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POLL How far will these misfit Lakers go?

How far will these misfit Lakers go?

  • Implode mid-season

    Votes: 10 16.9%
  • Western Conference Finals Loss

    Votes: 5 8.5%
  • NBA Finals Loss

    Votes: 1 1.7%
  • Beat the Celtics in the Finals

    Votes: 3 5.1%
  • First Round Loss

    Votes: 18 30.5%
  • Second Round Loss

    Votes: 22 37.3%

  • Total voters
    59

flyerhawk

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I think the Lakers will make the playoffs.

But it isn't 100%. More like 85-90, IMO.

I have never seen a better 10th best team in my lifetime. The gap between 3-10 is tiny.

Pretty much how I see. I would probably put their chances closer to 75% though.

The big issue for the Lakers, IMO, is going to be those first 30 or so games. The Heat started .500 or so their first year with Lebron and the Cavs were .500 after 40 games with him. Both of those teams had significantly better talent than this Lakers team.

Given that it seems, at least for the moment, that this team is going to be structured very differently than the previous teams, I think it is entirely possible that this team could be sub-.500 after 30 games. If they start 12-18 to start the season, as an example, they would need to play .700 ball to finish out the season with 48 wins. That's a big ask for this team.
 

tlance

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I'd say the gap between 2-10 is tiny. Houston isn't a complete lock

Houston would need major injuries. More than just CP3.

But you are right. West is legit.
 

flyerhawk

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Anything can happen. Not a single team in the league is 100% safe from crashing and burning this season.

The Warriors about a 99% chance to make the playoffs. If I were to round up it would be a 100%.

The Rockets are about a 95% chance.

The Lakers are probably closer to a 70% chance
 
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The Warriors about a 99% chance to make the playoffs. If I were to round up it would be a 100%.

The Rockets are about a 95% chance.

The Lakers are probably closer to a 70% chance

It was 75% a minute ago. What happened in the last five minutes?
 

Gman

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First off the projections for the Lakers are, so far, between 41.5 wins and 48.5 wins. 41.5 is likely too low unless Lebron misses significant time. But if we look at Vegas'(48.5) number then missing the playoffs is a very real possibility. The 8th seed last year was a 47 win team. So if the Lakers underachieve a little from the vegas lines, 2 games, then they miss the playoffs. It's not exactly an earth shattering event.
^ All this is fine... I don't so much disagree with it as have a firm belief that we coud put LeBron James on any team in the NBA... pick one... and that team would be in the playoffs.

IOW: Sacramento is a playoff team if you add LeBron James. So is Atlanta. Or any other lowly team you could pick out.

Yeah... I'd put my money on team LeBron in any such hypothetical scenario.
 

tlance

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The Warriors about a 99% chance to make the playoffs. If I were to round up it would be a 100%.

The Rockets are about a 95% chance.

The Lakers are probably closer to a 70% chance

Golden State is 99.99999999%

Would take season ending injuries to 3 or more of their stars.
 

DJ

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The article makes some interesting points.

First off the projections for the Lakers are, so far, between 41.5 wins and 48.5 wins. 41.5 is likely too low unless Lebron misses significant time. But if we look at Vegas'(48.5) number then missing the playoffs is a very real possibility. The 8th seed last year was a 47 win team. So if the Lakers underachieve a little from the vegas lines, 2 games, then they miss the playoffs. It's not exactly an earth shattering event.
Another website has the Lakers at 52.5. The one Wiggy was using for his propsed bets.
 

DJ

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Pretty much how I see. I would probably put their chances closer to 75% though.

The big issue for the Lakers, IMO, is going to be those first 30 or so games. The Heat started .500 or so their first year with Lebron and the Cavs were .500 after 40 games with him. Both of those teams had significantly better talent than this Lakers team.

Given that it seems, at least for the moment, that this team is going to be structured very differently than the previous teams, I think it is entirely possible that this team could be sub-.500 after 30 games. If they start 12-18 to start the season, as an example, they would need to play .700 ball to finish out the season with 48 wins. That's a big ask for this team.
12-18? Have you seen their schedule?
 

DJ

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The Warriors about a 99% itchance to make the playoffs. If I were to round up it would be a 100%.

The Rockets are about a 95% chance.

The Lakers are probably closer to a 70% chance
I say 83.99999%.

For the record....I have them as the 4 or 5 seed. Hoping for 4 so we have a series at home.
 

flyerhawk

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Another website has the Lakers at 52.5. The one Wiggy was using for his propsed bets.

Sure. It could be right as well. It's all speculation.
 

flyerhawk

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12-18? Have you seen their schedule?

No. Have you? I didn't think schedules were released yet. I thought they came out next week.
 

flyerhawk

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I say 83.99999%.

For the record....I have them as the 4 or 5 seed. Hoping for 4 so we have a series at home.

I have them as a 4 or 5 seed as well.
 
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