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- #181
deep9er
Well-Known Member
The below excerpt is about Chase Young at 2nd overall, but the concept is similar (not same) at 13th:
“If you’re going to pass up Player A, and you go back and you take Player D, Player D has to be equal to Player A, you know what I’m saying?” Rivera said. “Because if Player A is going to play for you for 10 years, and Player D might not, did you really get value or did you just get a whole bunch of picks?”
And considering Young is, again, the best edge rush prospect in a decade, a trade down likely wouldn’t net a player of his value, someone with an elite ceiling who plays a critical position and is a hometown hero to boot.
“We need a guy just to come in and really change our football team,” Rivera said. “To me there’s a few guys on that board that are those kind of players.”
Everyone wants a trade down to add more players, but the big assumption is the extra player(s) WILL be solid player(s). We assume the player(s) we add in rounds 2 or 3 or 4 WILL fill that hole.
The next big assumption is the guy we get at 21st or 22nd will be the same stud as what we'd get at 13th. But odds are you "diluted" the 13th pick ging that far down.
I'm fine with one small trade down but i'm also fine with none. This is a good team that needs quality, not quantity. Yes, some needs will remain, but adding two studs for 10 years isn't a bad thing. Vice a 3rd or 4th rounder that never fills the need the way we assume. If you want a trade down for a 2nd rounder, then you're really diluting the 13th. Will the 21st pick "really change our football team"?
The 49ers are already the odds on to represent the NFC in the SB. If we have holes, other teams have more. Thats just the way the cap works, you CAN'T fill every single position.
“If you’re going to pass up Player A, and you go back and you take Player D, Player D has to be equal to Player A, you know what I’m saying?” Rivera said. “Because if Player A is going to play for you for 10 years, and Player D might not, did you really get value or did you just get a whole bunch of picks?”
And considering Young is, again, the best edge rush prospect in a decade, a trade down likely wouldn’t net a player of his value, someone with an elite ceiling who plays a critical position and is a hometown hero to boot.
“We need a guy just to come in and really change our football team,” Rivera said. “To me there’s a few guys on that board that are those kind of players.”
Everyone wants a trade down to add more players, but the big assumption is the extra player(s) WILL be solid player(s). We assume the player(s) we add in rounds 2 or 3 or 4 WILL fill that hole.
The next big assumption is the guy we get at 21st or 22nd will be the same stud as what we'd get at 13th. But odds are you "diluted" the 13th pick ging that far down.
I'm fine with one small trade down but i'm also fine with none. This is a good team that needs quality, not quantity. Yes, some needs will remain, but adding two studs for 10 years isn't a bad thing. Vice a 3rd or 4th rounder that never fills the need the way we assume. If you want a trade down for a 2nd rounder, then you're really diluting the 13th. Will the 21st pick "really change our football team"?
The 49ers are already the odds on to represent the NFC in the SB. If we have holes, other teams have more. Thats just the way the cap works, you CAN'T fill every single position.
