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My strategy

broncosmitty

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Never understood why bakers are so bad at math...

I wish i was epicly bad at something such that i can rename it...
A Milky Fortnight could be 22 days long.

(It usually takes a Milky Fortnight for you to decide on a trade.... Lol)
 

SteelersPride

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Ahh yes, math doesn't lie, but just like stats, it can be manipulated to suit ones needs. Not all the variables HAVE to be accounted for in order for the math to look good
exactly
 

icefreeze57

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I like Floyd. He's a good player with a lot of upside and as Fitz rounds out, Floyd should be even better.
 

tlance

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Ahh yes, math doesn't lie, but just like stats, it can be manipulated to suit ones needs. Not all the variables HAVE to be accounted for in order for the math to look good

Math absolutely lies. The past usually does not repeat itself in fantasy football.
 

tlance

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My strategy is simple. I do my research and I try to know my opponents as well as I can. On draft day, I don't print lists or make cheat sheets. Using default rankings from the site you draft is very helpful, because you are looking at the same draft room list they are. I don't care who you draft with, default lists always affect ADP.

I try not to get too caught up in my own personal biases and go with the best value I can find for my first 5-6 picks, and fill in the holes afterwards. I don't care if I go RB, RB, RB or TE, WR, QB. I will take the best player available early.
 

averagejoe

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Ahh yes, math doesn't lie, but just like stats, it can be manipulated to suit ones needs. Not all the variables HAVE to be accounted for in order for the math to look good
Math absolutely lies. The past usually does not repeat itself in fantasy football.
If the past doesn't repeat, then why do so many owners draft the guys who did the best the previous season? Especially if this concept is true about not repeating?
  • Math gives you an indication of which direction players are headed.
  • Math proves that in most instances, a good passing game does NOT open up the run game. (And vice-versa.)
  • Math proves that rookies predominantly fail. Guys like Randy Moss, Anquan Boldin and Odell Beckham only come around every 8-9 years or so. That means you can wait for the 2021 or 2022 season to draft a rookie WR.
  • Math proves that often enough, players with a short body of work struggle (disappoint) the following year.
  • Math builds things.
  • Math put a man on the moon.
  • Even Chef uses math to cook.
 

HaroldSeattle

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If the past doesn't repeat, then why do so many owners draft the guys who did the best the previous season? Especially if this concept is true about not repeating?
  • Math gives you an indication of which direction players are headed.
  • Math proves that in most instances, a good passing game does NOT open up the run game. (And vice-versa.)
  • Math proves that rookies predominantly fail. Guys like Randy Moss, Anquan Boldin and Odell Beckham only come around every 8-9 years or so. That means you can wait for the 2021 or 2022 season to draft a rookie WR.
  • Math proves that often enough, players with a short body of work struggle (disappoint) the following year.
  • Math builds things.
  • Math put a man on the moon.
  • Even Chef uses math to cook.
Actually the past does repeat at times, for example AP has been pretty much a lock for a elite player year in year out, course he's approaching that cliff, so proceed with caution. However the past isn't a blue print for the future. Lately second year RBs with limited snaps that have excelled in their first year, have disappointed year two. So posters consider this a rule now.:rolleyes2: Mmmm I think that's a bunch of junk myself. Pretty sure this year this "rule" will be proved wrong........course I'm wrong on a regular basis so there's that.:nod:
 

broncosmitty

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To the OP:

I always intend to "let the draft come to me". But I'm putting another wrinkle in, "take gronk if gronk there."
 

The Foot

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@SteelersPride I do it the same way. ADP is the best way to not over pay for a player. Something I'm well known for doing. Granted I usually have guys you can get in the tenth round ranked in the first and second so for me the ADP list is very helpful. It's also good for trading as most people value players accordingly to it
 

icefreeze57

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@SteelersPride I do it the same way. ADP is the best way to not over pay for a player. Something I'm well known for doing. Granted I usually have guys you can get in the tenth round ranked in the first and second so for me the ADP list is very helpful. It's also good for trading as most people value players accordingly to it

Yeah but when hyped up players have their ADP way up and more reliable players fall to wayside you lose out. I think it's something to look at to figure out who you think you can steal late and who you do need to try to take earlier but not really as to "who" I should draft.
 

ehb5

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Yeah but when hyped up players have their ADP way up and more reliable players fall to wayside you lose out. I think it's something to look at to figure out who you think you can steal late and who you do need to try to take earlier but not really as to "who" I should draft.

True but only if you know who is too hyped up and who is more reliable. I think sometimes people think they know more than they do when drafting and go against the consensus when they'd be better off just drafting by adp.

That said I have some very strong opinions on certain players that probably don't fit with ADP so I'm not exactly following my own advice.
 

icefreeze57

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True but only if you know who is too hyped up and who is more reliable. I think sometimes people think they know more than they do when drafting and go against the consensus when they'd be better off just drafting by adp.

That said I have some very strong opinions on certain players that probably don't fit with ADP so I'm not exactly following my own advice.

Well that's why I think you can look at it to see when those players typically go, but they shouldn't be the main tool on deciding who to pick.

I've seen Rawls go anywhere from late first round to like 4th round.
 

MilkSpiller22

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True but only if you know who is too hyped up and who is more reliable. I think sometimes people think they know more than they do when drafting and go against the consensus when they'd be better off just drafting by adp.

That said I have some very strong opinions on certain players that probably don't fit with ADP so I'm not exactly following my own advice.


I don't care how informed you are and how good you are at fantasy sports... Nobody knows ANYTHING....
 

averagejoe

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I don't care how informed you are and how good you are at fantasy sports... Nobody knows ANYTHING....
Where's this hostility coming from?
We know stuff.
200.gif
 

TKOSpikes

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I forgot my number one strategy...... do the opposite of whatever spews out of Eric Karabell's mouth (or fingers)!
 
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