Discussion in 'MLB Baseball Forum' started by Chewbaccer, Jul 8, 2018.
4 Red Sox fail a PED test
Come to mind
Oakland get 2nd WC
Classic case of projecting ^
The Rockies get 1 of the NL wild cards.
Textbook steroid use for the other 3
Opposite. I'd be least surprised to find JD roiding. Mookie is a shrimp with little muscle mass.
Nothing wrong at all in believing in your team.
Not if the A's play 7 games over .500 the rest of the way.
White sox bullpen will have the worst era in baseball
For me I have a tough time seeing the A's rotation hold up. And do they have the resources to add an arm at the end of July? We will see. The line up is solid and Trienen has been great but even after what its probably their best stretch they are still 6 out.
Well, as I said, I wouldn't bet on the A's overtaking them.
However, I think Seattle has enjoyed a soft schedule thus far, done unsustainably well in one-run games, and has played a bit over their heads, so I don't see them playing at this pace the whole season and there could be some regression to the mean.
The Mariners have built up a nice lead though, and it's likely that it'll hold. My point was just to counter the absurd notion that if the Mariners play .500, they're guaranteed a Wild Card. They're not. Lot of baseball left to play.
As of this morning, the A's and Angels both have better run differentials than the Mariners.
The NL wins the home run derby
A 6 game deficit in July can be overcome.
Agree and just to be clear I see a lot of holes in this Mariners team and could think up many scenarios where things could go wrong. They have played the A's well (6-3) so far. I don't fret the run differential as much because every year there seems to be one team that has a lower run differential that gets in. Last year it was the Twins, the year before it was the Rangers who won 95 games with a run differential of like +10 or something. The bigger concern is it causes them to use Edwin Diaz every night and not sure its reasonable to expect him to be as dominant in September given the workload.
Word. You might remember that on September 1, 2011, the Red Sox had a 9-game lead on the Rays for the Wild Card and missed the playoffs.
That was funny.
Yeah, it sucked. But I can look back and laugh at it after 2013.
Just to cite a few recent examples:
2015 Jays were 8 games back on July 28 and won the division by 6 games
2012 A's were 13 games back on June 30 and won the division in Game 163
2014 Angels were 6 games back on June 20 and won the division by 10 games (the division was tied on August 25 and they were leading by 11 on September 12)
2012 Orioles were also down by 10 games back on July 18 and tied the division on September 4 (though they finished 2 games back)
2017 Cubs went from 5.5 games back on July 15 to being 0.5 up on July 26 (they won the division)
Separate names with a comma.