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Expectations for UW going forward

seahawksfan234

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I think that this UW team has a very strong chance to run the table and go 12-0 this year. The schedule this year is a bit more favorable than it was last year for the Huskies.

Statistically, the team looks very similar to 2016. It's only through four games, but the Huskies have had a comparable schedule to last year with three non-conference games and a road PAC-12 opener. You could argue the first four games this year were a bit more challenging, as Rutgers was on the road and Colorado is a much better team than Arizona.

Through four games in 2016:
  • 45.75 PPG scored
  • 14.5 PPG allowed
  • 249.75 YPG passing
  • 175.25 YPG passing allowed
  • 195.5 YPG rushing
  • 145.5 YPG rushing allowed
  • Total offensive YPG: 445.25
  • Total defensive YPG allowed: 320.75
  • Giveaways: 4 (2 interceptions 2 fumbles)
  • Takeaways: 12 (4 interceptions 8 fumbles)

Through four games in 2017:
  • 44.5 PPG scored
  • 11.75 PPG allowed
  • 266.25 YPG passing
  • 172.75 YPG passing allowed
  • 160.75 YPG rushing
  • 100.25 YPG rushing allowed
  • Total offensive YPG: 427
  • Total defensive YPG allowed: 273
  • Giveaways: 4 (2 interceptions 2 fumbles)
  • Takeaways: 10 (8 interceptions 2 fumbles)
Statistically, the team is very, very similar to last year at this point, yet I would say our schedule going forward is easier. IMO the best teams we play remaining on the schedule are WSU and Utah, both of which are at home and both we beat on the road last year. Stanford is an away game, but they have not looked great this year. I'd say that this team right now is in a better position to run the table than they were last year.

I think that UW could very probably get into the college football playoff again. I think USC is very overrated, and a team I think can be beat in a conference championship game. If the Huskies do indeed go 13-0 with a PAC-12 Championship, I don't think they could realistically be denied a spot in the playoff.

Barring some kind of disaster and despite the loss of talent to the NFL draft, I think that this team has a very good chance to improve upon last year's 12-2 record.
 

Destroydacre

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UW only has 3 road games left and two are against OSU and ASU, so the schedule is favorable. But there's a reason they play the games as the cliche goes. UW has the talent to run the table though.
 

seahawksfan234

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UW only has 3 road games left and two are against OSU and ASU, so the schedule is favorable. But there's a reason they play the games as the cliche goes. UW has the talent to run the table though.

Exactly my logic. Our hardest games are all at home. I'm biased but having been to 30+ Husky games I think that stadium gets even louder than CenturyLink. Attendance also definitely up.

I also think that USC will win the south, but they are overrated. I don't bet much, but I think I'll put money on WSU in that game depending on the spread. Best case scenario: I win money and proves UW's biggest obstacle for the PAC-12 championship is beatable. Worst case scenario: I lose and have a legitimately great excuse to black out at the bars Friday night.
 

TheDayMan

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My expectations haven't wavered from what they were preseason. Conference title, let everything else work itself out how it will. Undefeated would be cool, and of course I'll always hope for that. I just can't reasonably expect it. It's a very uncommon thing, and there's been a lot of good teams capable of doing it over the years... I looked it up the other week, I think it was there have been 7 undefeated seasons in the Pac since 1950. And a couple of those teams had a tie on their resume.
 

mcnabb7542

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It's nice the numbers are inline with last year but:

Road game at ASU and Stanford:

Dawgs embarrassed the Cardinals on national TV last year, plus you factor in the Dawgs being the Champs last year alone can pump up any team at the right time.

ASU Graham is a pain in the ass against this program, I'm not thinking they head in there and roll them big time, it wouldn't shock me if they have to go in and steal one down there.

As for the month of November, that is going to be a serious test. If they make that still on top, I know they will roll who ever the South sends for the CCG....
 

TheDayMan

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It's nice the numbers are inline with last year but:

Road game at ASU and Stanford:

Dawgs embarrassed the Cardinals on national TV last year, plus you factor in the Dawgs being the Champs last year alone can pump up any team at the right time.

ASU Graham is a pain in the ass against this program, I'm not thinking they head in there and roll them big time, it wouldn't shock me if they have to go in and steal one down there.

As for the month of November, that is going to be a serious test. If they make that still on top, I know they will roll who ever the South sends for the CCG....
@ Stanford is scary for sure. And in the desert is always a concern for this program since about forever. There's some big tests in there, even if it doesn't seem like it with a glance at the schedule.
 

seahawksfan234

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yeah, have OC JS tell the Huskie D to take the entire week off…sounds legit.

UW record previous 21 games: 19-2

Both of the teams we lost to finished the year in the AP top 3.

Oregon State @ UW 2016: 41-17 UW
UW @ Oregon State 2015: 52-7 UW
Oregon State @ UW 2014: 37-13 UW
UW @ Oregon State 2013: 69-27 UW
Oregon State @ UW 2012: 20-17 UW

Past two years are really all that matters. Just felt I'd remind you that even at our worst, we still beat Oregon State like Ray Rice beats his wife.
 

seahawksfan234

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Last five years UW vs Oregon State:
University of Washington PPG: 43.8
Oregon State PPG: 16.2

Last five years UW vs. Oregon State:
University of Washington W/L: 5-0
Oregon State W/L: 0-5

UW over the previous 21 games: 19-2
OSU over the previous 21 games: 5-14

UW record against top 25 teams in the previous 21 games: 5-2
OSU record against top 25 teams in the previous 21 games: 0-5

UW PPG previous 21 games: 43 PPG
OSU PPG previous 21 games: 23.71 PPG

UW PPG allowed previous 21 games: 14.1 PPG
OSU PPG allowed previous 21 games: 37.24 PPG

Games where UW gave up 30+ points in past 21 gms: 1 (31 points to Southern Miss 12/26/15)
Games where OSU gave up 40+ points in past 21 gms: 10 (5 of which are 50+)

Games where UW scored 40+ in a game in past 21 gms: 15 (5, 50+ games, 2, 60+ games, 1 70 pt gm)
Games where OSU scored 40+ in a game in past 21 gms: 3

...Mike drop...
 

Destroydacre

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Think so? What makes you say that? Don't know much about OSU. Didn't think they were worth paying much attention to, no offense.

Who knows maybe he'll be right. I don't see it though, I expect UW to roll the Beavers.
 

mcnabb7542

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It's nice the numbers are inline with last year but:

Road game at ASU and Stanford:

Dawgs embarrassed the Cardinals on national TV last year, plus you factor in the Dawgs being the Champs last year alone can pump up any team at the right time.

ASU Graham is a pain in the ass against this program, I'm not thinking they head in there and roll them big time, it wouldn't shock me if they have to go in and steal one down there.

As for the month of November, that is going to be a serious test. If they make that still on top, I know they will roll who ever the South sends for the CCG....


:dingdingding: Tell him what he's won Johnny?
 
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