ray has been trending upward recently, just in time for a trade, and he still has his issues.

 

[LHG]

As of 7/10:
7-0 when they don't allow the other team to score
7-0 - 1 run allowed (14-0)
8-4 - 2 runs allowed (22-4)
6-8 - 3 runs allowed (28-12)
3-4 - 4 runs allowed (31-16)
3-8 - 5 runs allowed (34-22)
3-9 - 6 runs allowed (37-33)
0-5 - 7 runs allowed (37-38)
0-5 - 8 runs allowed (37-43)
1-5 - 9 runs allowed (38-48)
1-7 - 10 or more runs allowed (39-55)

17-0 when they score 7 runs or more
8-3 when they score 6 runs (25-3)
4-3 when they score 5 runs (29-6)
0-4 when they score 4 runs (29-10)
7-14 when they score 3 runs (36-24)
2-12 when they score 2 runs (38-36)
1-10 when they score 1 run (39-46)
0-9 when they get shut out (39-55)

Projected final record for 2026: 67-95

 

[calsnowskier]

As of 7/10:
7-0 when they don't allow the other team to score
7-0 - 1 run allowed (14-0)
8-4 - 2 runs allowed (22-4)
6-8 - 3 runs allowed (28-12)
3-4 - 4 runs allowed (31-16)
3-8 - 5 runs allowed (34-22)
3-9 - 6 runs allowed (37-33)
0-5 - 7 runs allowed (37-38)
0-5 - 8 runs allowed (37-43)
1-5 - 9 runs allowed (38-48)
1-7 - 10 or more runs allowed (39-55)

17-0 when they score 7 runs or more
8-3 when they score 6 runs (25-3)
4-3 when they score 5 runs (29-6)
0-4 when they score 4 runs (29-10)
7-14 when they score 3 runs (36-24)
2-12 when they score 2 runs (38-36)
1-10 when they score 1 run (39-46)
0-9 when they get shut out (39-55)

Projected final record for 2026: 67-95

4 runs allowed is the losing break point and 5 runs scored is the winning break point (technically we have a winning record at 3+ runs scored, but 3 and 4, specifically, are still losing scores).

These may be somewhat standard numbers. Just trying to find something that really pops out…

 

[LHG]

4 runs allowed is the losing break point and 5 runs scored is the winning break point (technically we have a winning record at 3+ runs scored, but 3 and 4, specifically, are still losing scores).

These may be somewhat standard numbers. Just trying to find something that really pops out…

What sticks out to me is both that they have scored 4 or fewer runs in 59 games and that they have allowed 5 or more runs in 47 games.

On the pitching side, that makes sense. The offense should be capable of scoring on a regular basis but it seems that the "clutch" factor is almost nonexistent on this team (except in those rare high scoring games).

 

[tzill]

Devers is going to mess around, hit 30-35 home runs, and drive in 90+ runs despite a historically bad April. Kind of insane.

 

[calsnowskier]

Devers is going to mess around, hit 30-35 home runs, and drive in 90+ runs despite a historically bad April. Kind of insane.

He is anti-clutch. He feasts during blowouts, but hibernates in close games.

 

[tzill]

Willy Adames has a .279 on-base percentage on the year. You just cannot have that anywhere near the top or middle of the lineup unless he is offsetting it with elite power, which Adames is not.

 

[tzill]

And the pick is: FLORA!!!

 

[calsnowskier]

And the pick is: FLORA!!!

 

[tzill]

Dude is going to fit right in on a TV team. Chilly Goo Bear on the mound.

 

[calsnowskier]

Flora is an advanced college Jr, so I would expect him to MAYBE get his cuppo by ‘28. He should be anchored in the rotation by mid-‘29

 

[calsnowskier]

Dude is going to fit right in on a TV team. Chilly Goo Bear on the mound.

Don’t say that. I want to like the kid…

 

[tzill]

Good chance that the Giants sign Jackson Flora to an underslot deal, so that they can reallocate that money to these next few picks.