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Sgt Brutus
Goober
Looking at their schedule I think Michigan goes 7-5. That's a bowl game and good 1st season.
It's illogical to think they will magically develop into studs as well. It takes more than one off season not to mention they need to learn a new playbook. As I said in another post, if Illinois made it to a bowl and you didn't, there is a lot less talent then you think.
Didn't Brady hoke come in and take Michigan to a bcs bowl in his first year after Rich Rod had run them into the ground? No reason not to think Harbaugh could do the same.
CFB isn't that black and white. Illinois made it to a bowl game -- off the wins against Youngstown State, Western Kentucky and Texas State. Additionally, teams make miraculous flips all the time from bad to good -- especially after coaching transitions. Or have you already forgotten the 6-7 OSU season that was followed with an undefeated season after hiring Urban? Michigan's recruiting classes, and retention of those players, proves the raw talent is there. Hoke was fired for being a bad coach, and a good coach could make large improvements in one year - especially given Michigan returns the most players in the big ten.
And I'll even throw in Hoke's first year going 11-2 with RR's kids after a pretty terrible 7-5 season the year before. I'd even argue our 5-7 team this year is better than the RR 7-5 year.
What's illogical is to think it takes that long to develop talent. Especially coming from a guy who's team just won with two backup QB's.
Didn't Brady hoke come in and take Michigan to a bcs bowl in his first year after Rich Rod had run them into the ground? No reason not to think Harbaugh could do the same.
Rich Rod had his team improving every year despite not having a real quarterback when he arrived (because he made no attempt to keep Ryan Malltett and was gung ho for Pryor). Hoke ca,e in with an idea on who will start and what kind of offense he was capable of running.
Rich Rod had the team improving every year and most analysts were predicting Michigan to being he 9-10 win range for Hoke's first year without him being fired. Hoke's teams continually got worse despite phenomenal recruiting classes because he and his staff were incapable of developing that talent. Harbaugh may be a good developer of talent but we really only have one QB in the college ranks to base that on, which was a phenom in Luck. Kapernick looked unstoppable Harbaugh's first year in the pros but each year got worse and worse. Teams were, learning how to defend that offense and Harbaugh wanted to protect him so that he was the QB of the future, not injury printed and in need of a legitimate starter as backup, so Harbaugh was forced to alter the offense. This will really show what Harbaugh can do as a developer.
People overstate that Michigan was "improving" under Rich Rod. Sure, the wins went up, but that's about it. Against top level competition Rich Rod never got close. Have you really forgotten what Michigan football was like under Rich Rod???? Defense was a joke, special teams were sloppy, and while the offense could put up Tecmo Bowl numbers against MAC level teams, against a defense with a pulse they were completely shut down.
And the reverse was true for Hoke, while the record did decline, the team really didn't. Arguably the 2012 team was better than the 2011 team that won the Sugar Bowl, they just had a tougher schedule and a few less lucky bounces. So while the lack of development started to show in 2013 and 2014, they still had some valiant losing efforts, most notably in the Game (something Rich Rod was never even close in).
So as for the future, there is still a lot of promising young talent, like Mason Cole, the true freshman that started left tackle. And Michigan;s new OC/OL coach Tim Drevno has a track record of developing lines, notably the job he did last year with USC's young line. So between that and now Tyrone Wheatly working with quite the stable of RB's (Green, Johnson, Smith and Issac), the run game should be strong. And as for the QB, there is no doubt there is talent there, either from Morris or one of the others, and with Harbaugh himself tutoring them I think he can get at least good, consistent (which it was the consistency that was really missing last year) from one of them.
The year before Fickle took over, Ohio State won the Big10 and were 11-1 going into the bowl season. They were not that far removed from being a good team. Michigan has had one good season in 7 years and are now 4 years removed from that. Hard to compare 1 year of bad coaching to 7 years of bad coaching.
Considering both the 2012 and 2013 classes were top 10, and that almost no one from either has left the program:
Hokepoints: Attrition Update, the Worst is Over | mgoblog
Hoke left Harbaugh with a primed pump, ready to kick the Bucks in the nuts.
I think people will be surprised how fast he turns Michigan around, the talent is most certainly there, it is only a question how fast can Harbaugh get them up to speed?
It's not like I am necessarily predicting Michigan will win the Big Ten next year (though they certainly could), but you also have to remember, even Hoke gave Meyer all he could handle. Do you remember how close it came last time the Game was played in the Big House?
That's a rivalry game. Michigan's been losing to 3rd and 4th tier teams. I don't think it's gonna happen as fast as you'd like.
2 full season's back up to 3rd tier first.
Michigan State had an Elite11 quarterback too. He stunk it up and led us to the worst season under Dantonio. Morris is looking to be cast from the same mold. Plenty of talent but for some reason can't make it click. Now he may be she'll shocked after that horrible line Michigan had last year and be hearing ghosts coming from his blind side.
People overstate that Michigan was "improving" under Rich Rod. Sure, the wins went up, but that's about it. Against top level competition Rich Rod never got close. Have you really forgotten what Michigan football was like under Rich Rod???? Defense was a joke, special teams were sloppy, and while the offense could put up Tecmo Bowl numbers against MAC level teams, against a defense with a pulse they were completely shut down.
And the reverse was true for Hoke, while the record did decline, the team really didn't. Arguably the 2012 team was better than the 2011 team that won the Sugar Bowl, they just had a tougher schedule and a few less lucky bounces. So while the lack of development started to show in 2013 and 2014, they still had some valiant losing efforts, most notably in the Game (something Rich Rod was never even close in).
So as for the future, there is still a lot of promising young talent, like Mason Cole, the true freshman that started left tackle. And Michigan;s new OC/OL coach Tim Drevno has a track record of developing lines, notably the job he did last year with USC's young line. So between that and now Tyrone Wheatly working with quite the stable of RB's (Green, Johnson, Smith and Issac), the run game should be strong. And as for the QB, there is no doubt there is talent there, either from Morris or one of the others, and with Harbaugh himself tutoring them I think he can get at least good, consistent (which it was the consistency that was really missing last year) from one of them.
For the longest time Michigan was MSU's "rivalry game," and for nearly 3 decades they truly were Michigan's "little brother."
I agree the in general when it comes to rivalry games you can "throw out the record book," but that's because teams give it their all, and that is no guarantee of a close game. See the 1968 edition of the Game, when famously went for 2 because he couldn't go for 3. So under Hoke, Michigan's best shot was to come within 2 points of beating on of the best teams in the nation, what will it be under Harbaug?
My point wasn't seeking the obvious explanation as to why many rivalry games are close. Nor was I looking for a history lesson on some 1968 game.
My point was that I think Michigan's farther away from winning a conference title than you think. That moral victory over tOSU was only big to Michigan fans. It is the rest of the losses the country sees.