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Computer Baseball Ratings

charlie42s

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Just noticed that Kansas is #1 on the Big 12 Standings with no conference games played and wondered about their RPI so I decided to search for computer ratings to see if they SOS was any good and it wasn't.

I feel much better about my Longhorns #4.

Here's Boyd's World. NCAA Division I Baseball -- Pseudo-RPI's Best viewed at their website I tried to adjust the page but it didn't work so well. You should have seen it before I edited it, just one long stream of data.
Last updated: Fri Mar 7 06:30:06 2014

Division I Adjusted Overall
Rank Rating W L W L W L Team
1 0.712 11 1 10.1 0.7 11 1 Memphis
2 0.688 12 0 9.3 0.0 12 0 South Carolina
3 0.687 1 2 1.3 1.4 1 2 Dartmouth
4 0.674 10 3 9.1 2.7 10 3 Texas
5 0.672 1 2 1.3 1.4 1 2 Yale
6 0.665 9 2 7.8 2.3 9 2 Virginia
7 0.664 8 3 6.8 3.0 9 3 Fresno State
8 0.655 2 2 2.6 1.4 2 2 Sacred Heart
9 0.651 10 1 8.8 1.3 10 1 Florida State
10 0.649 2 2 2.6 1.4 2 2 Columbia

I'm figuring the teams with losing records got beat by teams with winning records and will fall down the ratings once they start playing more series.
 

charlie42s

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Here's Sonny Moore's COLLEGE BASEBALL POWER RATINGS & RANKINGS
Damn, SportsHoopla's editor is ignoring the spaces when I put them into the columns, best viewed at the website

Teams: W L T SCHEDL PR
1 SOUTH CAROLINA 12 0 0 20.664 28.445
2 FLORIDA ST. 10 1 0 21.405 28.440
3 UCLA 7 5 0 24.020 28.201
4 CAL STATE FULLERTON 7 3 0 25.417 28.159
5 VANDERBILT 12 2 0 23.070 27.738
6 NORTH CAROLINA 8 3 0 22.107 27.574
7 ARIZONA ST. 6 4 0 24.692 27.435
8 OREGON ST. 10 3 0 22.531 27.384
9 VIRGINIA 9 2 0 21.206 27.357
10 LSU 11 2 0 18.871 27.217
11 STANFORD 5 7 0 26.035 27.139
12 ARKANSAS 7 2 0 21.596 27.135
13 NORTH CAROLINA ST. 10 2 0 20.597 27.042
14 OREGON 10 3 0 24.022 26.901
15 ARIZONA 6 7 0 21.202 26.498
16 MISSISSIPPI ST. 11 4 0 20.293 26.466
17 RICE 8 5 0 24.419 26.465
18 CAL POLY 9 2 0 24.904 26.454
19 FLORIDA 7 6 0 23.306 26.313
20 SAN DIEGO 8 3 0 22.603 26.246
21 BAYLOR 6 6 0 24.467 26.049
22 CALIFORNIA IRVINE 9 3 0 23.705 26.031
23 TEXAS 10 3 0 24.438 26.022
24 NEW MEXICO 8 4 1 21.840 25.886
25 TCU 8 4 0 21.937 25.873
 

charlie42s

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Here's the link to Massey's and I didn't even try to put it here.
Massey Ratings - CBASE
Which seems more reasonable, but Kansas' 11-1 record has them #9. I predict they will fall once they get into conference play.
 

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Good thread and links. Thanks Charlie.
 

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Post #2 looks like a typical CWS pool without Cinderella.
 

charlie42s

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Sonny Moore's COLLEGE BASEBALL POWER RATINGS & RANKINGS
I can't understand how this system works. Is a high SCHEDL good or bad? It appears to be that high is better as #3 and #4 are only 2 games above 500 and have high SCHEDL, but #24 Texas has a higher SCHEDL and better record than #23 Clemson.:wtf2:

Teams: W L T SCHEDL PR
1 FLORIDA ST. 13 2 0 21.903 28.414
2 SOUTH CAROLINA 16 0 0 19.902 28.263
3 CAL STATE FULLERTON 8 6 0 25.598 28.050
4 UCLA 9 7 0 24.226 28.024
5 VANDERBILT 16 2 0 22.242 27.711
6 NORTH CAROLINA 11 4 0 21.954 27.428
7 OREGON ST. 15 3 0 21.569 27.314
8 VIRGINIA 12 3 0 21.325 27.224
9 LSU 15 2 0 19.386 27.223
10 ARIZONA ST. 7 6 0 24.517 27.171
11 OREGON 12 4 0 23.808 27.037
12 NORTH CAROLINA ST. 14 2 0 20.799 27.037
13 STANFORD 7 8 0 25.590 26.980
14 ARKANSAS 8 5 0 22.593 26.904
15 ARIZONA 9 9 0 22.072 26.622
16 SAN DIEGO 11 4 0 23.398 26.503
17 RICE 11 6 0 23.884 26.359
18 FLORIDA 10 6 0 23.091 26.232
19 CAL POLY 11 3 0 23.914 26.222
20 KENTUCKY 13 4 0 20.873 26.193
21 CALIFORNIA IRVINE 12 4 0 24.026 26.150
22 MISSISSIPPI ST. 13 7 0 21.471 26.111
23 CLEMSON 9 5 0 22.770 25.969
24 TEXAS 14 4 0 24.162 25.941

25 MISSISSIPPI 15 2 0 21.541 25.876
 

charlie42s

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Warren Nolan's 2014 Men's College Baseball Rating Percentage Index (RPI) Live - WarrenNolan.com
This is another head scratcher but is similar to Boyd's. Both have 1-2 Dartmouth #1. Say what?

Rating Percentage Index (RPI)
Records include games against Division I opponents only.



Record Rating Percentage Index Strength of Schedule Polls T
Dartmouth 1 2 0 0.3333 218 0.7218 1 0.8020 2
Memphis 12 4 0 0.7500 29 0.6464 2 0.6186 7 28
Texas 14 4 0 0.7778 23 0.6445 3 0.6068 13 14 14
South Carolina 16 0 0 1.0000 1 0.6423 4 0.5230 105 1 1
Texas Tech 15 3 0 0.8333 14 0.6409 5 0.5961 17 26 22
Florida State 14 2 0 0.8750 10 0.6404 6 0.5768 29 2 2
Vanderbilt 16 2 0 0.8889 6 0.6307 7 0.5611 46 4 3
Stanford 7 8 0 0.4667 153 0.6300 8 0.6817 3
UNLV 11 4 0 0.7333 43 0.6244 9 0.5790 28
Ohio State 8 6 0 0.5714 99 0.6225 10 0.6161 9
Houston 12 3 0 0.8000 20 0.6207 11 0.5684 41 27
Ole Miss 16 2 0 0.8889 6 0.6178 12 0.5420 78 16 12
Brown 0 3 0 0.0000 298 0.6160 13 0.8213 1
Indiana 8 6 0 0.5714 99 0.6151 14 0.6062 15 29
North Carolina 12 4 0 0.7500 29 0.6126 15 0.5860 22 13
California 10 5 0 0.6667 59 0.6103 16 0.6166 8 37
Maryland 10 4 0 0.7143 48 0.6089 17 0.5590 52 46
UC Santa Barbara 11 2 0 0.8462 13 0.6086 18 0.5167 114 20 32
FIU 15 1 0 0.9375 3 0.6056 19 0.5035 136 19 26
West Virginia 8 5 0 0.6154 82 0.6053 20 0.5742 35
Arkansas-Little Rock 9 5 0 0.6429 76 0.6047 21 0.6080 12
Virginia 12 3 0 0.8000 20 0.6040 22 0.5429 76 5 5
Mercer 14 5 0 0.7368 42 0.6020 23 0.5467 68
Seton Hall 9 3 0 0.7500 29 0.6006 24 0.5182 111 22 46
Cal Poly 13 3 0 0.8125 17 0.6004 25 0.5127 121 12 13
 

charlie42s

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Here's Boyd's NCAA Division I Baseball -- Pseudo-RPI's
Besides having 1-2 Dartmouth #1, why is Stanford #8 with a losing record and an adjusted losing record? Just doesn't make sense.

Division I Adjusted Overall
Rank Rating W L W L W L Team
1 0.721 1 2 1.3 1.4 1 2 Dartmouth
2 0.645 14 4 12.5 4.0 14 4 Texas
3 0.644 12 4 10.8 4.0 12 4 Memphis
4 0.644 16 0 12.1 0.0 16 0 South Carolina
5 0.642 14 3 10.7 3.3 15 3 Texas Tech
6 0.640 14 2 12.8 2.6 14 2 Florida State
7 0.631 16 2 13.6 2.6 16 2 Vanderbilt
8 0.630 7 8 6.7 7.4 7 8 Stanford
9 0.626 11 4 8.9 2.8 11 4 Nevada-Las Vegas
10 0.624 12 3 10.5 2.7 12 3 Houston
11 0.621 8 6 8.6 4.8 8 6 Ohio State
12 0.616 0 3 0.0 2.1 0 3 Brown
13 0.614 16 2 14.2 2.6 16 2 Mississippi
14 0.613 12 4 9.0 4.0 12 4 North Carolina
15 0.611 8 6 8.6 4.8 8 6 Indiana
16 0.610 10 5 9.4 6.5 10 5 California
17 0.609 10 4 8.8 2.8 10 4 Maryland
18 0.608 9 5 6.9 4.7 9 5 Arkansas-Little Rock
19 0.607 11 2 10.4 1.4 11 2 UC Santa Barbara
20 0.605 15 1 13.5 1.3 16 1 Florida International
21 0.605 8 5 9.5 4.1 8 5 West Virginia
22 0.604 12 3 11.1 3.0 12 3 Virginia
23 0.602 14 5 11.6 3.5 14 5 Mercer
24 0.598 4 4 5.2 2.8 4 4 Columbia
25 0.597 12 4 12.6 5.2 12 4 Oregon
 

charlie42s

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Massey's, Massey Ratings - CBASE
I consider this to be the most reasonable.

1. FIU 16-1
2. USC 16-0
3. Vanderbilt 16-2
4. Texas 12-4
5. Tenn 15-1
6. FSU 14-2
7. Oregon 12-4
8. Houston 12-3
9. Ind. St 12-1
10. Cal Poly 13-3
11. Miss 16-2
12. Santa Barbara 11-2
13. Texas Tech 15-3
14. Sam Houston St 13-4
15. Pepperdine 12-4
16. UNLV 11-4
17. LSU 16-2
18. Ore St 15-3
19. Cal 10-5
20. Rice 12-6
21. Virginia 12-3
22. ULL 14-2
23. NC State 14-2
24. San Diego 11-4
25. Seton Hall 9-3
 

charlie42s

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I figured out why Dartmouth(1-2) is rated so high by the computers. They gave FIU(16-1) their only loss, but this doesn't explain how they could be rated above FIU since they went 1-2 versus FIU. Something is wrong when that happens.
 
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