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Gator

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"h.t.t.p://w w w.bcftoys.com/2016-sos/"

Those wonderful folks who brought you FEI have analyzed schedules over the past 14 season and it is quite interesting.

Here is their description of the metrics.
“Strength of Schedule Ratings are a function of the FEI ratings of a given team's opponents and the location (home/away/neutral) of each game. Overall SOS ratings represent the likelihood than an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's entire schedule.

The table includes the average number of losses an elite team would have against the schedule (EL), the average number of losses a good team (one standard deviation better than average) would have against the schedule (GL), and the average number of losses an average team would have against the schedule (AL). The total number of games in the given team's entire schedule against FEI top 5 opponents (v5), top 15 opponents (v15), top 30 opponents (v30), and top 50 opponents (v50) is also included.

The strength of the given team's regular season schedule discounting conference championship games and bowl games (RSOS), as well as the average number of elite team losses (REL), good team losses (RGL), and average team losses (RAL) that would be expected against the given team's regular season schedule are also included.”

Here are top 25 teams in each category averaged over the 14 years span:
SOS: “ Overall SOS ratings represent the likelihood than an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's entire schedule.”

1. Arkansas.................0.062071
2. LSU.........................0.080714
3. Florida.....................0.082214
4. Auburn....................0.090357
5. Tennessee...............0.094786
6. Alabama..................0.101143
7. Mississippi State.......0.113429
8. Mississippi...............0.113571
9. Texas A&M..............0.115929
10. Oklahoma.............0.122500
11. Arizona.................0.134357
12. Washington...........0.134857
13. South Carolina......0.135214
14. Georgia................0.142857
15. Kentucky..............0.150214
16. Oregon.................0.152857
17. Oregon State........0.153714
18. Notre Dame..........0.156214
19. Stanford...............0.157500
20. USC.....................0.159143
21. Michigan...............0.160571
22. Colorado...............0.164429
23. California..............0.167071
24. Michigan State.......0.167571
25. Ohio State.............0.168429

Here is the list for RSOS.
RSOS: Regular season SOS

1. Arkansas..................0.076571
2. Tennessee................0.117786
3. Mississippi State........0.118286
4. Mississippi................0.122929
5. Auburn.....................0.126429
6. LSU..........................0.127857
7. Texas A&M................0.135143
8. Arizona....................0.148000
9. South Carolina..........0.150857
10. Kentucky................0.156286
11. Oregon State..........0.164429
12. Washington............0.167357
13. Florida...................0.174643
14. California...............0.178571
15. Vanderbilt..............0.186500
16. Notre Dame...........0.188571
17. Colorado................0.192429
18. Alabama................0.193929
19. Washington State...0.195000
20. Texas Tech............0.197286
21. Arizona State.........0.199357
22. Stanford................0.201786
23. Michigan................0.206000
24. Georgia.................0.208071
25. USC......................0.221571

Apparently, NOT everyone thinks the SEC scheduling is weak!!!! (Just those on the left coast!!!).
 

Churchillin

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Here is their description of the metrics.
“Ratings are a function of the FEI ratings of a given team's opponents and the location (home/away/neutral) of each game. Overall SOS ratings represent the likelihood than an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's entire schedule.

The table includes the average number of losses an elite team would have against the schedule (EL), the average number of losses a good team (one standard deviation better than average) would have against the schedule (GL), and the average number of losses an average team would have against the schedule (AL). The total number of games in the given team's entire schedule against FEI top 5 opponents (v5), top 15 opponents (v15), top 30 opponents (v30), and top 50 opponents (v50) is also included.

upload_2017-3-27_23-42-5.png
 

RegentDenali

LOL at 42-13, 29-3, 19-3
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12. Washington

i1221.photobucket.com_albums_dd475_bamathrasher_kenny-powers-real-american_o_gifsoupcom.gif
 

Rolltide94

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I don't think it is coincidental that the majority of the top ten of both lists have Alabama on their schedule every year...

Alabama...propping up the SEC West since 2008.
 

jon2tanman

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1st list=8 pac-12 teams. 2nd list=9 pac-12 teams.
 

TROJAN-MAN

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"h.t.t.p://w w w.bcftoys.com/2016-sos/"

Those wonderful folks who brought you FEI have analyzed schedules over the past 14 season and it is quite interesting.

Here is their description of the metrics.
“Strength of Schedule Ratings are a function of the FEI ratings of a given team's opponents and the location (home/away/neutral) of each game. Overall SOS ratings represent the likelihood than an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's entire schedule.

