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Western Conference Finals Prediction

Hornsstampede2.0

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The SPURS are everything that Denver is not.
In every possible way, the Spurs are the wrong matchup for GSW.

1. GSW are small. They can be abused by big men.
SA has a true low post offensive threat in the halfcourt.
Denver does not have any paint scoring other than its penetration and putbacks.

2. GSW relies on winning the 3 point battle.
SA has 3 point shooters that match GSW 3 point shooters.
Denver does not as they are horribly bad outside shooters.

3. Without the 3 point offense, GSW is very uncomfortable with inside offense.
San Antonio defends the 3 point line very well, but is weaker in defending big men.
Denver defends big men well, but does not defend 3s.

4. Home Court/ Road Games
San Antonio can win on the road. They are the least likely to be rattled by a crowd.
Denver struggles on the road. They easily get spooked away from home.

5. David Lee
Lee was a beast who abused SA and their weakness vs Big men. He is needed badly.
Denver allows the 3-point uptempo style. Lee was not important.

6. Pacing
San Antonio can win in games played in the 70s and 80s.
Denver only feels comfortable in the high octane 100+ pace.



This is just the worst possible matchup for Golden State.
Whereas Denver was the best possible matchup for Golden State.


But, Golden State is just young enough and crazy enough to throw this all away and win.

I think San Antonio wins in 5 or 6.

But, if the smallball GSW can steal game 1 (Tiago Splitter might be out), they could maybe shock us all.
 

Clayton

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Its really hard to get past a few things with Golden St.

1. They shot ridiculously well (even for them) when they beat Denver at Denver.
2. They haven't won in San Antonio since 1997 or something like that.
3. They obviously need to win in SA to win the series

This has Spurs in 5 all over it. Spurs in 7 if David Lee magically comes back
 
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