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    Scheduling for the CFP.

    I don't see any change in attitudes! Look the B1G went from having 3 "good" teams (UM, OSU, PSU) to having 6 "good" teams (UM, OSU, PSU, Ore, UW, and USC). Last year with random scheduling each good team could expect to play 2 GT/ 13 member x 9 games = 1.38 GT per year. This years with random...
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    Scheduling for the CFP.

    Where do you get this idea? No, what I'm hearing Petitti saying is (paraphrasing) "we need more games in November to be meaningful". There are at least two ways to that. A) arrange schedule so that LOTS of teams reach November undefeated (avoid tough games). B) guarantee four teams get into...
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    Scheduling for the CFP.

    Let's look at guaranteed positions in the CFP. In the above nightmare scenario we ended up with 10 teams at 8-4, and one each that were 7-5, 6-6, 5-7, 4-8, 3-7, 2-10, 1-11, and 0-12. How many of these have Guaranteed spots? 4 for each conference? 3?, 2?, 1? There are 52 other "power"...
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    Scheduling for the CFP.

    This is somewhat long, sorry... I want to stress the importance of OOC games. I’d like for you to imagine two power conferences each with nine teams. Each conference decides to play a round-robin for their in-conference games Conference “A” finishes the round-robin with team records: 8-0...
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    Scheduling for the CFP.

    Wow, there are so many things I want to say - I don't know where to begin. I'll start with.. I believe that I see a trend towards more IN-conference games and fewer OOC games in general and fewer P5 OOC games in particular. I firmly believe that is the wrong direction to move. A few years...
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    Scheduling for the CFP.

    I was just trying to see how the SEC and B1G could "muscle" more teams into the playoffs to get a bigger share of the CFP pot of gold. I see as of now they have opted for a different approach...
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    Scheduling for the CFP.

    Where do you find that "the tv contracts already mandate that many of these teams will have to play each other at least semi regularly." The contracts might say that 8 conference games are played by each team and perhaps the times but NOT who plays who! Just like in the NFL, it is the league...
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    Scheduling for the CFP.

    I'll start things off by replying to my own post! The CFP committee has stated that SOS will be a "consideration". To my knowledge, they haven't expanded on that statement. How much will it be considered? What do they think constitutes "SOS"? Are they going to "reward" teams with a "good...
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    Scheduling for the CFP.

    I want to discuss scheduling in a serious manner. That is, I don’t want to get bogged down with “should teams be allowed to play FCS teams?”. There are 134 FBS teams for 2024. The probability of say a #10 team beating FBS team 120-134 is ~99%. . The probability of a #10 team beating FCS team...
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    Early 2024 Rankings....

    Yes, but dissolving the PAC made a bunch of cupcakes disappear from USC schedule!
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    Early 2024 Rankings....

    Time to rattle some cages! Look Trojan: Alabama SEC Mercer Arkansas SEC Arkansas-Pine Bluff Auburn SEC Alabama A&M Florida SEC Samford Georgia SEC Tennessee Tech Kentucky SEC Murray State Louisiana State SEC Nicholls State Mississippi SEC Furman...
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    Comparing Conference - 2023 P5 OOC

    That's right, just look at W/L record and NOT who was played. Typical response from a team that can't stack up to the Big Boys!! That's a response that I expect from Boise State not USC!!!
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    Comparing Conference - 2023 P5 OOC

    BTW 56-44 IS A PRETTY GOOD AVERAGE The SEC is only 15-10 in NC (that's only 60%)! By SEC standards UF is ho-hum. But since 1998 YOU CHOSE THE YEAR. UF has won 2 NC's ENTIRE B1G has 2 NC's ENTIRE Big 12 has 2 NC's ENTIRE PAC has 1 NC (taken away by NCAA) ENTIRE BE has 1 NC How about some...
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    Comparing Conference - 2023 P5 OOC

    You're right, most SEC fans would say that OSU is better than a 5-7 SEC team. Who else? You're setting the bar pretty low for OSU.
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    Comparing Conference - 2023 P5 OOC

    Good answer. Plead the 5th!
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    Comparing Conference - 2023 P5 OOC

    BTW, I get 15-15 vs ACC (19 ended in Top 25, 7 in Top 10) 6-6 vs B1G (7 ended in Top 25, 4 in Top 10) 1-2 vs Big 12 (#5 &#6) 2-4 vs BE (all 6 ended in Top 25, 4 in Top 10) 1-1 vs PAC (both ranked in Top 25, 1 in Top 10) That's 52 games with 36 ranked and 18 in Top 10
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    Comparing Conference - 2023 P5 OOC

    Well, we do have 2 NC (that weren't taken away!)!, how about you?
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    Comparing Conference - 2023 P5 OOC

    When was the last time OSU won a meaningful game? 1972 vs Iowa? How many meaningful games has OSU lost?
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    Comparing Conference - 2023 P5 OOC

    Live in your fantasy world!
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    Comparing Conference - 2023 P5 OOC

    Really genius? Since 1990, (YES Final poll) OSU played 218 games while ranked in the TOP 5 and played 15 Top 5 opponents or 6.88% of opponents played. OSU played 201 games while NOT ranked in the TOP 5 and played 14 Top 5 opponents or 6.97% of opponents played. UF played 117 games while ranked...
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    Comparing Conference - 2023 P5 OOC

    We'll see after the bowl games. Let's turn this around. YOU provide data that shows that the B1G is on par with the SEC or the Big 12 or the PAC for that matter using a time frame that is less than 30 years back. YOU provide data that says OSU is better than Missouri. I really want to see...
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    Comparing Conference - 2023 P5 OOC

    So you don't care who teams beat - you just want SU W/L? That's retarded! Your arguments are LAME. A) If I remove ALL FSU and Miami games from the data set for Florida, UF STILL plays MORE ranked teams than OSU! Since 1990 Florida played 33 Top 5 teams, 67 Top 10 teams and 135 Top 25 teams...
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    Comparing Conference - 2023 P5 OOC

    I do it to show you that the current game results are NOT a "flash in the pan" but extends back MANY years.
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    Bowl Match-Up Part THREE

    Here is the comparison of the TWO different "expectations" One based on the idea of conference equality (for those who want to quote W/L records when comparing teams and the other what Vegas thinks will happen. Conference Rank Based.............................Vegas Based ACC Expectation 6 - 1...
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    Bowl Match-Ups Part TWO

    This is only P5 vs P5.
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