ALEX SMART
Matchup: Mariners at Astros
Time: 8:10 pm ET
8/20 Free Pick: OVER 8.5 (-105)
Analysis:
According to my projections based on my pitcher vs batting order power rankings a total combined score of 9+ runs scored. The Mariners are 14-0 OVER L/14 on the road when they are off two straight wins in which they never trailed. Over is 16-7 in Astros last 23 vs. American League West. Over is 39-17 in Astros last 56 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (SEATTLE) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs, playing on Friday are 57-21 OVER L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Play OVER
