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2016 OVERRATED/UNDERRATED Teams

Discussion in 'College Football Forum' started by xpuctaqpGT, Aug 21, 2016.

  1. TigersBleaux

    TigersBleaux Self-Deprecating

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    You are finally starting to understand the incredible OD
     



  2. WizardHawk

    WizardHawk Outside Obstructor

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    Oh your canvas is all over this site alright. Oregon was actually overrated it would seem.

    That nebraska game thread will live on in infamy. The Colorado game thread that wasn't a game thread but was a game thread is right there with it.

    So when does Larp season start up again? I'm thinking you have a lot more free time now to pursue other hobbies. I mean something besides camping outside of duck HQ with a pitchfork waiting for Hoke to walk by.
     
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  3. VTgator

    VTgator Active Member

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    According to the College Football Ranking Composite (P5 teams):

    School-----------Preseason----Current---------Difference


    Where Did they Come From?

    Colorado....................85th..........27th...................+ 58
    Wake Forest...............89th..........41st....................+ 47
    Maryland...................86th..........46th....................+ 40
    Virginia Tech..............45th..........11th....................+ 34
    Miami........................43d...........17th....................+ 26
    Texas A&M.................30th............5th....................+ 25
    Nebraska...................38th..........14th....................+ 24
    Louisville...................28th............7th....................+ 21

    Surprises

    Washington................25th...........6th....................+ 19
    NC State...................52d...........34th....................+ 18
    West Virginia.............32d...........14th.....................+ 18
    Arizona State.............46th..........29th....................+ 17
    Wisconsin..................24th............9th....................+ 15
    Kansas State.............58th..........44th.....................+ 14
    Wash State................37th..........23d.....................+ 14
    Indiana.....................66th..........53d.....................+ 13
    Penn State.................48th..........35th....................+ 13
    Auburn......................31st..........19th....................+ 12
    Kentucky...................79th..........67th....................+ 12
    Oregon State.............97th..........85th....................+ 12

    Where They Should BE

    Florida......................29th..........20th....................+ 09
    Georgia Tech..............61st..........52d.....................+ 09
    Michigan......................9th...........1st....................+ 08
    Minnesota..................62d...........59th....................+ 03
    Houston.....................15th.........13th....................+ 02
    Tennessee..................10th...........8th....................+ 02
    Boston College............76th..........75th...................+ 01
    Purdue.......................96th..........95th...................+ 01
    Mizzou.......................64th..........64th........................0
    Ohio State...................4th............4th........................0
    Utah..........................26th..........26th........................0
    Alabama......................1st............2d......................- 01
    Clemson......................2d.............3d......................- 01
    Rutgers.....................92d...........93d......................- 01
    Texas Tech.................53d...........54th.....................- 01
    Florida State................8th..........12th.....................- 04
    Pitt...........................39th...........43d.....................- 04
    BYU..........................34th...........42d.....................- 08
    Baylor.......................13th...........22d.....................- 09

    Underachievers

    Ole Miss......................6th..........16th.....................- 10
    Cal............................44th.........55th.....................- 11
    UCLA.........................27th.........38th.....................- 11
    Vandy........................78th.........89th.....................- 11
    North Carolina............18th..........31st.....................- 13
    Southern Cal..............17th..........30th.....................- 13
    South Carolina............70th..........83d......................- 13
    Virginia......................73d...........86th....................- 13
    Arizona......................56th..........70th....................- 14
    Arkansas...................16th..........32d......................- 16
    Northwestern.............42d...........58th.....................- 16
    Stanford......................5th..........21st.....................- 16
    Syracuse...................80th..........96th.....................- 16
    Duke.........................60th..........77th.....................- 17
    Georgia.....................20th..........37th.....................- 17
    LSU............................7th..........24th.....................- 17

    Coaching Staff Better Find a Realtor (outside of Oklahoma & MSU x2)

    Oklahoma....................3d...........25th.....................- 22
    Iowa State.................82d.........106th.....................- 24
    Texas........................50th..........74th.....................- 24
    Oklahoma State..........21st..........47th.....................- 26
    Iowa..........................22d...........50th.....................- 28
    Illinois........................74th.......104th......................- 30
    TCU...........................12th.........49th......................- 37
    Miss State...................23d..........65th......................- 42
    Oregon......................19th..........62d.......................- 43
    Michigan State............11th..........68th.....................- 57
    Notre Dame................14th..........81st.....................- 67
     
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  4. Deep Creek

    Deep Creek Well-Known Member

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    Two more weeks and they'll start proving you correct.
     
