2017 Regular Season Thread

[mikeytheman247]

O's now have 3 catchers on the roster. Pena is out of options so maybe their trying to find a deal for him?

 

[jeffro151]

Brach shits the bed once again.

 

[UVA_Guy81]

 

[hattersgonnahate]

Note to Buck et al.:

Either utilize the Norfolk shuttle every day to keep the bullpen fresh, or shorten the bench so that the bullpen size can be expanded to 7 again. It's clear that the current arrangement is causing a severe inflammation of the ERA for the entire pitching staff...


EDIT: Okay, maybe "severe" is an overstatement... but the point still stands. (The exact figure is 5.06 over the past 7 days before tonight's game, versus 4.07 for the entire 2017 season so far.)

 

[hattersgonnahate]

The exact figure is 5.06 over the past 7 days before tonight's game, versus 4.07 for the entire 2017 season so far.

Actually, wait a minute... the last four losses were all by one run. At the same time, the team was batting 0.274 / 0.339 / 0.521 / 0.841 over the last 7 days, versus 0.254 / 0.314 / 0.418 / 0.732 for the entire 2017 season so far. That means the recent losing streak is arguably mostly due to pitching... or should I say bullpen overuse specifically?

 

[hattersgonnahate]

For want of a pitcher...

 

[UVA_Guy81]

I think that this is a game that neither team seems to want to win as they both are trying to give it to the other.

 

[hattersgonnahate]

I think that this is a game that neither team seems to want to win as they both are trying to give it to the other.

For extra irony, Asher will probably be sent down after this game due to having pitched for 2.2 innings even though he should probably be taking Gausman's rotation spot instead (based on recent performance).

 

[jeffro151]

If course Buck waits until the lead is completely blown before bringing in another reliever.

 

[UVA_Guy81]

For extra irony, Asher will probably be sent down after this game due to having pitched for 2.2 innings even though he should probably be taking Gausman's rotation spot instead (based on recent performance).

Is this pitching staff just rejecting McDowell's pitching philosophy, just that bad with or without Britton, or both?

 

[hattersgonnahate]

Is this pitching staff just rejecting McDowell's pitching philosophy, just that bad with or without Britton, or both?

Entire 2017 season so far: 4.07 ERA, 4.47 FIP; 0.298 BABIP; 1.16 HR/9, 11.7% HR/FB; soft / medium / hard contact = 23.5% / 46.4% / 30.1%

Last 7 days: 5.28 ERA, 5.30 FIP; 0.338 BABIP; 1.83 HR/9, 18.4% HR/FB; soft / medium / hard contact = 23.9% / 40.9% / 35.2% (translation: they're giving up harder hits, which explains the extra home runs)

==> Conclusion: "They're extremely unlucky, or overworked, or both."


EDIT: Oh good, a lead... can Davis pitch for one inning?

 

[UVA_Guy81]

Entire 2017 season so far: 4.07 ERA, 4.47 FIP; 0.298 BABIP; 1.16 HR/9, 11.7% HR/FB; soft / medium / hard contact = 23.5% / 46.4% / 30.1%

Last 7 days: 5.28 ERA, 5.30 FIP; 0.338 BABIP; 1.83 HR/9, 18.4 HR/FB; soft / medium / hard contact = 23.9% / 40.9% / 35.2%


Conclusion: "They're extremely unlucky, or overworked, or both."

I'll go with option C. Figure it's usually option B but going with C just because of Britton being gone.

 

[jeffro151]

Looks like the offense wants to go to the hotel, but the pitching refuses to fo so.

 

[hattersgonnahate]

Looks like the offense wants to go to the hotel, but the pitching refuses to do so.

See also: Win probability graph for tonight's game. (Note the "win probability added" column: Since everyone starts with a win probability of 50%, the pitching staff of both teams have basically lost the equivalent of 3 games combined.)

For comparison, there's also the 7/14/2012 game (like tonight, but in reverse)

 

[jeffro151]

Well I'll be damn.

 

[mikeytheman247]

I think a good part of the problem is starting pitchers not going deep into games. Miley pretty much never makes it past 5 innings. Jimenez and Guasman get shelled and only last a couple innings. Tillman not stretched out yet.

I think they need to shorten the bench and carry more pitchers. Why not bring up Tyler Wilson to take Guasmans or Jimenez spot in the rotation. We have 3 catchers on the team right now. I bet they are looking for a trade for Pena.

 

[mikeytheman247]

The Orioles have designated catcher Francisco Pena for assignment, per a club announcement. He’ll be replaced on the roster by righty reliever Stefan Crichton.

 

[hattersgonnahate]

I think a good part of the problem is starting pitchers not going deep into games. Miley pretty much never makes it past 5 innings. Jimenez and Guasman get shelled and only last a couple innings. Tillman not stretched out yet.

I think they need to shorten the bench and carry more pitchers. Why not bring up Tyler Wilson to take Guasmans or Jimenez spot in the rotation. We have 3 catchers on the team right now. I bet they are looking for a trade for Pena.

Right now, I'd rank this team's rotation as follows:
#1 Bundy
#2 Miley (we're starting to see some regression to the mean this month, but he's still serviceable)
#3 Tillman (insufficient data)
#4 Gausman
#5 Jimenez (2.35 HR/9... enough said)

If it were up to me, I'd make the following tweaks:
* Move Gausman to the bullpen temporarily and give Alec Asher the #4 spot, effective immediately
* DFA Jimenez (pay another team to take him if necessary), then give his roster spot to a reliever and use the Norfolk shuttle to cover the #5 spot as needed.

 

[mikeytheman247]

Right now, I'd rank this team's rotation as follows:
#1 Bundy
#2 Miley (we're starting to see some regression to the mean this month, but he's still serviceable)
#3 Tillman (insufficient data)
#4 Gausman
#5 Jimenez (2.35 HR/9... enough said)

If it were up to me, I'd make the following tweaks:
* Move Gausman to the bullpen temporarily and give Alec Asher the #4 spot, effective immediately
* DFA Jimenez (pay another team to take him if necessary), then give his roster spot to a reliever and use the Norfolk shuttle to cover the #5 spot as needed.

Bundy may be on a inning limit too so I don't know how long we can count on him. Miley is coming back down to earth and can't pitch more than 5 innings because he throws so many balls. Tillman hopefully can pitch like last year. #4 and #5 need to change. They both get lit up leaving the bullpen to be used up. Asher should get a chance to start and even Tyler Wilson. Gausman has a option so you can send him to AAA and use someone else in the pen or put Jimenez there.

 

[UVA_Guy81]

Bundy may be on a inning limit too so I don't know how long we can count on him. Miley is coming back down to earth and can't pitch more than 5 innings because he throws so many balls. Tillman hopefully can pitch like last year. #4 and #5 need to change. They both get lit up leaving the bullpen to be used up. Asher should get a chance to start and even Tyler Wilson. Gausman has a option so you can send him to AAA and use someone else in the pen or put Jimenez there.

This would be the perfect time to use Vance Worley as a starter if he re-signed him.