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Game Thread: Chiefs @ Steelers on Sunday Night

Fountain City Blues

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One of those pivot games for both 2-1 teams that very plausibly changes playoff seeding come January. I'll be posting up to date DVOA/DAVE rankings for each team as they come out in the next few hours. The Chiefs bye is right after this game, and a 3-1 start through 5 Justin Houstonless weeks sounds quite a bit better than 2-2, though the former seems optimistic on paper.

Dee Ford's hand apparently was injured during the game on Sunday. LDT may or may not be ready to start this week, and if he does, does he repeat week 1's solid performance? Gaines tweaked his knee, but I haven't seen anything that wasn't there last week so we will see. The elephant in the room injury wise is will this be the game Charles makes his return, or will we have to wait until the Chiefs travel to the Black Hole?

This should be a great test for the whole secondary really and should tell us more about the sustainability of Nelson and Gaines' (White?) relative success last week vs another talented receiving corp that features Antonio Brown. Bell should also be back so the run defense will be again tested after Lamar Miller and Matt Forte back to back.
 

Fountain City Blues

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So you wanted to see how big a bump an 8 turnover game bumps the Chiefs' DVOA through 3 games?

KC

DVOA: 2nd
Dave: 2nd
Offense: 16th
Defense: 4th (28%, that's better than Denver's 2015 defense to illustrate how hilariously unsustainable that is, but no apologies need be given)
ST's: 3rd

Pitt

DVOA: 22nd
Dave: 8th
Offense: 14th
Defense: 26th
ST's: 12th


Other AFCW teams

Denver

DVOA: 7th
Dave: 10th
Offense: 10th
Defense: 11th
ST's: 18th

Oakland

DVOA: 11th
Dave: 15th
Offense: 1st
Defense: 29th
ST's: 19th

San Diego

DVOA: 10th
Dave: 14th
Offense: 7th
Defense 16th
ST's: 27th

Playoff Odds in the AFCW:

Chance of winning the west:

KC: 43.7%
Den: 32.9%
Oak: 14.9%
SD: 9.1%

General Playoff Chances:

KC: 70.2%
Den: 62.6%
Oak: 37.0%
SD: 26.9%
 

cdumler7

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Interesting that they still give the Chiefs a better chance at the playoffs considering the Broncos have the better record. I know the 1-0 in the division helps out but still I figured overall record would trump that 1 division win. Obviously early so all stats look out of whack at this point but just found that interesting.
 

Fountain City Blues

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Interesting that they still give the Chiefs a better chance at the playoffs considering the Broncos have the better record. I know the 1-0 in the division helps out but still I figured overall record would trump that 1 division win. Obviously early so all stats look out of whack at this point but just found that interesting.
I'd assume it's based on preseason projection- they're going to be slow to react to anything that isn't sub-repacement value at the QB position.
 

Clayton

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Hard to put much analysis into the advanced stats. 3 very different games.

The only bad thing popping up so far is that Maclin's stats are down. I think you could argue that the Maclin/Smith connection last year almost seemed too good to be true and overperformed but I think Maclin is missing on 2 plays a game that he made last year. Footballoutsiders had Maclin 18th WR last year and so far this year he is 68th WR. Smith/Reid/Maclin need to get that figured out a little bit because thats going to be the difference between winning and losing in multiple games.
 

Fountain City Blues

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LDT, Charles, and Barrington look like they're likely to play; Schefter indicated Charles will play this week.

Gaines is "Questionable"

West is out.
 

Southieinnc

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So.....
Which Chiefs team is going to show up for this game?
I am trying to make my picks and this game is tough to be confident.....
 

FaCe-LeE-uS

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Hoping for a good game tonight... Steelers D is banged up which has me worried. I think Kelce is going to have a field day. Steelers offense needs to do the heavy lifting if they are going to have any chance of winning this.
 

Fountain City Blues

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I just found out Phillip Gaines is out. That's going to be a big deal, was probably our "stickiest" corner. DJ White hasn't been bad at all in limited snaps, but this is a tough ask of a 6th round rookie.
 

FaCe-LeE-uS

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I just found out Phillip Gaines is out. That's going to be a big deal, was probably our "stickiest" corner. DJ White hasn't been bad at all in limited snaps, but this is a tough ask of a 6th round rookie.
Just saw that. Think Peters will shadow AB?
 

FaCe-LeE-uS

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Yikes... KC is gashing them already

This is going to be a loooooooooong night
 

FaCe-LeE-uS

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Wow the 2nd sack of the season! lol
 

Fountain City Blues

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Two turnovers in your own territory.

A coverage bust.

A 20 yard punt

Didn't really give themselves much of a chance, Jesus Christ. I figured it was a loss but these stupid turnovers need to stop immediately. 4th week in a row of this BS.
 

Clayton

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Chiefs just aren't a mentally tough team. At all
 
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