Predicting Florida vs Awbarn

[JuiceTheGator]

Most of us have been watching CFB for quite awhile. It seems to me, the Barn would be a 5 point favorite because they've beaten 2 ranked teams. Still they barely got by aTm and Oregon and we shouldn't count how many points scored on a mess of an opponent. That "quality win" against a basket case argument is just stupid.

UF's running game hasn't gotten going and that's why 2 points for Auburn seems a bit small. Still, the game is in the Swamp and Auburn is often quite stupid. So.......and ??

ESPN FPI’s early prediction for Auburn-Florida game

The Tigers’ impressive 56-23 win over Mississippi State has given Gus Malzahn’s squad a significant boost in the metrics. Heading into Week 5, the FPI was giving Florida a 53.1 percent chance to win. In the newest FPI rankings, Auburn is No. 7 while Florida is No. 12, a move upward of two spots for the Tigers while the Gators stayed the same after a 38-0 win over FCS Towson.

Auburn, Florida odds open with a tight line

No. 7 Auburn at No. 10 Florida opened as a pick 'em Sunday, according to VegasInsider.com. The line has since moved with Auburn as a 2-point favorite as of 1:25 p.m. CT Sunday.

Team Stats

Points Per Game 38.0 - 34.0
Points Allowed Per Game 17.2 - 8.8
Total Yards 454.4 - 429.6
Yards Passing 203.4 - 288.2
Yards Rushing 251.0 - 141.4
Yards Allowed 320.2 - 277.8
Pass Yards Allowed 225.0 - 191.0
Rush Yards Allowed 95.2 - 86.8​

 

[Boglodyte]

Auburn by 7td’s

 

[TigerBait1971]

Depends entirely on which Gus shows up.

 

[cwerph]

I don't have an opinion on who wins this one, nor do I really care, but why is any win over Mississippi State considered impressive?

 

[tabascojet]

Auburn by 7td’s

Oh hi there....

 

[JuiceTheGator]

Auburn by 7td’s

Welcome to the SportsHoopla. I can tell your impressive analysis and soaring intellect will fit right in.

 

[DayDrinkinginDurham]

Gators will be exposed, violently. By rights they shouldn't have beaten Miami in week one, only a cupcake schedule with two fcs schools has kept them undefeated. Tigers by 4 tds minimum.

 

[Moab]

Gators will be exposed, violently. By rights they shouldn't have beaten Miami in week one, only a cupcake with two fcs schools has kept them undefeated. Tigers by 4 tds minimum.

So you're saying shutting out Towson isn't impressive?

 

[JuiceTheGator]

I don't have an opinion on who wins this one, nor do I really care, but why is any win over
Mississippi State considered impressive?

Agreed. Still, winning by a miracle over a weak team tends to hurt...like Clemson. Piss State isn't a cupcake but they were just a mess yesterday. 50 points or 5 points is a win.

 

[tnapucco]

Most of us have been watching CFB for quite awhile. It seems to me, the Barn would be a 5 point favorite because they've beaten 2 ranked teams. Still they barely got by aTm and Oregon and we shouldn't count how many points scored on a mess of an opponent. That "quality win" against a basket case argument is just stupid.

UF's running game hasn't gotten going and that's why 2 points for Auburn seems a bit small. Still, the game is in the Swamp and Auburn is often quite stupid. So.......and ??

ESPN FPI’s early prediction for Auburn-Florida game

The Tigers’ impressive 56-23 win over Mississippi State has given Gus Malzahn’s squad a significant boost in the metrics. Heading into Week 5, the FPI was giving Florida a 53.1 percent chance to win. In the newest FPI rankings, Auburn is No. 7 while Florida is No. 12, a move upward of two spots for the Tigers while the Gators stayed the same after a 38-0 win over FCS Towson.

Auburn, Florida odds open with a tight line

No. 7 Auburn at No. 10 Florida opened as a pick 'em Sunday, according to VegasInsider.com. The line has since moved with Auburn as a 2-point favorite as of 1:25 p.m. CT Sunday.

Team Stats

Points Per Game 38.0 - 34.0
Points Allowed Per Game 17.2 - 8.8
Total Yards 454.4 - 429.6
Yards Passing 203.4 - 288.2
Yards Rushing 251.0 - 141.4
Yards Allowed 320.2 - 277.8
Pass Yards Allowed 225.0 - 191.0
Rush Yards Allowed 95.2 - 86.8​

They're gonna put it in there.

...and you're gonna dig it.

 

[JuiceTheGator]

So you're saying shutting out Towson isn't impressive?

Seriously, they're not bad. They're on par with Nebraska or Michigan on a rough day.


I didn't want this to be a butthurt kinda' thread. It just seemed to me the spread would favor Auburn more....and thus I'd win more money.

 

[Boglodyte]

I don't have an opinion on who wins this one, nor do I really care, but why is any win over Mississippi State considered impressive?

Auburn has 2 decent wins over teams with a pulse


Fla has yet to play a team with a pulse

 

[JuiceTheGator]

Auburn has 2 decent wins over teams with a pulse


Fla has yet to play a team with a pulse

Neither has Wisconsin.

 

[Boglodyte]

Neither has Wisconsin.

No argument there....

At least fla won’t have to beat us in a bowl game again this year.

 

[BoiseMike19]

Auburn by 7td’s

Okay, that just came off as bitter and mean.

 

[Moab]

Fla by 4...I'm thinking the home field is the difference...

 

[BoiseMike19]

Neither has Wisconsin.

Snap!

 

[JuiceTheGator]

Fla by 4...I'm thinking the home field is the difference...

Really? Maybe it's because I spend my work days separating financial decisions from accompanying emotions, but I'd be hesitant to make that wager.

 

[The Crimson King]

Most of us have been watching CFB for quite awhile. It seems to me, the Barn would be a 5 point favorite because they've beaten 2 ranked teams. Still they barely got by aTm and Oregon and we shouldn't count how many points scored on a mess of an opponent. That "quality win" against a basket case argument is just stupid.

UF's running game hasn't gotten going and that's why 2 points for Auburn seems a bit small. Still, the game is in the Swamp and Auburn is often quite stupid. So.......and ??

ESPN FPI’s early prediction for Auburn-Florida game

The Tigers’ impressive 56-23 win over Mississippi State has given Gus Malzahn’s squad a significant boost in the metrics. Heading into Week 5, the FPI was giving Florida a 53.1 percent chance to win. In the newest FPI rankings, Auburn is No. 7 while Florida is No. 12, a move upward of two spots for the Tigers while the Gators stayed the same after a 38-0 win over FCS Towson.

Auburn, Florida odds open with a tight line

No. 7 Auburn at No. 10 Florida opened as a pick 'em Sunday, according to VegasInsider.com. The line has since moved with Auburn as a 2-point favorite as of 1:25 p.m. CT Sunday.

Team Stats

Points Per Game 38.0 - 34.0
Points Allowed Per Game 17.2 - 8.8
Total Yards 454.4 - 429.6
Yards Passing 203.4 - 288.2
Yards Rushing 251.0 - 141.4
Yards Allowed 320.2 - 277.8
Pass Yards Allowed 225.0 - 191.0
Rush Yards Allowed 95.2 - 86.8​

Barely got by A&M? Come on man. They would've needed a miracle to win that game

 

[thunderc]

Auburn 31-20

 

[JuiceTheGator]

Barely got by A&M? Come on man. They would've needed a miracle to win that game

One score game...a lot of stuff happened during that game which could've given them another score. And you know it!