The table includes the average number of losses an elite team would have against the schedule (EL), the average number of losses a good team (one standard deviation better than average) would have against the schedule (GL), and the average number of losses an average team would have against the schedule (AL). The total number of games in the given team's entire schedule against FEI top 5 opponents (v5), top 15 opponents (v15), top 30 opponents (v30), and top 50 opponents (v50) is also included.

The strength of the given team's regular season schedule discounting conference championship games and bowl games (RSOS), as well as the average number of elite team losses (REL), good team losses (RGL), and average team losses (RAL) that would be expected against the given team's regular season schedule are also included.”

Here are top 25 teams in each category averaged over the 14 years span:
SOS: “ Overall SOS ratings represent the likelihood than an elite team (two standard deviations better than average) would go undefeated against the given team's entire schedule.”

1. Arkansas.................0.062071
2. LSU.........................0.080714
3. Florida.....................0.082214
4. Auburn....................0.090357
5. Tennessee...............0.094786
6. Alabama..................0.101143
7. Mississippi State.......0.113429
8. Mississippi...............0.113571
9. Texas A&M..............0.115929
10. Oklahoma.............0.122500
11. Arizona.................0.134357
12. Washington...........0.134857
13. South Carolina......0.135214
14. Georgia................0.142857
15. Kentucky..............0.150214
16. Oregon.................0.152857
17. Oregon State........0.153714
18. Notre Dame..........0.156214
19. Stanford...............0.157500
20. USC.....................0.159143
21. Michigan...............0.160571
22. Colorado...............0.164429
23. California..............0.167071
24. Michigan State.......0.167571
25. Ohio State.............0.168429

Here is the list for RSOS.
RSOS: Regular season SOS

1. Arkansas..................0.076571
2. Tennessee................0.117786
3. Mississippi State........0.118286
4. Mississippi................0.122929
5. Auburn.....................0.126429
6. LSU..........................0.127857
7. Texas A&M................0.135143
8. Arizona....................0.148000
9. South Carolina..........0.150857
10. Kentucky................0.156286
11. Oregon State..........0.164429
12. Washington............0.167357
13. Florida...................0.174643
14. California...............0.178571
15. Vanderbilt..............0.186500
16. Notre Dame...........0.188571
17. Colorado................0.192429
18. Alabama................0.193929
19. Washington State...0.195000
20. Texas Tech............0.197286
21. Arizona State.........0.199357
22. Stanford................0.201786
23. Michigan................0.206000
24. Georgia.................0.208071
25. USC......................0.221571

Apparently, NOT everyone thinks the SEC scheduling is weak!!!! (Just those on the left coast!!!).


Of course you're going to have a strong SOS, when your entire conference is preseason ranked in the top 25 every year
 

jon2tanman

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Is their a sos that includes fcs/fbs opponents? I would like to see with and without, side by side.
 

ericd7633

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Of course you're going to have a strong SOS, when your entire conference is preseason ranked in the top 25 every year

Holy shit...Preseason polls have no bearing on strength of schedule.
 

MAIZEandBLUE09

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:pound:@ the B1G some more.
I wonder how much of that is the perceived notion that the B10 itself is weak? If there's a preconceived notion that the SEC is the strongest conference over the past 10-15 years, then it seems obvious to me why they end up on top of this list. All the other metrics basically fall back on original SoS rankings.
 

Bamabino

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I wonder how much of that is the perceived notion that the B10 itself is weak? If there's a preconceived notion that the SEC is the strongest conference over the past 10-15 years, then it seems obvious to me why they end up on top of this list. All the other metrics basically fall back on original SoS rankings.




The numbers don't lie. The B1G is weak. Bama 38-0 over MSU. Clemson 31-0 over OSU, and in the playoffs no less.

:pound:
 

MAIZEandBLUE09

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The numbers don't lie. The B1G is weak. Bama 38-0 over MSU. Clemson 31-0 over OSU, and in the playoffs no less.

:pound:
If we're talking about a few select games, sure. But everyone seems to forget the B10 plays a lot of non-conference games early in the season every year. Just last year the B10 Wisconsin beat LSU, OSU beat Oklahoma, Michigan Beat CU (one of the Pac12's best teams last year) and so on.
 

Wild Turkey

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I don't think it is coincidental that the majority of the top ten of both lists have Alabama on their schedule every year...

Alabama...propping up the SEC West since 2008.
Clemson has given us quite a bump as well so don't go stealing all the spotlight.
 

Gator

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Of course you're going to have a strong SOS, when your entire conference is preseason ranked in the top 25 every year

Of course YOU would make this comment. That SOP for TROJAN-MAN. It has nothing to do with PRESEASON RANKINGS. It is a computerized analysis of ALL games ACTUALLY played.
 
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