  5. taupride97

    taupride97 Member

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    Uh...care to try again. :clap:
     
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  6. txTIGER1963

    txTIGER1963 Active Member

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    cool thread idea
    good read
     
  7. Deep Creek

    Deep Creek Well-Known Member

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    Since TCU only beat the might Jayhawks by 1, I still may have a chance.
     
  8. Kelsen

    Kelsen Active Member

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    I changed the numbers above to fit this thread's paradigm - outside the top 25 is 26, no matter how far away you are/were. So the above version shows what the results would be if the season ended now.


    RFT!!!
    Dave Kelsen
    --
    Patience comes to those who wait.
     
  9. VTgator

    VTgator Active Member

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    Yes, but by doing this, you equate the 26th ranked team with the worst team in Div 1-A. Notre Dame's fall is far worse than anyone else's, but you have them as just another underachiever if you rank them 26th...
     
  10. Kelsen

    Kelsen Active Member

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    Oh, I agree - but it's what was stated explicitly by the OP as the parameter for this particular exercise. I have no dog in the hunt. My numbers just illustrate the numbers that this formula would use if the season ended now.

    Interestingly, Utah actually is 26th, both at the beginning of the season and now.


    RFT!!!
    Dave Kelsen
    --
    "A censor is a man who knows more than he thinks you ought to." -- Granville Hicks
     
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  11. TheRobotDevil

    TheRobotDevil Hoopla Satan Supporting Member Level 3

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    notgnihsaW detar revO
    NogerO detar rednU
     
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  12. TheRobotDevil

    TheRobotDevil Hoopla Satan Supporting Member Level 3

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    I was being a wise ass :dhd:

    My dark horse was Wisconsin since the beginning of the season. Their defense is legit. My only concerns were whether their offense would click. And the stretch of schedule they are in now. They would have been my actual under rated team

    My over rated team would have been Georgia. Smart is a great coach. But it is his first year. And I thought they were ranked a bit too high. I'm not saying they aren't a good team. I just didn't see them being quite there yet.


    I actually posted a lot about both.My wise ass picks did backfire pretty good tho :L :dhd:
     
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  13. Great Dayne

    Great Dayne Renowned realistic fan with constructive criticism

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    Too bad Iowa just extended the old man through 2025. LMOA
     
  14. xpuctaqpGT

    xpuctaqpGT Modern Major General

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    When I started doing the annual over/under posts several years ago, I didn't want to have to negotiate how bad the teams were after the top 25. I also went with the AP poll instead of the Coaches Poll because at the time the Coaches Poll was tied into the results of the BCS championship.

    After the top 25 you basically get into the computer rankings. And you see just how butt hurt certain people have gotten when the Sagarin ratings are released.......
     
  15. 963BUSC

    963BUSC Well-Known Member

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    This is a great listing its really interesting to see how the teams moved. But what are you using for preseason rankings? For instance Notre Dame was #10 on the OP and in the Preseason AP while this listing has them at # 14. LSU was # 5 preseason AP this list has them #7. Stanford was #8 preseason this list has them 5th. And so forth.
     
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  16. TheDayMan

    TheDayMan Day Butt Ass

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    No one believes you.
     
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  17. TheRobotDevil

    TheRobotDevil Hoopla Satan Supporting Member Level 3

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    I was clear Wisconsin was my dark horse at the beginning of the season. Just as people laughed when i said Colorado was not the same Buffs and competitive. Here ya go

    Biggest Darkhorse Team for 2016
     
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  18. VTgator

    VTgator Active Member

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    The difference is that Sagarin is only one computer rating. When you have dozens lashed together and compute the cumulative average, it is probably more accurate than writere, coaches or singular computers. Not sure why the Powers That Be do not use the CFRC....
     
  19. VTgator

    VTgator Active Member

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    I use the college football ranking composite, a compendium of all the computer polls that are out there. If you take one pill it will give you a result, but when you combine them all, it probably is the most accurate of all. It certainly is more accurate than the preconceived impressions of writers who live and die with conventional wisdom or coaches who do not give the process a second thought...

    Google college football ranking composite. It is to CFB what RealClear politics is to polling...
     
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  20. The Crimson King

    The Crimson King Well-Known Member

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    We didn't...........and still made the Sugar Bowl :cool2: